Compendium › Professor Mean › REGN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
REGN
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 14 trades in period

-1.03%
Last Month Return
$11,565.75
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$11,686.14
Period Start
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PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:31:28

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
10.2/25
Win Rate
8.8/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.3

30-Day Momentum

19
-1.0%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 19.1 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,713
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,686.14
Current Value
$11,565.75
Period P&L
$-120.40
Max Drawdown
-13.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
9 / 5
Best Trade
+1.12%
Worst Trade
-1.49%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$314,614.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-120.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-120.40
Gross Return
-1.03%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,686.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $832.64 14 $11,656.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $834.16 14 $11,678.17 $11,707.36 +$21.21
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $804.65 14 $11,265.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $813.63 14 $11,390.82 $11,833.08 +$125.72
(+1.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $791.65 14 $11,083.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $792.23 14 $11,091.18 $11,841.16 +$8.08
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $796.97 14 $11,157.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $798.05 14 $11,172.70 $11,856.33 +$15.17
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $844.73 14 $11,826.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 11:20am ET $842.97 14 $11,801.65 $11,831.69 $-24.64
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET $832.48 14 $11,654.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $833.65 14 $11,671.03 $11,848.06 +$16.37
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $810.17 14 $11,342.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $803.83 14 $11,253.62 $11,759.30 $-88.76
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:50am ET $799.77 14 $11,196.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:50pm ET $794.71 14 $11,125.87 $11,688.39 $-70.91
(-0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $782.51 14 $10,955.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET $783.85 14 $10,973.90 $11,707.15 +$18.76
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $788.53 14 $11,039.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET $776.80 14 $10,875.27 $11,543.00 $-164.15
(-1.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $776.33 14 $10,868.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $781.17 14 $10,936.38 $11,610.76 +$67.76
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $785.17 14 $10,992.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $788.10 14 $11,033.47 $11,651.85 +$41.09
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $792.77 14 $11,098.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET $796.68 14 $11,153.52 $11,706.66 +$54.81
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:40am ET $802.17 14 $11,230.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $792.10 14 $11,089.47 $11,565.75 $-140.91
(-1.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,565.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,565.75
Total Return: +15.66%
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