Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:40:37

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.3 neutral
20d Trend
+0.4%
5d Trend
+2.5%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
2.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 12.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.4

30-Day Momentum

15
-0.0%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.5 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,960.02
Current Value
$9,958.06
Period P&L
$-1.92
Max Drawdown
-5.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+0.60%
Worst Trade
-1.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
14.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$196,045.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1.92
Gross Return
-0.02%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.02%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 V Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,960.02 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $328.93 30 $9,868.05
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $329.24 30 $9,877.20 $9,969.13 +$9.15
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:30pm ET $330.00 30 $9,900.00
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:25pm ET $330.58 30 $9,917.25 $9,986.38 +$17.25
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $319.55 31 $9,906.05
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $316.33 31 $9,806.38 $9,886.72 $-99.66
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $319.55 31 $9,906.05
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $318.21 31 $9,864.51 $9,845.18 $-41.54
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $321.18 30 $9,635.55
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $321.42 30 $9,642.60 $9,852.23 +$7.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $322.97 30 $9,689.10
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:55am ET $324.92 30 $9,747.60 $9,910.73 +$58.50
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $318.64 31 $9,877.99
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $320.33 31 $9,930.08 $9,962.81 +$52.08
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:55pm ET $324.82 30 $9,744.60
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $324.61 30 $9,738.33 $9,956.54 $-6.27
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $333.31 29 $9,665.99
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $332.54 29 $9,643.66 $9,934.21 $-22.33
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $327.68 30 $9,830.55
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $328.48 30 $9,854.40 $9,958.06 +$23.85
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,958.06
Net Profit/Loss: $-41.94
Total Return: -0.42%
Back to Professor Mean