Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 16:03:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

30
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
10.9/25
Win Rate
8.4/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 29.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 29.5

30-Day Momentum

78
+11.4%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
10.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 84.7 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+49 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,025.48
Current Value
$12,195.63
Period P&L
$1,170.16
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
1.02

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
12 / 1
Best Trade
+3.20%
Worst Trade
-0.06%
Avg Trade Return
+0.98%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$297,680.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,170.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,170.16
Gross Return
+10.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+10.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,025.48 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $78.17 137 $10,709.30
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $80.67 137 $11,051.79 $11,092.60 +$342.49
(+3.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $81.18 136 $11,040.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:10am ET $81.57 136 $11,093.52 $11,145.64 +$53.04
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:55pm ET $83.96 132 $11,082.06
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:30pm ET $84.53 132 $11,157.70 $11,221.28 +$75.64
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:40pm ET $86.25 130 $11,212.21
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:00am ET $86.20 130 $11,206.00 $11,215.07 $-6.21
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:40am ET $86.33 129 $11,136.45
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $86.36 129 $11,140.44 $11,219.06 +$3.99
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $85.68 130 $11,137.75
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:25pm ET $86.18 130 $11,203.30 $11,284.61 +$65.55
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET $76.28 147 $11,213.16
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $78.39 147 $11,522.60 $11,594.05 +$309.44
(+2.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:15am ET $70.61 164 $11,579.92
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $71.24 164 $11,683.34 $11,697.47 +$103.42
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $77.03 151 $11,631.53
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $77.63 151 $11,721.38 $11,787.32 +$89.85
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $84.24 139 $11,709.36
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $84.70 139 $11,773.30 $11,851.26 +$63.94
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $80.48 147 $11,830.56
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $81.10 147 $11,920.97 $11,941.66 +$90.40
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $82.75 144 $11,916.09
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $82.98 144 $11,949.06 $11,974.64 +$32.98
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 159 $11,918.64
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $76.35 159 $12,139.63 $12,195.63 +$220.99
(+1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,195.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,195.63
Total Return: +21.96%
Back to Professor Mean