Compendium › Professor Mean › PFE
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PFE
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

+2.25%
Last Month Return
$10,989.15
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$10,747.15
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:01:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
56.4 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+0.2%
EMA20 Dist
+1.5%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
77%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.9/35
Total Return
8.6/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 25.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

40
+2.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.4 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,747.15
Current Value
$10,989.15
Period P&L
$242.05
Max Drawdown
-11.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+1.99%
Worst Trade
-0.76%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,775.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$242.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$242.05
Gross Return
+2.25%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PFE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,747.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $28.35 379 $10,744.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $28.44 379 $10,780.65 $10,783.10 +$36.00
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $28.30 381 $10,782.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $28.37 381 $10,808.97 $10,809.73 +$26.63
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.91 387 $10,801.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:55am ET $27.98 387 $10,829.03 $10,837.59 +$27.86
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET $28.46 380 $10,814.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $29.02 380 $11,029.50 $11,052.29 +$214.70
(+2.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $28.89 382 $11,034.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $28.75 382 $10,980.59 $10,998.81 $-53.48
(-0.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $28.53 385 $10,984.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:05am ET $28.50 385 $10,970.58 $10,985.34 $-13.47
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $27.81 395 $10,984.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $27.89 395 $11,016.55 $11,016.94 +$31.60
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $27.72 397 $11,004.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:25am ET $27.51 397 $10,921.71 $10,933.81 $-83.13
(-0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $27.71 394 $10,917.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.75 394 $10,931.53 $10,947.60 +$13.79
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $27.46 398 $10,929.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $27.55 398 $10,962.91 $10,981.43 +$33.83
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $27.60 397 $10,957.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET $27.41 397 $10,879.79 $10,904.02 $-77.41
(-0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $27.61 394 $10,877.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $27.75 394 $10,935.47 $10,961.78 +$57.76
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:30pm ET $27.97 391 $10,934.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $28.03 391 $10,961.68 $10,989.15 +$27.37
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,989.15
Net Profit/Loss: +$989.15
Total Return: +9.89%
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