Compendium › Professor Mean › SQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 13 trades in period

-5.61%
Last Month Return
$5,311.94
Current Value
31%
Win Rate
$5,627.86
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:26:18

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
5.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 8.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-5.5%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,627.86
Current Value
$5,311.94
Period P&L
$-315.85
Max Drawdown
-42.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+0.99%
Worst Trade
-4.12%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
14.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,463.19
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-315.85
Net P&L (after fees)
$-315.85
Gross Return
-5.61%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $5,627.86 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $39.41 142 $5,596.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $39.80 142 $5,651.60 $5,683.16 +$55.37
(+1.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $38.48 147 $5,656.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:30am ET $38.27 147 $5,625.69 $5,652.29 $-30.87
(-0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $38.71 146 $5,651.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:30pm ET $38.81 146 $5,666.99 $5,667.82 +$15.53
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:20am ET $39.79 142 $5,650.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:55am ET $40.01 142 $5,681.41 $5,699.05 +$31.23
(+0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $38.72 147 $5,692.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:35pm ET $38.51 147 $5,660.98 $5,667.46 $-31.59
(-0.6%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $38.23 148 $5,658.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $37.93 148 $5,613.64 $5,623.06 $-44.40
(-0.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $38.87 144 $5,597.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:55am ET $39.01 144 $5,617.81 $5,643.59 +$20.53
(+0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $39.79 141 $5,610.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $39.38 141 $5,552.57 $5,585.78 $-57.81
(-1.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $40.02 139 $5,562.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $39.94 139 $5,552.35 $5,575.35 $-10.43
(-0.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $38.97 143 $5,572.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $38.84 143 $5,554.32 $5,557.68 $-17.67
(-0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $38.25 145 $5,545.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $36.67 145 $5,317.15 $5,329.10 $-228.58
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $34.23 155 $5,305.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:00am ET $34.16 155 $5,294.65 $5,318.10 $-11.00
(-0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $34.35 154 $5,290.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:40pm ET $34.31 154 $5,284.51 $5,311.94 $-6.16
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,311.94
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,688.06
Total Return: -46.88%
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