Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
1.3/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 15.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 15.1

30-Day Momentum

15
+0.1%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 17.2 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+0 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,029.60
Current Value
$10,127.04
Period P&L
$97.47
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
7 / 5
Best Trade
+1.17%
Worst Trade
-1.41%
Avg Trade Return
+0.08%
Avg Hold Time
7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$240,859.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$97.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$97.47
Gross Return
+0.97%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,029.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $50.11 200 $10,022.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:00pm ET $50.22 200 $10,044.92 $10,052.49 +$22.92
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $49.63 202 $10,026.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $49.62 202 $10,022.23 $10,048.45 $-4.04
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:35pm ET $50.13 200 $10,025.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $50.70 200 $10,140.00 $10,163.45 +$115.00
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:50pm ET $50.47 201 $10,143.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:55am ET $50.35 201 $10,119.35 $10,139.33 $-24.12
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET $50.39 201 $10,128.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 10:55am ET $50.42 201 $10,135.42 $10,146.38 +$7.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $50.08 202 $10,116.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 12:05pm ET $49.38 202 $9,973.75 $10,003.97 $-142.41
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $49.91 200 $9,982.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $49.96 200 $9,991.00 $10,012.95 +$8.98
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:55am ET $51.37 194 $9,964.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $51.44 194 $9,978.39 $10,026.53 +$13.58
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $50.21 199 $9,992.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $49.81 199 $9,912.77 $9,947.11 $-79.42
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $47.49 209 $9,925.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:35am ET $48.04 209 $10,041.40 $10,063.08 +$115.97
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:10pm ET $47.97 209 $10,026.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $47.88 209 $10,007.96 $10,044.27 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $46.65 215 $10,028.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $47.03 215 $10,111.45 $10,127.04 +$82.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,127.04
Net Profit/Loss: +$127.04
Total Return: +1.27%
Back to Professor Mean