Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:17:31

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.8/35
Total Return
2.7/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 16.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.4

30-Day Momentum

22
+0.5%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 23.7 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,061.01
Current Value
$10,142.71
Period P&L
$81.73
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-0.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
7.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$256,323.63
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$81.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$81.73
Gross Return
+0.81%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,061.01 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $380.42 26 $9,890.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET $380.75 26 $9,899.50 $10,069.56 +$8.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:35pm ET $381.63 26 $9,922.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $380.01 26 $9,880.26 $10,027.44 $-42.12
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $378.76 26 $9,847.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:10am ET $380.23 26 $9,886.11 $10,065.79 +$38.35
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:45pm ET $378.58 26 $9,843.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:05pm ET $378.63 26 $9,844.38 $10,067.09 +$1.30
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $376.34 26 $9,784.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:25am ET $374.40 26 $9,734.53 $10,016.70 $-50.39
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $367.57 27 $9,924.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $368.58 27 $9,951.66 $10,043.97 +$27.27
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $366.29 27 $9,889.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $366.72 27 $9,901.44 $10,055.58 +$11.61
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:50pm ET $374.96 26 $9,749.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET $374.80 26 $9,744.80 $10,051.29 $-4.29
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $374.83 26 $9,745.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:45am ET $373.99 26 $9,723.86 $10,029.44 $-21.85
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $370.71 27 $10,009.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:20am ET $369.80 27 $9,984.60 $10,004.87 $-24.57
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $367.26 27 $9,916.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $368.24 27 $9,942.48 $10,031.33 +$26.46
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $361.31 27 $9,755.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $364.36 27 $9,837.59 $10,113.55 +$82.22
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $364.53 27 $9,842.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $365.61 27 $9,871.47 $10,142.71 +$29.16
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,142.71
Net Profit/Loss: +$142.71
Total Return: +1.43%
Back to Professor Mean