Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:49:44

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.5 neutral
20d Trend
-1.8%
5d Trend
-1.9%
EMA20 Dist
-0.6%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.0×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
22.3/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
8.3/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 54.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

63
+5.3%
30d Return
85%
Win Rate
13
Trades
7.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.8 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,800.28
Current Value
$13,551.31
Period P&L
$751.08
Max Drawdown
-5.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.86

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
12 / 2
Best Trade
+1.48%
Worst Trade
-0.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.42%
Avg Hold Time
6.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$360,134.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$751.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$751.08
Gross Return
+5.87%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.87%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VRTX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,800.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $547.59 23 $12,594.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $554.23 23 $12,747.29 $12,952.95 +$152.72
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $542.37 23 $12,474.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $545.92 23 $12,556.16 $13,034.60 +$81.65
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $542.40 24 $13,017.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $543.26 24 $13,038.24 $13,055.24 +$20.64
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:55pm ET $547.38 23 $12,589.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:15pm ET $549.40 23 $12,636.20 $13,101.70 +$46.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $553.03 23 $12,719.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $556.96 23 $12,810.08 $13,192.09 +$90.39
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $551.28 23 $12,679.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:35am ET $551.64 23 $12,687.72 $13,200.41 +$8.32
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $528.10 24 $12,674.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $526.22 24 $12,629.40 $13,155.41 $-45.00
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $518.84 25 $12,971.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $518.94 25 $12,973.50 $13,157.91 +$2.50
(+0.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $515.06 25 $12,876.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $522.66 25 $13,066.62 $13,348.03 +$190.12
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $513.93 25 $12,848.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:10am ET $512.83 25 $12,820.75 $13,320.53 $-27.50
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $513.59 25 $12,839.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:40pm ET $515.21 25 $12,880.25 $13,361.03 +$40.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $505.10 26 $13,132.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $506.50 26 $13,169.00 $13,397.43 +$36.40
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $509.45 26 $13,245.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $512.84 26 $13,333.71 $13,485.31 +$87.88
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:50am ET $521.12 25 $13,028.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $523.76 25 $13,094.00 $13,551.31 +$66.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,551.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,551.31
Total Return: +35.51%
Back to Professor Mean