Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:04:05

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 45.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 45.0

30-Day Momentum

36
+1.7%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,324.79
Current Value
$14,569.71
Period P&L
$244.92
Max Drawdown
-11.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
9 / 3
Best Trade
+1.04%
Worst Trade
-1.81%
Avg Trade Return
+0.14%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$346,472.08
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$244.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$244.92
Gross Return
+1.71%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,324.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:40pm ET $127.46 112 $14,274.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $126.57 112 $14,175.84 $14,225.67 $-99.12
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $128.15 111 $14,224.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $128.95 111 $14,313.45 $14,314.47 +$88.80
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $139.20 102 $14,198.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:30am ET $140.09 102 $14,289.18 $14,405.25 +$90.78
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:30am ET $142.12 101 $14,354.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:50pm ET $142.06 101 $14,348.06 $14,399.19 $-6.06
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $148.59 96 $14,264.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.85 96 $14,289.60 $14,424.04 +$24.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $152.61 94 $14,345.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET $154.02 94 $14,477.87 $14,556.57 +$132.53
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $157.67 92 $14,505.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET $159.30 92 $14,656.06 $14,706.99 +$150.42
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:20pm ET $161.77 90 $14,559.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $161.83 90 $14,564.70 $14,711.94 +$4.95
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $154.19 95 $14,648.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:50am ET $154.51 95 $14,678.45 $14,742.34 +$30.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $154.18 95 $14,647.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:45pm ET $154.48 95 $14,675.60 $14,770.84 +$28.50
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $147.99 99 $14,651.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $145.31 99 $14,385.69 $14,505.52 $-265.32
(-1.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $147.35 98 $14,439.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $148.00 98 $14,504.00 $14,569.71 +$64.19
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,569.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,569.71
Total Return: +45.70%
Back to Professor Mean