Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:37:16

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.5/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 36.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.1

30-Day Momentum

61
+5.2%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.0 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+25 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,758.08
Current Value
$12,340.25
Period P&L
$582.13
Max Drawdown
-9.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+1.58%
Worst Trade
-0.24%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
4.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,551.98
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$582.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$582.13
Gross Return
+4.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,758.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $175.31 67 $11,745.77
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $176.19 67 $11,804.73 $11,817.08 +$58.96
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $176.74 66 $11,664.84
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $176.67 66 $11,660.22 $11,812.46 $-4.62
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $183.52 64 $11,745.60
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $184.13 64 $11,784.64 $11,851.50 +$39.04
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $191.16 61 $11,661.06
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.85 61 $11,702.85 $11,893.29 +$41.79
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $187.22 63 $11,794.86
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $190.17 63 $11,980.71 $12,079.14 +$185.85
(+1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $188.46 64 $12,061.12
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $191.13 64 $12,232.32 $12,250.34 +$171.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $189.88 64 $12,152.64
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $190.10 64 $12,166.72 $12,264.42 +$14.08
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $191.13 64 $12,232.64
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET $191.41 64 $12,250.56 $12,282.34 +$17.92
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $188.13 65 $12,228.77
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $188.87 65 $12,276.55 $12,330.12 +$47.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $189.85 64 $12,150.08
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $190.51 64 $12,192.32 $12,372.36 +$42.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $191.39 64 $12,248.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $191.18 64 $12,235.52 $12,359.23 $-13.13
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $187.69 65 $12,199.85
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $188.24 65 $12,235.28 $12,394.65 +$35.42
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:40am ET $192.34 64 $12,309.76
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 11:10am ET $191.87 64 $12,279.68 $12,364.57 $-30.08
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $192.02 64 $12,289.28
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $191.64 64 $12,264.96 $12,340.25 $-24.32
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,340.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,340.25
Total Return: +23.40%
Back to Professor Mean