Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 11.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.5

30-Day Momentum

16
-2.9%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,616.91
Current Value
$9,249.83
Period P&L
$-367.05
Max Drawdown
-30.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.14

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+2.78%
Worst Trade
-5.27%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
5.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$298,138.03
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-367.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-367.05
Gross Return
-3.82%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.82%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,616.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $4.51 2,134 $9,613.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 2,134 $9,592.33 $9,595.54 $-21.34
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:05pm ET $4.45 2,158 $9,592.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.43 2,158 $9,559.94 $9,563.17 $-32.37
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $4.36 2,190 $9,559.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET $4.33 2,190 $9,482.92 $9,486.74 $-76.43
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $4.31 2,201 $9,486.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $4.34 2,201 $9,547.28 $9,547.71 +$60.97
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.27 2,235 $9,543.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $4.05 2,235 $9,040.58 $9,044.84 $-502.87
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $3.94 2,295 $9,042.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $3.91 2,295 $8,977.35 $8,979.43 $-65.41
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $3.74 2,400 $8,975.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:45am ET $3.79 2,400 $9,096.00 $9,099.67 +$120.24
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $3.75 2,426 $9,097.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:35am ET $3.77 2,426 $9,133.89 $9,136.06 +$36.39
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $3.69 2,473 $9,132.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET $3.71 2,473 $9,182.99 $9,186.26 +$50.20
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET $3.60 2,551 $9,183.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $3.70 2,551 $9,438.70 $9,441.36 +$255.10
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $3.69 2,555 $9,440.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:45am ET $3.63 2,555 $9,274.65 $9,275.29 $-166.07
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $3.60 2,576 $9,273.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $3.61 2,576 $9,299.10 $9,300.53 +$25.24
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $3.62 2,572 $9,297.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $3.63 2,572 $9,336.10 $9,338.85 +$38.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $3.63 2,576 $9,338.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET $3.63 2,576 $9,363.76 $9,364.61 +$25.76
(+0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $3.71 2,524 $9,364.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $3.69 2,524 $9,313.56 $9,314.13 $-50.48
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $3.62 2,572 $9,310.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:35am ET $3.60 2,572 $9,246.34 $9,249.83 $-64.30
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,249.83
Net Profit/Loss: $-750.17
Total Return: -7.50%
Back to Professor Mean