Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 08:21:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 10.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 10.7

30-Day Momentum

52
+5.7%
30d Return
91%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 57.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+41 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,123.50
Current Value
$9,639.53
Period P&L
$516.01
Max Drawdown
-24.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
10 / 1
Best Trade
+3.08%
Worst Trade
-4.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.53%
Avg Hold Time
2.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$205,755.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$516.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$516.01
Gross Return
+5.66%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,123.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $253.70 35 $8,879.33
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:40am ET $256.47 35 $8,976.45 $9,220.64 +$97.12
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $256.32 35 $8,971.03
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $264.20 35 $9,247.00 $9,496.62 +$275.98
(+3.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $288.97 32 $9,247.04
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:00am ET $294.40 32 $9,420.80 $9,670.38 +$173.76
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $280.32 34 $9,530.88
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $280.60 34 $9,540.40 $9,679.90 +$9.52
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $275.68 35 $9,648.97
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:30am ET $277.40 35 $9,709.00 $9,739.92 +$60.02
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $266.13 36 $9,580.68
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $255.42 36 $9,195.12 $9,354.36 $-385.56
(-4.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
21.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $263.29 35 $9,214.98
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $263.40 35 $9,219.00 $9,358.38 +$4.02
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $274.58 34 $9,335.72
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $277.64 34 $9,439.93 $9,462.59 +$104.21
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $282.89 33 $9,335.53
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $283.61 33 $9,359.29 $9,486.35 +$23.76
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $278.00 34 $9,452.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $281.19 34 $9,560.46 $9,594.81 +$108.46
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:00pm ET $285.57 33 $9,423.65
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $286.92 33 $9,468.36 $9,639.53 +$44.72
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,639.53
Net Profit/Loss: $-360.47
Total Return: -3.60%
Back to Professor Mean