Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:11:00

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
11.2/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 26.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 26.4

30-Day Momentum

10
-3.5%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,432.40
Current Value
$12,213.24
Period P&L
$-219.18
Max Drawdown
-33.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
7 / 7
Best Trade
+0.83%
Worst Trade
-1.54%
Avg Trade Return
-0.16%
Avg Hold Time
8.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$345,699.25
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-219.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-219.18
Gross Return
-1.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,432.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $19.40 644 $12,490.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 9:45am ET $19.48 644 $12,545.12 $12,548.40 +$54.74
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $19.15 655 $12,543.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:55pm ET $19.08 655 $12,497.40 $12,502.55 $-45.85
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET $18.87 662 $12,491.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:40pm ET $18.90 662 $12,511.80 $12,522.41 +$19.86
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $18.26 685 $12,511.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $18.34 685 $12,562.97 $12,573.85 +$51.44
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:10pm ET $18.19 691 $12,569.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:25pm ET $18.16 691 $12,548.56 $12,553.12 $-20.73
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $18.57 676 $12,549.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:20am ET $18.28 676 $12,357.28 $12,360.46 $-192.66
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:10pm ET $17.64 700 $12,348.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:25pm ET $17.66 700 $12,362.00 $12,374.46 +$14.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $18.29 676 $12,364.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $18.08 676 $12,218.70 $12,229.12 $-145.34
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $18.31 668 $12,227.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:15pm ET $18.24 668 $12,180.98 $12,182.36 $-46.76
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $18.00 676 $12,168.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $17.98 676 $12,151.10 $12,165.46 $-16.90
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $17.53 694 $12,164.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:00am ET $17.59 694 $12,210.93 $12,211.61 +$46.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $17.56 695 $12,204.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.63 695 $12,252.85 $12,260.26 +$48.65
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.38 705 $12,249.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.17 705 $12,101.33 $12,112.21 $-148.05
(-1.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.13 707 $12,107.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $17.27 707 $12,208.41 $12,213.24 +$101.03
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,213.24
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,213.24
Total Return: +22.13%
Back to Professor Mean