Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:56:47

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

13
-5.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,990.01
Current Value
$9,518.00
Period P&L
$-471.98
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.41

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
6 / 7
Best Trade
+0.66%
Worst Trade
-2.88%
Avg Trade Return
-0.40%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$246,099.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-471.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$-471.98
Gross Return
-4.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,990.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $189.21 53 $10,027.87
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:35am ET $183.76 53 $9,739.54 $9,747.77 $-288.32
(-2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:45pm ET $179.30 54 $9,682.20
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $176.60 54 $9,536.40 $9,601.97 $-145.80
(-1.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $175.32 54 $9,467.01
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:00pm ET $173.09 54 $9,346.86 $9,481.82 $-120.15
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $174.43 54 $9,419.31
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $173.77 54 $9,383.58 $9,446.09 $-35.73
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $176.63 53 $9,361.39
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $177.80 53 $9,423.40 $9,508.10 +$62.01
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $177.12 53 $9,387.36
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $175.68 53 $9,311.04 $9,431.78 $-76.32
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $176.57 53 $9,358.47
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $177.26 53 $9,394.52 $9,467.82 +$36.04
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $182.71 51 $9,318.21
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:35pm ET $183.20 51 $9,342.95 $9,492.56 +$24.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:05pm ET $182.96 51 $9,331.21
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $183.46 51 $9,356.46 $9,517.81 +$25.25
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $181.79 52 $9,453.08
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $182.81 52 $9,506.12 $9,570.85 +$53.04
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:25pm ET $180.06 53 $9,543.18
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $180.65 53 $9,574.19 $9,601.86 +$31.01
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:35pm ET $179.74 53 $9,525.96
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:00am ET $178.27 53 $9,448.31 $9,524.22 $-77.64
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.9d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $177.99 53 $9,433.33
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $177.87 53 $9,427.11 $9,518.00 $-6.22
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,518.00
Net Profit/Loss: $-482.00
Total Return: -4.82%
Back to Professor Mean