Compendium › Professor Mean › VZ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
VZ
Alpaca Tradeable

Professor Mean's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-23 to present • 13 trades in period

-3.23%
Last Month Return
$10,019.50
Current Value
62%
Win Rate
$10,354.05
Period Start
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PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:41:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
86 overbought
20d Trend
+20.8%
5d Trend
+7.0%
EMA20 Dist
+10.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
12.1×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
0.6/25
Win Rate
7.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.6

30-Day Momentum

17
-3.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,545
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,354.05
Current Value
$10,019.50
Period P&L
$-334.52
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
8 / 5
Best Trade
+0.92%
Worst Trade
-3.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$262,445.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-334.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-334.52
Gross Return
-3.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VZ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,354.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 10:00am ET $48.01 215 $10,321.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:30am ET $48.12 215 $10,344.73 $10,377.67 +$23.65
(+0.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $48.46 214 $10,370.42 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $48.45 214 $10,368.30 $10,375.55 $-2.12
(-0.0%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:00am ET $47.44 218 $10,341.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:30am ET $47.88 218 $10,436.75 $10,470.38 +$94.83
(+0.9%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $47.67 219 $10,439.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 2:15pm ET $47.63 219 $10,429.88 $10,460.85 $-9.53
(-0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $47.88 218 $10,437.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $46.78 218 $10,198.04 $10,221.05 $-239.80
(-2.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET $46.31 220 $10,189.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $44.83 220 $9,861.50 $9,893.25 $-327.80
(-3.2%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:50am ET $45.18 218 $9,849.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 10:50am ET $45.38 218 $9,893.93 $9,937.94 +$44.69
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $46.74 212 $9,909.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $46.89 212 $9,940.36 $9,968.36 +$30.42
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:00pm ET $47.45 210 $9,964.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $47.49 210 $9,971.85 $9,975.71 +$7.35
(+0.1%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $48.04 207 $9,945.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $47.49 207 $9,829.40 $9,859.79 $-115.92
(-1.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $46.92 210 $9,853.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $47.17 210 $9,904.65 $9,911.24 +$51.45
(+0.5%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $45.27 218 $9,868.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:15pm ET $45.42 218 $9,900.47 $9,942.85 +$31.61
(+0.3%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $45.20 219 $9,898.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:35am ET $45.55 219 $9,975.45 $10,019.50 +$76.65
(+0.8%) 		MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,019.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$19.50
Total Return: +0.19%
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