Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:45:24

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality 10.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 10.1

30-Day Momentum

10
-2.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,765.17
Current Value
$8,596.50
Period P&L
$-168.69
Max Drawdown
-24.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
6 / 8
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,672.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-168.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-168.69
Gross Return
-1.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,765.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $169.73 51 $8,656.23
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:40am ET $167.57 51 $8,546.07 $8,655.03 $-110.16
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:55pm ET $153.31 56 $8,585.36
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $154.22 56 $8,636.32 $8,705.99 +$50.96
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 1:25pm ET $160.71 54 $8,678.44
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $160.31 54 $8,656.73 $8,684.29 $-21.70
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $166.46 52 $8,656.18
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:05pm ET $166.41 52 $8,653.19 $8,681.30 $-2.99
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $166.61 52 $8,663.72
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET $168.24 52 $8,748.62 $8,766.20 +$84.90
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $174.36 50 $8,718.00
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $174.98 50 $8,749.00 $8,797.20 +$31.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $173.73 50 $8,686.50
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $172.88 50 $8,644.00 $8,754.70 $-42.50
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $177.16 49 $8,681.08
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $176.68 49 $8,657.32 $8,730.93 $-23.77
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $182.13 47 $8,560.11
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $179.52 47 $8,437.44 $8,608.26 $-122.67
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $179.08 48 $8,595.84
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $177.25 48 $8,508.12 $8,520.54 $-87.72
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $181.83 46 $8,364.18
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $183.87 46 $8,458.02 $8,614.38 +$93.84
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
12 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:40am ET $182.76 47 $8,589.72
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $183.54 47 $8,626.15 $8,650.81 +$36.43
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
13 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $195.81 44 $8,615.64
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $193.60 44 $8,518.18 $8,553.35 $-97.46
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $204.14 41 $8,369.64
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $205.19 41 $8,412.79 $8,596.50 +$43.15
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,596.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,403.50
Total Return: -14.04%
Back to Professor Mean