Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:37:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
52.3 neutral
20d Trend
+2.4%
5d Trend
-2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
68%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
5.0/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.2/10
Raw Quality 17.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 17.0

30-Day Momentum

16
-0.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,329.13
Current Value
$10,351.59
Period P&L
$22.47
Max Drawdown
-17.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+1.23%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
6.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$308,197.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.47
Gross Return
+0.22%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 OXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,329.13 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:35pm ET $58.81 175 $10,291.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.40 175 $10,220.87 $10,258.87 $-70.25
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $58.36 175 $10,213.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:20am ET $58.56 175 $10,247.13 $10,292.99 +$34.12
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $58.93 174 $10,253.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $59.03 174 $10,272.09 $10,311.24 +$18.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $60.67 169 $10,253.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET $60.49 169 $10,222.81 $10,280.82 $-30.42
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $60.78 169 $10,271.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $60.99 169 $10,307.31 $10,316.31 +$35.49
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:45am ET $59.65 172 $10,259.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:35am ET $60.08 172 $10,333.76 $10,390.27 +$73.96
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $60.63 171 $10,367.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $60.58 171 $10,359.18 $10,381.72 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $61.18 169 $10,339.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:10am ET $60.74 169 $10,264.99 $10,307.29 $-74.43
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $62.15 165 $10,255.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET $62.71 165 $10,347.15 $10,398.87 +$91.58
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $63.19 164 $10,363.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $63.54 164 $10,421.38 $10,457.09 +$58.22
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.12 173 $10,400.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:00am ET $58.92 173 $10,194.02 $10,250.36 $-206.73
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $58.80 174 $10,231.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $58.14 174 $10,116.36 $10,135.52 $-114.84
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $56.34 179 $10,084.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $57.03 179 $10,209.26 $10,259.92 +$124.40
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $57.49 178 $10,233.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $57.70 178 $10,270.60 $10,297.30 +$37.38
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:40pm ET $57.69 178 $10,268.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $57.99 178 $10,323.11 $10,351.59 +$54.29
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,351.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$351.59
Total Return: +3.52%
Back to Professor Mean