Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:42

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.3/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 43.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 43.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.8%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,553.78
Current Value
$12,334.37
Period P&L
$-219.39
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.38

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.41%
Worst Trade
-0.63%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$319,242.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-219.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$-219.39
Gross Return
-1.75%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,553.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $271.94 46 $12,509.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:40am ET $270.65 46 $12,450.13 $12,494.65 $-59.11
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:40am ET $267.59 46 $12,309.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $268.03 46 $12,329.38 $12,514.89 +$20.24
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $262.46 47 $12,335.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $260.80 47 $12,257.60 $12,436.87 $-78.02
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:45pm ET $264.59 47 $12,435.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $263.53 47 $12,385.91 $12,387.05 $-49.82
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $260.92 47 $12,263.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:35am ET $261.48 47 $12,289.56 $12,413.37 +$26.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $258.07 48 $12,387.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $256.51 48 $12,312.48 $12,338.49 $-74.88
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $254.50 48 $12,216.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $253.73 48 $12,179.04 $12,301.53 $-36.96
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $253.14 48 $12,150.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:10pm ET $253.30 48 $12,158.40 $12,309.21 +$7.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $255.50 48 $12,264.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $256.55 48 $12,314.40 $12,359.61 +$50.40
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.98 49 $12,298.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $250.30 49 $12,264.70 $12,326.29 $-33.32
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $248.03 49 $12,153.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $248.96 49 $12,199.28 $12,372.10 +$45.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:35pm ET $247.78 49 $12,141.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:45pm ET $247.98 49 $12,151.02 $12,381.90 +$9.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $250.35 49 $12,267.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $249.38 49 $12,219.62 $12,334.37 $-47.53
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,334.37
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,334.37
Total Return: +23.34%
Back to Professor Mean