Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-26 00:32:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

48
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.5/35
Total Return
14.8/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 48.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 48.1

30-Day Momentum

26
+0.9%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-26 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,791.62
Current Value
$15,931.11
Period P&L
$139.43
Max Drawdown
-11.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+0.79%
Worst Trade
-1.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$317,533.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$139.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$139.43
Gross Return
+0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,791.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 85 $15,759.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $186.60 85 $15,861.01 $15,893.69 +$102.01
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $185.16 85 $15,738.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:50am ET $185.81 85 $15,793.85 $15,948.94 +$55.25
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET $180.98 88 $15,926.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $181.65 88 $15,984.76 $16,007.46 +$58.52
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.31 87 $15,860.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $180.84 87 $15,732.65 $15,879.14 $-128.32
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $173.32 91 $15,772.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $174.55 91 $15,884.05 $15,990.91 +$111.77
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:55am ET $169.21 94 $15,905.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 10:35am ET $170.54 94 $16,030.76 $16,116.40 +$125.49
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $172.40 93 $16,032.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $173.18 93 $16,105.28 $16,188.94 +$72.54
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $172.93 93 $16,082.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $169.59 93 $15,771.87 $15,877.85 $-311.09
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $175.73 90 $15,815.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $175.63 90 $15,806.70 $15,868.85 $-9.00
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $190.40 83 $15,803.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $191.15 83 $15,865.46 $15,931.11 +$62.26
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,931.11
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,931.11
Total Return: +59.31%
Back to Professor Mean