AAPL Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 34 trades in period
+0.52%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,390.37
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$11,331.78
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.6/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
8.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
28.5/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 28.0
30-Day Momentum
10
-0.7%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.6
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,331.78
Current Value
$11,390.37
Period P&L
$58.61
Max Drawdown
-13.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
22 /
12
Best Trade
+0.89%
Worst Trade
-2.68%
Avg Trade Return
+0.02%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$776,181.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$58.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$58.61
Gross Return
+0.52%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.52%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,331.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:15pm ET | $275.57 | 41 | $11,298.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:05pm ET | $277.07 | 41 | $11,359.87 | $11,393.48 |
+$61.71 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $280.88 | 40 | $11,235.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:15pm ET | $281.15 | 40 | $11,246.00 | $11,404.27 |
+$10.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 2:30pm ET | $287.30 | 39 | $11,204.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $287.84 | 39 | $11,225.76 | $11,425.14 |
+$20.87 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 3:50pm ET | $312.53 | 36 | $11,251.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $315.17 | 36 | $11,345.94 | $11,520.00 |
+$94.86 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $309.01 | 37 | $11,433.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:25am ET | $310.63 | 37 | $11,493.31 | $11,579.94 |
+$59.94 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $313.31 | 36 | $11,279.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:30am ET | $315.28 | 36 | $11,350.08 | $11,650.86 |
+$70.92 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $326.43 | 35 | $11,425.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:50pm ET | $327.45 | 35 | $11,460.58 | $11,686.39 |
+$35.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $330.98 | 35 | $11,584.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:30am ET | $333.93 | 35 | $11,687.72 | $11,789.81 |
+$103.42 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 12:30pm ET | $324.05 | 36 | $11,665.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 1:35pm ET | $324.83 | 36 | $11,693.88 | $11,817.89 |
+$28.08 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.82 | 36 | $11,765.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $326.20 | 36 | $11,743.38 | $11,795.75 |
$-22.14 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $320.84 | 36 | $11,550.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:35am ET | $322.68 | 36 | $11,616.48 | $11,861.99 |
+$66.24 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 2:25pm ET | $335.15 | 35 | $11,730.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $335.75 | 35 | $11,751.25 | $11,882.99 |
+$21.00 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET | $342.32 | 34 | $11,638.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $333.13 | 34 | $11,326.42 | $11,570.70 |
$-312.29 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $304.14 | 38 | $11,557.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:10am ET | $302.95 | 38 | $11,512.10 | $11,525.48 |
$-45.22 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 11:35am ET | $303.64 | 37 | $11,234.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 12:20pm ET | $304.45 | 37 | $11,264.83 | $11,555.63 |
+$30.15 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:40am ET | $307.52 | 37 | $11,378.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $308.85 | 37 | $11,427.30 | $11,604.88 |
+$49.25 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.39 | 37 | $11,521.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $313.08 | 37 | $11,583.96 | $11,667.56 |
+$62.68 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $306.49 | 38 | $11,646.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:00am ET | $307.12 | 38 | $11,670.56 | $11,691.50 |
+$23.94 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 2:05pm ET | $305.75 | 38 | $11,618.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:15pm ET | $304.74 | 38 | $11,580.31 | $11,653.31 |
$-38.19 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $305.20 | 38 | $11,597.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:50am ET | $305.99 | 38 | $11,627.58 | $11,683.29 |
+$29.98 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $315.27 | 37 | $11,664.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:50am ET | $308.77 | 37 | $11,424.45 | $11,442.75 |
$-240.54 (-2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET | $311.09 | 36 | $11,199.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $311.26 | 36 | $11,205.36 | $11,448.87 |
+$6.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.54 | 36 | $11,179.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $313.15 | 36 | $11,273.58 | $11,543.01 |
+$94.14 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $319.74 | 36 | $11,510.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:00pm ET | $319.83 | 36 | $11,513.88 | $11,546.07 |
+$3.06 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET | $324.55 | 35 | $11,359.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET | $323.96 | 35 | $11,338.77 | $11,525.77 |
$-20.30 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:00pm ET | $328.94 | 35 | $11,512.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:00pm ET | $327.20 | 35 | $11,452.00 | $11,464.87 |
$-60.90 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $317.15 | 36 | $11,417.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $316.39 | 36 | $11,390.22 | $11,437.69 |
$-27.18 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:20pm ET | $311.48 | 36 | $11,213.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 1:55pm ET | $313.09 | 36 | $11,271.24 | $11,495.65 |
+$57.96 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:40pm ET | $333.49 | 34 | $11,338.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $332.98 | 34 | $11,321.25 | $11,478.07 |
$-17.58 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $333.30 | 34 | $11,332.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $330.13 | 34 | $11,224.42 | $11,370.29 |
$-107.78 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 11:30am ET | $332.72 | 34 | $11,312.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $332.92 | 34 | $11,319.28 | $11,377.17 |
+$6.88 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:50am ET | $335.28 | 33 | $11,064.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $334.96 | 33 | $11,053.68 | $11,366.61 |
$-10.56 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:15pm ET | $341.44 | 33 | $11,267.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $341.18 | 33 | $11,258.94 | $11,358.03 |
$-8.58 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.3h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $335.56 | 33 | $11,073.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 9:55am ET | $336.54 | 33 | $11,105.82 | $11,390.37 |
+$32.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,390.37
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,390.37
Total Return:
+13.90%