Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 15:59:37

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
7.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 13.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.4

30-Day Momentum

47
+2.7%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.9 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+34 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,701.94
Current Value
$9,988.88
Period P&L
$287.00
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-0.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.23%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,735.71
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$287.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$287.00
Gross Return
+2.96%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.96%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,701.94 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $149.86 64 $9,591.04
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:50pm ET $150.01 64 $9,600.64 $9,711.48 +$9.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:30pm ET $147.70 65 $9,600.50
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.17 65 $9,566.14 $9,677.12 $-34.36
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:35am ET $148.13 65 $9,628.45
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 12:15pm ET $149.12 65 $9,692.80 $9,741.47 +$64.35
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:35pm ET $150.13 64 $9,608.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $149.65 64 $9,577.60 $9,710.75 $-30.72
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $152.26 63 $9,592.38
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:40am ET $152.23 63 $9,590.49 $9,708.86 $-1.89
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:55am ET $149.87 64 $9,591.68
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $150.35 64 $9,622.40 $9,739.58 +$30.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $150.65 64 $9,641.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:35am ET $150.13 64 $9,608.32 $9,706.30 $-33.28
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:30pm ET $150.90 64 $9,657.45
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $151.46 64 $9,693.44 $9,742.29 +$35.99
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 3:30pm ET $147.48 66 $9,733.68
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:50am ET $147.82 66 $9,756.45 $9,765.06 +$22.77
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $140.90 69 $9,722.44
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:55am ET $141.40 69 $9,756.60 $9,799.21 +$34.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $140.89 69 $9,721.41
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $141.20 69 $9,742.46 $9,820.26 +$21.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $136.76 71 $9,709.96
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $138.82 71 $9,856.22 $9,966.52 +$146.26
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $139.79 71 $9,925.44
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $140.11 71 $9,947.80 $9,988.88 +$22.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,988.88
Net Profit/Loss: $-11.12
Total Return: -0.11%
Back to Professor Mean