Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:18:49

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
8.1/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 19.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.3

30-Day Momentum

36
+1.3%
30d Return
77%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 38.2 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,111.09
Current Value
$10,248.18
Period P&L
$137.15
Max Drawdown
-9.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
14
Winners / Losers
11 / 3
Best Trade
+0.87%
Worst Trade
-1.32%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
2.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$280,464.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$137.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$137.15
Gross Return
+1.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 14 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,111.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $161.51 62 $10,013.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:00am ET $161.89 62 $10,037.18 $10,134.59 +$23.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $158.90 63 $10,010.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:10am ET $156.80 63 $9,878.40 $10,002.29 $-132.30
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET $155.71 64 $9,965.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $155.90 64 $9,977.92 $10,014.77 +$12.48
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $163.92 61 $9,998.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $163.40 61 $9,967.40 $9,983.32 $-31.45
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:00pm ET $163.49 61 $9,972.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $163.82 61 $9,993.32 $10,003.75 +$20.43
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $159.83 62 $9,909.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET $160.13 62 $9,928.06 $10,022.35 +$18.60
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $164.44 60 $9,866.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:45am ET $165.71 60 $9,942.30 $10,098.25 +$75.90
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $166.04 60 $9,962.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $166.31 60 $9,978.60 $10,114.45 +$16.20
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $168.77 59 $9,957.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $168.97 59 $9,969.23 $10,126.25 +$11.80
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $162.27 62 $10,061.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET $162.08 62 $10,048.96 $10,114.16 $-12.09
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $162.46 62 $10,072.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $162.74 62 $10,089.88 $10,131.52 +$17.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $157.07 64 $10,052.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $158.43 64 $10,139.53 $10,218.57 +$87.05
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $160.50 63 $10,111.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:30pm ET $160.87 63 $10,134.81 $10,241.88 +$23.31
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
14 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $162.05 63 $10,209.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $162.15 63 $10,215.45 $10,248.18 +$6.30
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,248.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$248.18
Total Return: +2.48%
Back to Professor Mean