Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:02:46

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 28.1

30-Day Momentum

12
-4.2%
30d Return
46%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.3 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,605.75
Current Value
$12,094.95
Period P&L
$-510.83
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+1.55%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.29%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$340,974.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-510.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$-510.83
Gross Return
-4.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,605.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $286.90 43 $12,336.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 10:55am ET $287.29 43 $12,353.47 $12,622.55 +$16.77
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $277.18 45 $12,473.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $276.11 45 $12,424.95 $12,574.40 $-48.15
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $301.84 41 $12,375.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $303.69 41 $12,451.29 $12,650.25 +$75.85
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $302.15 41 $12,388.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $297.20 41 $12,185.20 $12,447.30 $-202.95
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $277.00 44 $12,188.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $271.20 44 $11,932.80 $12,192.10 $-255.20
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $283.76 42 $11,917.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $281.05 42 $11,804.10 $12,078.28 $-113.82
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $275.02 43 $11,825.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:50am ET $279.28 43 $12,009.04 $12,261.46 +$183.18
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $313.02 39 $12,207.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $317.31 39 $12,375.25 $12,428.93 +$167.47
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $310.51 40 $12,420.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $313.08 40 $12,523.00 $12,531.73 +$102.80
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.51 37 $12,228.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $324.40 37 $12,002.80 $12,305.66 $-226.07
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $324.24 37 $11,997.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $329.10 37 $12,176.52 $12,485.11 +$179.45
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $328.05 38 $12,465.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:15am ET $317.49 38 $12,064.81 $12,084.21 $-400.90
(-3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $349.61 34 $11,886.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:15pm ET $351.33 34 $11,945.22 $12,142.55 +$58.34
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $353.86 34 $12,031.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:55pm ET $352.46 34 $11,983.64 $12,094.95 $-47.60
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,094.95
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,094.95
Total Return: +20.95%
Back to Professor Mean