Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:37:09

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.2/35
Total Return
1.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 14.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.6%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,297.44
Current Value
$9,983.85
Period P&L
$-313.55
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.43

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
4 / 9
Best Trade
+0.89%
Worst Trade
-1.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.24%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$261,401.14
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-313.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-313.55
Gross Return
-3.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,297.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $308.05 33 $10,165.49
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $304.89 33 $10,061.37 $10,193.29 $-104.11
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $306.75 33 $10,122.87
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:10am ET $306.40 33 $10,111.20 $10,181.62 $-11.67
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET $315.48 32 $10,095.52
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $315.65 32 $10,100.80 $10,186.90 +$5.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $317.17 32 $10,149.40
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 2:50pm ET $316.81 32 $10,137.92 $10,175.42 $-11.48
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:40am ET $308.95 32 $9,886.40
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET $310.47 32 $9,935.04 $10,224.06 +$48.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $305.79 33 $10,091.07
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $306.32 33 $10,108.40 $10,241.38 +$17.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $307.08 33 $10,133.64
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $309.80 33 $10,223.40 $10,331.14 +$89.76
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET $312.27 33 $10,304.91
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 1:30pm ET $311.58 33 $10,282.17 $10,308.40 $-22.74
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:30pm ET $335.63 30 $10,068.90
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $331.33 30 $9,940.05 $10,179.55 $-128.85
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18h held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $331.36 30 $9,940.65
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $329.34 30 $9,880.20 $10,119.10 $-60.45
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $324.17 31 $10,049.27
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:55am ET $322.95 31 $10,011.30 $10,081.12 $-37.98
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
12 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $320.36 31 $9,931.09
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $318.77 31 $9,881.87 $10,031.90 $-49.22
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $319.94 31 $9,918.14
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 10:55am ET $318.39 31 $9,870.09 $9,983.85 $-48.05
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,983.85
Net Profit/Loss: $-16.15
Total Return: -0.16%
Back to Professor Mean