Compendium › Professor Mean › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 13 trades in period

-5.50%
Last Month Return
$9,913.98
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$10,490.86
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:40:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 19.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

34
+3.3%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.0 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,490.86
Current Value
$9,913.98
Period P&L
$-576.93
Max Drawdown
-50.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-6.17%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
16.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$265,768.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-576.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-576.93
Gross Return
-5.50%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.50%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,490.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $24.58 413 $10,151.54 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $25.16 413 $10,389.02 $10,404.18 +$237.48
(+2.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $28.12 369 $10,376.28 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:10pm ET $28.11 369 $10,374.36 $10,402.26 $-1.92
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $27.16 382 $10,375.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $26.57 382 $10,150.50 $10,177.64 $-224.62
(-2.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $28.10 362 $10,172.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $28.53 362 $10,327.86 $10,333.30 +$155.66
(+1.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $27.60 374 $10,322.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:30pm ET $27.70 374 $10,359.80 $10,370.70 +$37.40
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.47 377 $10,356.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $25.77 377 $9,716.95 $9,731.46 $-639.24
(-6.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $24.76 393 $9,730.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET $25.25 393 $9,923.25 $9,924.03 +$192.57
(+2.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $24.74 401 $9,920.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $25.41 401 $10,189.41 $10,192.70 +$268.67
(+2.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 2:00pm ET $26.59 383 $10,185.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $26.78 383 $10,256.74 $10,263.56 +$70.86
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $27.55 372 $10,248.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $27.55 372 $10,248.60 $10,263.56 $0.00
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.56 372 $10,252.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET $28.02 372 $10,423.44 $10,434.68 +$171.12
(+1.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $27.78 375 $10,416.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:25pm ET $27.97 375 $10,488.75 $10,506.68 +$72.00
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.61 367 $10,501.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $27.00 367 $9,909.00 $9,913.98 $-592.70
(-5.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,913.98
Net Profit/Loss: $-86.02
Total Return: -0.86%
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