Compendium › Professor Mean › VOO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VOO
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-08-25 to present • 15 trades in period

-0.43%
Last Month Return
$11,231.53
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$11,279.51
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 21:20:59

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.18%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.6/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
8.2/15
Profit Factor
2.7/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality 35.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

10
-0.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,279.51
Current Value
$11,231.53
Period P&L
$-47.94
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
15
Winners / Losers
7 / 8
Best Trade
+0.72%
Worst Trade
-0.73%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$323,693.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-47.94
Net P&L (after fees)
$-47.94
Gross Return
-0.43%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.43%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 15 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,279.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $703.01 16 $11,248.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $703.55 16 $11,256.80 $11,288.11 +$8.64
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $708.36 15 $10,625.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:30pm ET $707.84 15 $10,617.53 $11,280.17 $-7.94
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $704.48 16 $11,271.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:15am ET $703.92 16 $11,262.72 $11,271.21 $-8.96
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $700.19 16 $11,203.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:40pm ET $698.37 16 $11,173.92 $11,242.09 $-29.12
(-0.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $710.75 15 $10,661.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $709.68 15 $10,645.20 $11,226.04 $-16.05
(-0.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $706.51 15 $10,597.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET $705.84 15 $10,587.53 $11,215.92 $-10.12
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $700.63 16 $11,210.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $700.60 16 $11,209.60 $11,215.44 $-0.48
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:35pm ET $696.22 16 $11,139.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:45pm ET $697.70 16 $11,163.20 $11,239.12 +$23.68
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:10pm ET $702.88 15 $10,543.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $697.72 15 $10,465.73 $11,161.65 $-77.47
(-0.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $698.86 15 $10,482.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $696.25 15 $10,443.74 $11,122.49 $-39.16
(-0.4%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $696.30 15 $10,444.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $701.34 15 $10,520.10 $11,198.09 +$75.60
(+0.7%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $700.25 15 $10,503.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET $700.37 15 $10,505.54 $11,199.88 +$1.79
(+0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:30am ET $712.33 15 $10,684.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $712.69 15 $10,690.35 $11,205.28 +$5.40
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET $706.90 15 $10,603.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $708.17 15 $10,622.55 $11,224.33 +$19.05
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
15 🟢 BUY Sep 25, 2026 2:40pm ET $710.08 15 $10,651.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $710.56 15 $10,658.40 $11,231.53 +$7.20
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,231.53
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,231.53
Total Return: +12.32%
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