Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:52

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
12.2/35
Total Return
18.2/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 47.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 46.8

30-Day Momentum

17
-13.0%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.9 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$29,092.34
Current Value
$25,788.29
Period P&L
$-3,304.15
Max Drawdown
-43.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+2.13%
Worst Trade
-17.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.86%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$671,582.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,304.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,304.15
Gross Return
-11.36%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $29,092.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 10:25am ET $113.43 256 $29,038.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:50am ET $115.12 256 $29,470.70 $29,525.06 +$432.62
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $119.82 246 $29,475.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $121.33 246 $29,847.18 $29,896.52 +$371.46
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $113.72 262 $29,795.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $112.19 262 $29,393.78 $29,494.35 $-402.17
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $105.42 279 $29,412.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $104.08 279 $29,038.32 $29,120.60 $-373.75
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $102.95 282 $29,031.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET $105.14 282 $29,649.48 $29,738.18 +$617.58
(+2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $124.80 238 $29,702.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $125.96 238 $29,977.29 $30,013.07 +$274.89
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $116.91 256 $29,928.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:50am ET $117.74 256 $30,140.16 $30,224.27 +$211.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $122.48 246 $30,131.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $101.44 246 $24,955.15 $25,048.31 $-5,175.96
(-17.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $106.70 234 $24,967.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $108.22 234 $25,323.48 $25,404.11 +$355.80
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $114.83 221 $25,378.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.16 221 $25,450.36 $25,475.94 +$71.83
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $145.76 174 $25,362.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $144.79 174 $25,193.46 $25,307.16 $-168.78
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $141.68 178 $25,218.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:25pm ET $144.38 178 $25,699.64 $25,788.29 +$481.13
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $25,788.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$15,788.29
Total Return: +157.88%
Back to Professor Mean