Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:59

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
70 neutral
20d Trend
+11.0%
5d Trend
+2.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.4%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
76%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 20.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 20.9

30-Day Momentum

20
+0.2%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,478.36
Current Value
$10,546.36
Period P&L
$68.02
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
8 / 4
Best Trade
+0.59%
Worst Trade
-0.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,263.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$68.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$68.02
Gross Return
+0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,478.36 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $62.49 167 $10,436.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $62.59 167 $10,452.53 $10,494.21 +$15.87
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $62.19 168 $10,447.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:25am ET $61.78 168 $10,379.88 $10,426.17 $-68.04
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $62.44 166 $10,365.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:40pm ET $62.55 166 $10,383.30 $10,443.60 +$17.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $64.10 162 $10,383.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $64.47 162 $10,444.95 $10,505.16 +$61.56
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:00pm ET $65.15 161 $10,489.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.21 161 $10,498.01 $10,513.97 +$8.81
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $65.10 161 $10,481.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.25 161 $10,504.45 $10,537.32 +$23.35
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $64.75 162 $10,489.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $65.07 162 $10,541.34 $10,589.16 +$51.84
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $64.91 163 $10,580.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:35am ET $64.45 163 $10,505.35 $10,514.18 $-74.98
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $64.14 163 $10,454.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $64.42 163 $10,500.46 $10,559.82 +$45.64
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $63.04 167 $10,528.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $62.76 167 $10,481.75 $10,513.06 $-46.76
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $61.98 169 $10,474.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $61.93 169 $10,466.17 $10,504.61 $-8.45
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $62.67 167 $10,465.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $62.92 167 $10,507.64 $10,546.36 +$41.75
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,546.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$546.36
Total Return: +5.46%
Back to Professor Mean