ABBV Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+0.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$9,981.15
Current Value
51%
Win Rate
$9,958.41
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.1 neutral
20d Trend
+0.3%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
48%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality
14.7/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 14.6
30-Day Momentum
54
+3.9%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
12
Trades
5.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 58.8
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,958.41
Current Value
$9,981.15
Period P&L
$22.74
Max Drawdown
-17.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
20 /
19
Best Trade
+2.06%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
8.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$748,617.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$22.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$22.74
Gross Return
+0.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ABBV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,958.41 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $247.07 | 40 | $9,882.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $246.64 | 40 | $9,865.60 | $9,941.22 |
$-17.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 3:50pm ET | $254.19 | 39 | $9,913.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $251.79 | 39 | $9,819.62 | $9,847.42 |
$-93.79 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:55am ET | $248.87 | 39 | $9,705.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 10:55am ET | $249.65 | 39 | $9,736.35 | $9,877.84 |
+$30.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.44 | 38 | $9,820.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:40pm ET | $255.78 | 38 | $9,719.64 | $9,776.76 |
$-101.08 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 12:45pm ET | $256.21 | 38 | $9,735.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $254.88 | 38 | $9,685.44 | $9,726.22 |
$-50.54 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET | $252.85 | 38 | $9,608.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $253.51 | 38 | $9,633.19 | $9,751.30 |
+$25.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $246.45 | 39 | $9,611.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 11:30am ET | $246.75 | 39 | $9,623.25 | $9,763.19 |
+$11.89 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:20pm ET | $245.71 | 39 | $9,582.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 12:40pm ET | $246.38 | 39 | $9,608.82 | $9,789.13 |
+$25.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $244.75 | 39 | $9,545.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.90 | 39 | $9,511.91 | $9,755.78 |
$-33.34 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $254.49 | 38 | $9,670.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $253.59 | 38 | $9,636.23 | $9,721.39 |
$-34.39 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 12:20pm ET | $255.60 | 38 | $9,712.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 12:30pm ET | $255.07 | 38 | $9,692.66 | $9,701.25 |
$-20.14 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 12:30pm ET | $256.44 | 37 | $9,488.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET | $255.96 | 37 | $9,470.34 | $9,683.31 |
$-17.95 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 12:35pm ET | $259.23 | 37 | $9,591.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:15pm ET | $259.06 | 37 | $9,585.22 | $9,677.02 |
$-6.29 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $264.23 | 36 | $9,512.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $263.40 | 36 | $9,482.58 | $9,647.32 |
$-29.70 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.77 | 37 | $9,574.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $256.20 | 37 | $9,479.40 | $9,552.23 |
$-95.09 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $249.23 | 38 | $9,470.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 11:10am ET | $246.51 | 38 | $9,367.57 | $9,449.25 |
$-102.98 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $245.28 | 38 | $9,320.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 2:05pm ET | $245.88 | 38 | $9,343.25 | $9,471.86 |
+$22.61 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.24 | 39 | $9,447.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.76 | 39 | $9,545.83 | $9,570.33 |
+$98.47 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 11:50am ET | $244.53 | 39 | $9,536.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 12:30pm ET | $245.24 | 39 | $9,564.17 | $9,597.83 |
+$27.50 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 3:45pm ET | $249.48 | 38 | $9,480.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.80 | 38 | $9,416.59 | $9,534.37 |
$-63.46 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $251.34 | 37 | $9,299.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $250.93 | 37 | $9,284.41 | $9,519.20 |
$-15.17 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $249.53 | 38 | $9,482.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $250.07 | 38 | $9,502.47 | $9,539.53 |
+$20.33 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 1:55pm ET | $256.64 | 37 | $9,495.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 2:30pm ET | $257.50 | 37 | $9,527.50 | $9,571.17 |
+$31.64 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $265.03 | 36 | $9,541.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $264.79 | 36 | $9,532.44 | $9,562.53 |
$-8.64 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 1:25pm ET | $265.33 | 36 | $9,551.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $265.72 | 36 | $9,565.92 | $9,576.57 |
+$14.04 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $264.76 | 36 | $9,531.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:25pm ET | $264.09 | 36 | $9,507.24 | $9,552.45 |
$-24.12 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:35pm ET | $265.60 | 35 | $9,296.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $266.12 | 35 | $9,314.32 | $9,570.76 |
+$18.31 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $259.60 | 36 | $9,345.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 11:05am ET | $258.89 | 36 | $9,320.04 | $9,545.20 |
$-25.56 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 1:25pm ET | $255.83 | 37 | $9,465.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:15pm ET | $255.85 | 37 | $9,466.52 | $9,546.01 |
+$0.81 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:55pm ET | $256.40 | 37 | $9,486.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $261.67 | 37 | $9,681.79 | $9,741.00 |
+$194.99 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.17 | 37 | $9,589.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 10:50am ET | $260.26 | 37 | $9,629.62 | $9,781.33 |
+$40.33 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:00pm ET | $256.73 | 38 | $9,755.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:55pm ET | $256.32 | 38 | $9,740.16 | $9,765.56 |
$-15.77 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET | $249.56 | 39 | $9,732.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $250.85 | 39 | $9,783.15 | $9,815.87 |
+$50.31 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $256.91 | 38 | $9,762.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:30pm ET | $257.39 | 38 | $9,780.63 | $9,834.11 |
+$18.24 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $258.69 | 38 | $9,830.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $258.27 | 38 | $9,814.26 | $9,818.15 |
$-15.96 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $262.19 | 37 | $9,701.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $262.50 | 37 | $9,712.50 | $9,829.64 |
+$11.49 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:30pm ET | $263.86 | 37 | $9,762.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $264.92 | 37 | $9,802.04 | $9,868.86 |
+$39.22 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $262.54 | 37 | $9,713.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:35am ET | $264.12 | 37 | $9,772.44 | $9,927.32 |
+$58.46 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $263.28 | 37 | $9,741.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $264.73 | 37 | $9,795.19 | $9,981.15 |
+$53.83 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,981.15
Net Profit/Loss:
$-18.85
Total Return:
-0.19%