Compendium › Professor Mean › META
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
META
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-06-26 to present • 4 trades in period

-1.66%
Last Month Return
$11,522.75
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$11,716.83
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:41

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 95%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.1/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 33.4/100
× Confidence 0.95 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

3
-1.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (95%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,716.83
Current Value
$11,522.75
Period P&L
$-194.10
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
2 / 2
Best Trade
+0.63%
Worst Trade
-2.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.41%
Avg Hold Time
9.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$91,568.73
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-194.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-194.10
Gross Return
-1.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,716.83 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $544.39 21 $11,432.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 10:05am ET $546.62 21 $11,479.02 $11,763.68 +$46.83
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 11:05am ET $563.14 20 $11,262.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 11:25am ET $566.71 20 $11,334.10 $11,834.98 +$71.30
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $615.66 19 $11,697.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $600.66 19 $11,412.63 $11,550.11 $-284.87
(-2.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $604.68 19 $11,488.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:40am ET $603.24 19 $11,461.56 $11,522.75 $-27.36
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,522.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,522.75
Total Return: +15.23%
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