Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.1/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.4

30-Day Momentum

69
+8.6%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 76.4 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+26 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,548.66
Current Value
$12,817.60
Period P&L
$1,268.92
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.96

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
10 / 2
Best Trade
+2.63%
Worst Trade
-0.15%
Avg Trade Return
+0.90%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,765.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,268.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,268.92
Gross Return
+10.99%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,548.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $574.78 20 $11,495.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $577.35 20 $11,546.92 $11,600.00 +$51.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $572.54 20 $11,450.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:00am ET $572.26 20 $11,445.26 $11,594.46 $-5.54
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $578.61 20 $11,572.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $580.33 20 $11,606.60 $11,628.86 +$34.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $612.48 18 $11,024.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $613.50 18 $11,043.00 $11,647.21 +$18.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $615.57 18 $11,080.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $620.33 18 $11,165.94 $11,732.98 +$85.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $648.99 18 $11,681.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:20am ET $652.39 18 $11,743.02 $11,794.18 +$61.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $646.97 18 $11,645.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $656.41 18 $11,815.38 $11,964.10 +$169.92
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $658.58 18 $11,854.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET $672.38 18 $12,102.84 $12,212.50 +$248.40
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:25am ET $677.05 18 $12,186.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:50am ET $678.91 18 $12,220.38 $12,245.98 +$33.48
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $662.53 18 $11,925.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $679.98 18 $12,239.73 $12,560.08 +$314.10
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $744.79 16 $11,916.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $743.66 16 $11,898.48 $12,541.92 $-18.16
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $744.63 16 $11,914.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:35am ET $761.86 16 $12,189.76 $12,817.60 +$275.68
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,817.60
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,817.60
Total Return: +28.18%
Back to Professor Mean