Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:05:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
76.9 overbought
20d Trend
+10.5%
5d Trend
+5.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.5/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
9.3/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 38.1

30-Day Momentum

20
-0.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,922.23
Current Value
$11,947.27
Period P&L
$25.02
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+0.73%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$355,194.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$25.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$25.02
Gross Return
+0.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.21%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,922.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $144.70 81 $11,720.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $145.76 81 $11,806.23 $11,922.25 +$85.53
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $145.55 81 $11,789.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET $145.39 81 $11,776.79 $11,909.49 $-12.76
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $144.51 82 $11,849.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:50pm ET $144.93 82 $11,884.26 $11,943.93 +$34.44
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $143.39 83 $11,901.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $143.50 83 $11,910.50 $11,953.06 +$9.13
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $142.65 83 $11,839.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $143.43 83 $11,905.10 $12,018.22 +$65.16
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $147.40 81 $11,939.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $146.29 81 $11,849.49 $11,928.71 $-89.51
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.76 80 $11,820.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $146.92 80 $11,753.60 $11,861.51 $-67.20
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:40am ET $146.48 80 $11,718.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $147.15 80 $11,772.00 $11,915.09 +$53.58
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:25am ET $144.38 82 $11,839.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:05pm ET $144.76 82 $11,870.33 $11,946.26 +$31.17
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $142.49 83 $11,826.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $143.22 83 $11,887.26 $12,006.85 +$60.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $144.86 82 $11,878.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $144.99 82 $11,889.34 $12,017.67 +$10.82
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.01 82 $11,973.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $144.07 82 $11,813.74 $11,858.18 $-159.49
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $147.53 80 $11,802.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:25pm ET $147.74 80 $11,819.21 $11,874.99 +$16.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $146.16 81 $11,838.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:55am ET $146.44 81 $11,861.64 $11,897.67 +$22.68
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $147.54 80 $11,803.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $148.16 80 $11,853.20 $11,947.27 +$49.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,947.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,947.27
Total Return: +19.47%
Back to Professor Mean