Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:22:16

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+6.8%
5d Trend
+1.4%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
3.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 12.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.9

30-Day Momentum

10
-5.0%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,924.91
Current Value
$9,402.26
Period P&L
$-522.69
Max Drawdown
-18.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
5 / 9
Best Trade
+1.41%
Worst Trade
-3.02%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$274,251.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-522.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$-522.69
Gross Return
-5.27%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,924.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $53.63 185 $9,920.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET $53.49 185 $9,894.73 $9,899.05 $-25.90
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $53.56 184 $9,855.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:45pm ET $53.47 184 $9,838.48 $9,882.49 $-16.56
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $53.20 185 $9,842.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $53.29 185 $9,859.57 $9,900.03 +$17.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $55.15 179 $9,871.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $55.69 179 $9,968.51 $9,996.69 +$96.66
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $59.05 169 $9,978.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:20am ET $58.78 169 $9,933.82 $9,951.74 $-44.95
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $57.98 171 $9,914.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $58.80 171 $10,054.80 $10,091.96 +$140.22
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $56.94 177 $10,079.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:50am ET $56.79 177 $10,052.71 $10,065.41 $-26.55
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:55pm ET $57.08 176 $10,045.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $57.30 176 $10,084.80 $10,105.01 +$39.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $57.31 176 $10,086.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $55.84 176 $9,827.84 $9,846.11 $-258.90
(-2.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $55.60 177 $9,841.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $53.92 177 $9,543.84 $9,548.75 $-297.36
(-3.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $54.03 176 $9,508.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $54.12 176 $9,524.24 $9,564.59 +$15.84
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:50pm ET $52.01 183 $9,518.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $51.72 183 $9,464.76 $9,510.61 $-53.98
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $51.13 185 $9,459.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $50.97 185 $9,429.45 $9,480.09 $-30.52
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $52.29 181 $9,464.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $51.86 181 $9,386.66 $9,402.26 $-77.83
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,402.26
Net Profit/Loss: $-597.74
Total Return: -5.98%
Back to Professor Mean