Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:36

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.7

30-Day Momentum

19
-0.8%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 20.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,657.18
Current Value
$9,518.69
Period P&L
$-138.42
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+0.67%
Worst Trade
-1.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$268,620.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-138.42
Net P&L (after fees)
$-138.42
Gross Return
-1.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,657.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $144.74 66 $9,552.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:50pm ET $144.84 66 $9,559.44 $9,663.71 +$6.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET $141.71 68 $9,636.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:15am ET $142.15 68 $9,666.15 $9,693.58 +$29.87
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $140.45 69 $9,691.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $140.59 69 $9,700.37 $9,702.90 +$9.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:20pm ET $140.60 69 $9,701.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.96 69 $9,725.90 $9,727.39 +$24.49
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $140.02 69 $9,661.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $139.90 69 $9,653.10 $9,719.11 $-8.28
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:40pm ET $140.89 68 $9,580.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $139.54 68 $9,488.38 $9,626.79 $-92.32
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $138.02 69 $9,523.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:00am ET $138.79 69 $9,576.51 $9,679.57 +$52.78
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $138.04 70 $9,662.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:15pm ET $136.56 70 $9,559.20 $9,575.97 $-103.60
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $136.74 70 $9,571.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $137.30 70 $9,611.00 $9,615.17 +$39.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET $136.57 70 $9,559.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:40pm ET $136.66 70 $9,566.20 $9,621.47 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.35 71 $9,610.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $135.83 71 $9,643.93 $9,655.20 +$33.73
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $132.13 73 $9,645.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:35pm ET $130.26 73 $9,508.62 $9,518.69 $-136.51
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $130.32 73 $9,513.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $131.19 73 $9,576.87 $9,582.20 +$63.51
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:55am ET $129.71 73 $9,468.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $128.84 73 $9,405.32 $9,518.69 $-63.51
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,518.69
Net Profit/Loss: $-481.31
Total Return: -4.81%
Back to Professor Mean