Compendium › Professor Mean › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-24 to present • 14 trades in period

-0.92%
Last Month Return
$10,054.85
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$10,148.80
Period Start
Login to Apply

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
1.6/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 15.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 15.3

30-Day Momentum

21
-0.9%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.8 Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,148.80
Current Value
$10,054.85
Period P&L
$-93.86
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
10 / 4
Best Trade
+0.67%
Worst Trade
-2.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
8.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$283,120.60
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-93.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$-93.86
Gross Return
-0.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,148.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $61.26 165 $10,107.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:00am ET $61.60 165 $10,164.82 $10,205.64 +$56.93
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $61.64 165 $10,170.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $61.99 165 $10,229.17 $10,264.21 +$58.57
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.78 190 $10,219.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $54.08 190 $10,276.15 $10,321.21 +$57.00
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:20pm ET $53.15 194 $10,311.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $53.26 194 $10,332.44 $10,342.55 +$21.34
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $52.46 197 $10,333.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $52.71 197 $10,384.66 $10,393.57 +$51.02
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $55.99 185 $10,357.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $54.85 185 $10,147.25 $10,183.59 $-209.98
(-2.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $53.08 191 $10,138.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $53.27 191 $10,174.57 $10,219.88 +$36.29
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $52.27 195 $10,192.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $51.08 195 $9,959.63 $9,987.34 $-232.54
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET $53.83 185 $9,958.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $53.64 185 $9,923.40 $9,952.19 $-35.15
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:45am ET $53.28 186 $9,910.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $53.31 186 $9,916.59 $9,958.57 +$6.38
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $53.25 187 $9,957.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.33 187 $9,971.78 $9,972.58 +$14.01
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.56 189 $9,932.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $52.79 189 $9,977.31 $10,017.00 +$44.42
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $52.53 190 $9,980.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:00am ET $52.88 190 $10,047.20 $10,083.50 +$66.50
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $52.55 191 $10,037.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:05am ET $52.40 191 $10,008.40 $10,054.85 $-28.65
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,054.85
Net Profit/Loss: +$54.85
Total Return: +0.55%
Back to Professor Mean