Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:56:38

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
35.8 neutral
20d Trend
-2.8%
5d Trend
-2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.1%
Range Pos
50%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
9.1/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 35.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

31
+0.8%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.1 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,064.08
Current Value
$11,150.08
Period P&L
$86.04
Max Drawdown
-5.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+0.56%
Worst Trade
-0.25%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$258,904.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$86.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$86.04
Gross Return
+0.78%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.78%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VOO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,064.08 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET $625.34 17 $10,630.70
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $624.41 17 $10,614.95 $11,048.29 $-15.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $636.41 17 $10,818.97
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $637.47 17 $10,837.07 $11,066.40 +$18.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $642.26 17 $10,918.34
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:50am ET $643.38 17 $10,937.46 $11,085.53 +$19.13
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $651.67 17 $11,078.39
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 10:00am ET $652.28 17 $11,088.81 $11,095.95 +$10.42
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $650.26 17 $11,054.42
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $650.04 17 $11,050.76 $11,092.29 $-3.66
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $651.77 17 $11,080.13
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET $650.97 17 $11,066.49 $11,078.65 $-13.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET $655.18 16 $10,482.88
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:55am ET $656.35 16 $10,501.60 $11,097.37 +$18.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $653.37 16 $10,453.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:20am ET $653.76 16 $10,460.15 $11,103.60 +$6.23
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $663.22 16 $10,611.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $663.89 16 $10,622.24 $11,114.32 +$10.72
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 3:50pm ET $665.59 16 $10,649.44
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $669.34 16 $10,709.44 $11,174.32 +$60.00
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $674.38 16 $10,790.08
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 2:15pm ET $672.67 16 $10,762.72 $11,146.96 $-27.36
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $677.53 16 $10,840.40
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $677.72 16 $10,843.52 $11,150.08 +$3.12
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,150.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,150.08
Total Return: +11.50%
Back to Professor Mean