Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 16:12:01

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
10.1/25
Win Rate
9.2/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 36.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 35.9

30-Day Momentum

49
+3.0%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 54.4 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,219.22
Current Value
$11,683.84
Period P&L
$464.61
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.71

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+1.09%
Worst Trade
-0.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,650.62
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$464.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$464.61
Gross Return
+4.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,219.22 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 1:00pm ET $143.27 78 $11,175.06
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $142.99 78 $11,153.22 $11,197.39 $-21.84
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $147.54 75 $11,065.13
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $146.70 75 $11,002.50 $11,134.76 $-62.63
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $144.80 76 $11,004.66
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $144.77 76 $11,002.52 $11,132.63 $-2.13
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $139.86 79 $11,048.94
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:30pm ET $140.11 79 $11,068.69 $11,152.38 +$19.75
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $141.24 78 $11,016.33
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $142.60 78 $11,122.80 $11,258.85 +$106.47
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $145.10 77 $11,172.72
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $145.35 77 $11,192.33 $11,278.46 +$19.61
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.89 75 $11,166.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $149.23 75 $11,192.25 $11,303.96 +$25.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $148.46 76 $11,282.96
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $149.47 76 $11,359.72 $11,380.72 +$76.76
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $150.11 75 $11,258.25
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $151.51 75 $11,363.25 $11,485.72 +$105.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $151.65 75 $11,373.38
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $152.45 75 $11,433.75 $11,546.09 +$60.37
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $151.07 76 $11,481.32
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:40pm ET $151.23 76 $11,493.10 $11,557.87 +$11.78
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $148.04 78 $11,547.51
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $149.66 78 $11,673.48 $11,683.84 +$125.97
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,683.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,683.84
Total Return: +16.84%
Back to Professor Mean