Compendium › Professor Mean › PYPL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
PYPL
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-04-09 to present • 15 trades in period

+0.31%
Last Month Return
$9,836.72
Current Value
40%
Win Rate
$9,806.85
Period Start
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Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 13.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 13.1

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.3 Conf: 1.00×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,806.85
Current Value
$9,836.72
Period P&L
$29.95
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
6 / 9
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-1.56%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$296,829.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$29.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$29.95
Gross Return
+0.31%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.31%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PYPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,806.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $45.42 215 $9,765.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $45.34 215 $9,748.10 $9,789.57 $-17.20
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $44.99 217 $9,761.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $45.24 217 $9,818.16 $9,845.99 +$56.42
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:20pm ET $47.97 205 $9,833.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.06 205 $9,852.30 $9,864.44 +$18.45
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $48.56 203 $9,856.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:35am ET $49.73 203 $10,095.19 $10,102.96 +$238.52
(+2.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $50.79 198 $10,056.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $50.70 198 $10,038.14 $10,084.68 $-18.28
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $51.44 196 $10,082.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $51.19 196 $10,032.26 $10,034.70 $-49.98
(-0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $50.71 197 $9,989.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:10am ET $49.92 197 $9,834.24 $9,879.07 $-155.63
(-1.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 11:10am ET $49.70 198 $9,840.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 11:45am ET $50.00 198 $9,900.00 $9,938.47 +$59.40
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $49.88 199 $9,925.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.90 199 $9,929.11 $9,942.45 +$3.98
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $49.67 200 $9,934.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $49.60 200 $9,920.00 $9,928.45 $-14.00
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $50.18 197 $9,885.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 10:50am ET $50.13 197 $9,875.61 $9,918.60 $-9.85
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $50.58 196 $9,914.66 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $50.73 196 $9,943.08 $9,947.02 +$28.42
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
13 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $45.24 219 $9,907.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:35am ET $44.88 219 $9,827.63 $9,867.08 $-79.94
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:05am ET $46.12 213 $9,823.56 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $46.08 213 $9,815.04 $9,858.56 $-8.52
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.78 210 $9,822.75 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:00pm ET $46.67 210 $9,800.91 $9,836.72 $-21.84
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,836.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-163.28
Total Return: -1.63%
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