Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:41:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

37
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.3/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
6.8/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 37.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 36.8

30-Day Momentum

13
-0.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,068.02
Current Value
$13,104.47
Period P&L
$36.45
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
7 / 6
Best Trade
+1.32%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
3.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$344,829.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$36.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$36.45
Gross Return
+0.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,068.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $136.09 96 $13,064.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:55am ET $137.88 96 $13,236.83 $13,240.21 +$172.19
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $130.26 101 $13,156.26
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $130.62 101 $13,192.64 $13,276.59 +$36.38
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $128.38 103 $13,223.65
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $128.25 103 $13,209.75 $13,262.69 $-13.90
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $136.38 97 $13,228.86
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:10pm ET $137.90 97 $13,376.30 $13,410.13 +$147.44
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $140.27 95 $13,325.65
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $140.86 95 $13,381.70 $13,466.18 +$56.05
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $134.71 99 $13,336.29
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:15am ET $134.53 99 $13,318.47 $13,448.36 $-17.82
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $131.87 101 $13,318.87
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $132.37 101 $13,369.37 $13,498.86 +$50.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.71 100 $13,471.00
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:35pm ET $134.46 100 $13,446.00 $13,473.86 $-25.00
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $128.18 105 $13,459.42
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:05am ET $129.13 105 $13,558.80 $13,573.23 +$99.37
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $116.47 116 $13,510.52
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $114.15 116 $13,241.40 $13,304.11 $-269.12
(-2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $114.29 116 $13,257.58
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $112.41 116 $13,039.56 $13,086.09 $-218.02
(-1.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $112.67 116 $13,069.72
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $112.43 116 $13,041.88 $13,058.25 $-27.84
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:35am ET $110.89 117 $12,974.13
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:50am ET $111.29 117 $13,020.35 $13,104.47 +$46.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,104.47
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,104.47
Total Return: +31.04%
Back to Professor Mean