Compendium › Professor Mean › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

-1.53%
Last Month Return
$9,617.39
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,767.02
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:02:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 12.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

14
-1.5%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,767.02
Current Value
$9,617.39
Period P&L
$-149.67
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-1.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,885.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-149.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-149.67
Gross Return
-1.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,767.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $91.75 106 $9,724.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $91.14 106 $9,660.31 $9,702.40 $-64.66
(-0.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $90.90 106 $9,635.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $91.29 106 $9,676.74 $9,743.74 +$41.34
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:35pm ET $90.94 107 $9,730.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $91.09 107 $9,746.63 $9,759.79 +$16.05
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:05pm ET $92.18 105 $9,678.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $92.57 105 $9,719.85 $9,801.26 +$41.47
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $92.47 105 $9,709.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $92.64 105 $9,727.72 $9,819.63 +$18.37
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $92.93 105 $9,757.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 11:20am ET $92.29 105 $9,690.45 $9,752.43 $-67.20
(-0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $92.22 105 $9,683.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $92.15 105 $9,676.27 $9,745.08 $-7.35
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 10:35am ET $90.89 107 $9,725.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $90.54 107 $9,687.78 $9,707.27 $-37.81
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $93.08 104 $9,680.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $93.39 104 $9,712.56 $9,738.99 +$31.72
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 12:45pm ET $94.08 103 $9,690.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $93.67 103 $9,648.01 $9,696.76 $-42.23
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $92.56 104 $9,626.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $92.78 104 $9,648.60 $9,718.62 +$21.86
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $91.68 106 $9,718.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:20am ET $91.79 106 $9,729.74 $9,730.28 +$11.66
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $90.25 107 $9,656.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:45pm ET $89.19 107 $9,543.33 $9,617.39 $-112.89
(-1.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
4.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,617.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-382.61
Total Return: -3.83%
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