Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,042
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,716.70
Current Value
$8,593.61
Period P&L
$-123.05
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
23 / 17
Best Trade
+2.69%
Worst Trade
-3.47%
Avg Trade Return
-0.03%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$681,743.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-123.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-123.05
Gross Return
-1.41%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,716.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $331.82 26 $8,627.19
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:35am ET $330.44 26 $8,591.44 $8,680.92 $-35.75
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 9:50am ET $330.05 26 $8,581.30
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:55am ET $328.20 26 $8,533.20 $8,632.82 $-48.10
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 18, 2025 10:15am ET $323.37 26 $8,407.62
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 11:25am ET $324.08 26 $8,426.08 $8,651.28 +$18.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 2:35pm ET $317.93 27 $8,584.11
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 3:15pm ET $319.31 27 $8,621.37 $8,688.54 +$37.26
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 3:40pm ET $313.29 27 $8,458.83
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 9:30am ET $315.21 27 $8,510.54 $8,740.25 +$51.70
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 9:30am ET $323.80 26 $8,418.80
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 9:35am ET $322.36 26 $8,381.26 $8,702.71 $-37.54
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 25, 2025 9:45am ET $317.38 27 $8,569.26
🔴 SELL Nov 25, 2025 10:35am ET $318.37 27 $8,595.86 $8,729.30 +$26.60
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:50pm ET $317.54 27 $8,573.58
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $318.46 27 $8,598.42 $8,754.14 +$24.84
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 1:25pm ET $324.67 26 $8,441.35
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 3:50pm ET $322.78 26 $8,392.28 $8,705.07 $-49.07
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 3:50pm ET $322.09 27 $8,696.43
🔴 SELL Dec 3, 2025 9:35am ET $324.77 27 $8,768.79 $8,777.43 +$72.36
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 10:10am ET $324.35 27 $8,757.55
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 10:35am ET $326.86 27 $8,825.22 $8,845.10 +$67.67
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 3:45pm ET $346.73 25 $8,668.25
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET $347.52 25 $8,688.12 $8,864.98 +$19.87
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:45pm ET $344.79 25 $8,619.63
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 1:50pm ET $345.78 25 $8,644.38 $8,889.73 +$24.75
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET $352.24 25 $8,806.00
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 9:30am ET $354.61 25 $8,865.13 $8,948.85 +$59.13
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 15, 2025 9:30am ET $351.11 25 $8,777.75
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 11:05am ET $348.44 25 $8,711.00 $8,882.10 $-66.75
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 11:25am ET $350.87 25 $8,771.75
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 1:05pm ET $347.36 25 $8,684.00 $8,794.35 $-87.75
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 18, 2025 12:10pm ET $351.90 24 $8,445.60
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 12:30pm ET $353.64 24 $8,487.36 $8,836.11 +$41.76
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 2:50pm ET $355.17 24 $8,524.01
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 3:50pm ET $356.94 24 $8,566.44 $8,878.54 +$42.43
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $356.33 24 $8,551.80
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:40am ET $355.97 24 $8,543.23 $8,869.97 $-8.57
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 24, 2025 12:45pm ET $353.55 25 $8,838.63
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 9:30am ET $354.56 25 $8,864.00 $8,895.35 +$25.37
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET $350.85 25 $8,771.25
🔴 SELL Dec 30, 2025 9:45am ET $354.35 25 $8,858.75 $8,982.85 +$87.50
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:30am ET $345.96 25 $8,649.00
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:35am ET $342.68 25 $8,566.88 $8,900.72 $-82.12
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $332.79 26 $8,652.54
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 1:55pm ET $333.74 26 $8,677.24 $8,925.42 +$24.70
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $339.80 26 $8,834.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 2:05pm ET $339.14 26 $8,817.64 $8,908.26 $-17.16
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $340.00 26 $8,840.00
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 9:30am ET $331.48 26 $8,618.48 $8,686.74 $-221.52
(-2.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $325.71 26 $8,468.46
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:35am ET $325.37 26 $8,459.62 $8,677.90 $-8.84
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $320.98 27 $8,666.46
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 2:30pm ET $309.83 27 $8,365.41 $8,376.85 $-301.05
(-3.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $302.84 27 $8,176.61
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 10:20am ET $303.77 27 $8,201.66 $8,401.90 +$25.05
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 3:10pm ET $296.71 28 $8,307.81
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $292.98 28 $8,203.44 $8,297.53 $-104.37
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 10:05am ET $289.67 28 $8,110.62
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 10:25am ET $291.39 28 $8,158.92 $8,345.83 +$48.30
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 11:40am ET $298.70 27 $8,064.90
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $298.56 27 $8,061.12 $8,342.05 $-3.78
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $304.26 27 $8,215.02
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 2:30pm ET $305.19 27 $8,240.13 $8,367.16 +$25.11
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 2:25pm ET $297.95 28 $8,342.46
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $299.48 28 $8,385.44 $8,410.14 +$42.98
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
6m held
34 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $291.79 28 $8,169.98
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 12:40pm ET $292.96 28 $8,202.88 $8,443.04 +$32.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $294.66 28 $8,250.35
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 3:20pm ET $292.59 28 $8,192.52 $8,385.20 $-57.83
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET $264.94 31 $8,213.14
🔴 SELL Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $272.06 31 $8,433.86 $8,605.92 +$220.72
(+2.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 12:50pm ET $270.92 31 $8,398.67
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:05pm ET $271.45 31 $8,414.95 $8,622.20 +$16.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 2:10pm ET $266.81 32 $8,537.92
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $267.85 32 $8,571.20 $8,655.48 +$33.28
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
39 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 2:30pm ET $267.80 32 $8,569.60
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $266.64 32 $8,532.48 $8,618.36 $-37.12
(-0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
1.4h held
40 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $259.82 33 $8,574.06
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:35am ET $259.07 33 $8,549.31 $8,593.61 $-24.75
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,593.61
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,406.39
Total Return: -14.06%
Back to Professor Mean