Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:21:39

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.3/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 29.6

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.0%
30d Return
71%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 30.2 Conf: 0.98×
Cooling (-0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,913.74
Current Value
$12,193.54
Period P&L
$279.66
Max Drawdown
-17.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
11 / 4
Best Trade
+1.93%
Worst Trade
-2.57%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$354,839.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$279.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$279.66
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,913.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $323.55 37 $11,971.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:50am ET $319.41 37 $11,818.17 $11,876.69 $-153.18
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $314.92 37 $11,652.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $321.01 37 $11,877.37 $12,102.02 +$225.33
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET $327.85 36 $11,802.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $328.85 36 $11,838.69 $12,138.29 +$36.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $325.96 37 $12,060.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $323.33 37 $11,963.21 $12,040.79 $-97.50
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET $305.67 39 $11,921.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $306.35 39 $11,947.65 $12,067.12 +$26.33
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET $361.62 33 $11,933.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:40am ET $352.32 33 $11,626.40 $11,760.14 $-306.98
(-2.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:20am ET $335.27 35 $11,734.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $335.89 35 $11,756.32 $11,782.19 +$22.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $333.47 35 $11,671.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $333.77 35 $11,681.95 $11,792.69 +$10.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $328.17 35 $11,485.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $330.69 35 $11,574.15 $11,881.06 +$88.37
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $332.46 35 $11,636.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $333.46 35 $11,671.10 $11,915.88 +$34.82
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $319.39 37 $11,817.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $325.29 37 $12,035.55 $12,134.00 +$218.12
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $341.23 35 $11,943.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $338.15 35 $11,835.25 $12,026.20 $-107.80
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $331.15 36 $11,921.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $333.23 36 $11,996.36 $12,101.16 +$74.96
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $336.92 35 $11,792.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $338.24 35 $11,838.40 $12,147.36 +$46.20
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $333.19 36 $11,994.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:05am ET $334.47 36 $12,041.02 $12,193.54 +$46.18
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,193.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,193.54
Total Return: +21.94%
Back to Professor Mean