Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:44:45

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49 neutral
20d Trend
-0.0%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
78%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.0/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
9.1/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality 43.4/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

23
+0.0%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,629.85
Current Value
$12,637.55
Period P&L
$7.67
Max Drawdown
-7.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
10 / 3
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-2.11%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$326,526.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$7.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$7.67
Gross Return
+0.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SCHW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,629.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $96.50 130 $12,545.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $94.46 130 $12,279.80 $12,364.68 $-265.20
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 11:55am ET $98.52 125 $12,315.00
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $98.85 125 $12,356.25 $12,405.93 +$41.25
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $99.93 124 $12,391.32
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $100.30 124 $12,437.20 $12,451.81 +$45.88
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:50am ET $90.69 137 $12,424.53
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 10:25am ET $92.06 137 $12,612.22 $12,639.50 +$187.69
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $92.55 136 $12,586.85
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 1:00pm ET $92.92 136 $12,636.44 $12,689.09 +$49.59
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET $92.03 137 $12,608.11
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $92.49 137 $12,671.13 $12,752.11 +$63.02
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 12:40pm ET $89.82 141 $12,664.62
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:20pm ET $88.57 141 $12,487.67 $12,575.16 $-176.95
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $89.17 141 $12,572.97
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $89.21 141 $12,579.31 $12,581.50 +$6.34
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:00am ET $90.45 139 $12,572.55
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $90.72 139 $12,610.08 $12,619.03 +$37.53
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $90.39 139 $12,564.90
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $91.00 139 $12,649.00 $12,703.13 +$84.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
11 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $91.51 138 $12,629.07
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $92.33 138 $12,741.54 $12,815.60 +$112.47
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 9:55am ET $91.42 140 $12,798.80
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 12:35pm ET $89.92 140 $12,588.80 $12,605.60 $-210.00
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 1:55pm ET $88.63 142 $12,585.46
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $88.86 142 $12,617.41 $12,637.55 +$31.95
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,637.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,637.55
Total Return: +26.38%
Back to Professor Mean