Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:33:52

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 10.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

16
-5.2%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,988.88
Current Value
$5,678.09
Period P&L
$-310.76
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+2.57%
Worst Trade
-4.81%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$132,253.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-310.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-310.76
Gross Return
-5.19%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $5,988.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $155.44 38 $5,906.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $147.97 38 $5,622.86 $5,704.98 $-283.86
(-4.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:55pm ET $141.84 40 $5,673.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $142.12 40 $5,684.60 $5,715.98 +$11.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $140.87 40 $5,634.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 3:25pm ET $137.95 40 $5,517.80 $5,598.98 $-117.00
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:05am ET $150.09 37 $5,553.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.13 37 $5,480.81 $5,526.65 $-72.34
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $143.05 38 $5,435.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET $144.57 38 $5,493.66 $5,584.41 +$57.76
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.63 41 $5,560.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $131.29 41 $5,382.69 $5,406.47 $-177.94
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $146.90 36 $5,288.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $147.89 36 $5,324.04 $5,442.11 +$35.64
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $142.34 38 $5,408.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET $143.40 38 $5,449.01 $5,482.39 +$40.28
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $144.23 38 $5,480.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $145.30 38 $5,521.59 $5,523.24 +$40.85
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $154.70 35 $5,414.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:20pm ET $155.19 35 $5,431.65 $5,540.39 +$17.15
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $169.56 32 $5,425.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $173.91 32 $5,565.12 $5,679.59 +$139.20
(+2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $183.30 30 $5,499.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $183.25 30 $5,497.50 $5,678.09 $-1.50
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,678.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,321.91
Total Return: -43.22%
Back to Professor Mean