ADBE Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 36 trades in period
-3.23%
Last 3 Months Return
$8,134.32
Current Value
61%
Win Rate
$8,406.15
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
23.9 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-9.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
3.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
10
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
6.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality
10.6/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 10.4
30-Day Momentum
16
-2.3%
30d Return
58%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.9
Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$8,406.15
Current Value
$8,134.32
Period P&L
$-271.80
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
22 /
14
Best Trade
+2.42%
Worst Trade
-7.68%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$580,169.77
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-271.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-271.80
Gross Return
-3.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.23%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ADBE Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $8,406.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.19 | 34 | $8,268.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 12:10pm ET | $239.04 | 34 | $8,127.36 | $8,265.02 |
$-141.10 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 1:50pm ET | $237.58 | 34 | $8,077.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 2:20pm ET | $238.22 | 34 | $8,099.48 | $8,286.78 |
+$21.76 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.38 | 35 | $8,273.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $235.64 | 35 | $8,247.40 | $8,260.88 |
$-25.90 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 1:35pm ET | $240.72 | 34 | $8,184.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $240.36 | 34 | $8,172.24 | $8,248.64 |
$-12.24 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.96 | 34 | $8,226.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $240.85 | 34 | $8,188.90 | $8,210.90 |
$-37.74 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $243.40 | 33 | $8,032.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:25pm ET | $244.10 | 33 | $8,055.14 | $8,233.84 |
+$22.94 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 1:25pm ET | $242.04 | 34 | $8,229.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $231.26 | 34 | $7,862.70 | $7,867.01 |
$-366.83 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.1h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $227.12 | 34 | $7,722.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:00pm ET | $225.88 | 34 | $7,679.75 | $7,824.68 |
$-42.33 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 3:10pm ET | $237.97 | 32 | $7,615.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 3:30pm ET | $239.24 | 32 | $7,655.68 | $7,865.32 |
+$40.64 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:15pm ET | $247.51 | 31 | $7,672.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $248.13 | 31 | $7,691.91 | $7,884.42 |
+$19.10 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $246.35 | 32 | $7,883.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 9:35am ET | $246.17 | 32 | $7,877.44 | $7,878.79 |
$-5.63 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 1:40pm ET | $253.93 | 31 | $7,871.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 2:30pm ET | $254.82 | 31 | $7,899.42 | $7,906.38 |
+$27.59 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.71 | 32 | $7,702.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $245.70 | 32 | $7,862.40 | $8,065.90 |
+$159.52 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $240.97 | 33 | $7,952.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $240.24 | 33 | $7,928.08 | $8,041.97 |
$-23.93 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $238.88 | 33 | $7,883.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:30am ET | $240.86 | 33 | $7,948.38 | $8,107.31 |
+$65.34 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $249.37 | 32 | $7,979.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 9:50am ET | $250.46 | 32 | $8,014.88 | $8,142.35 |
+$35.04 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $250.76 | 32 | $8,024.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 10:25am ET | $253.60 | 32 | $8,115.20 | $8,233.23 |
+$90.88 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $256.89 | 32 | $8,220.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 2:25pm ET | $257.06 | 32 | $8,225.92 | $8,238.67 |
+$5.44 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 8, 2026 2:40pm ET | $251.41 | 32 | $8,045.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 8, 2026 3:00pm ET | $252.02 | 32 | $8,064.64 | $8,258.19 |
+$19.52 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $244.90 | 33 | $8,081.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 3:20pm ET | $245.45 | 33 | $8,099.69 | $8,276.18 |
+$17.99 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $238.54 | 34 | $8,110.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 12:45pm ET | $234.22 | 34 | $7,963.48 | $8,129.30 |
$-146.88 (-1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 2:45pm ET | $246.65 | 32 | $7,892.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 3:55pm ET | $247.32 | 32 | $7,914.40 | $8,150.74 |
+$21.44 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 1:20pm ET | $252.20 | 32 | $8,070.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 1:40pm ET | $255.75 | 32 | $8,184.00 | $8,264.34 |
+$113.60 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $243.60 | 33 | $8,038.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $245.55 | 33 | $8,103.31 | $8,329.02 |
+$64.68 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.40 | 34 | $8,207.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $243.38 | 34 | $8,274.75 | $8,396.34 |
+$67.32 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $237.51 | 35 | $8,312.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 9:45am ET | $240.10 | 35 | $8,403.33 | $8,486.82 |
+$90.48 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $272.80 | 31 | $8,456.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 3:05pm ET | $274.04 | 31 | $8,495.24 | $8,525.41 |
+$38.59 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.34 | 33 | $8,459.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $254.95 | 33 | $8,413.35 | $8,479.54 |
$-45.87 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $261.50 | 32 | $8,368.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET | $260.24 | 32 | $8,327.68 | $8,439.22 |
$-40.32 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 2:55pm ET | $250.99 | 33 | $8,282.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $251.75 | 33 | $8,307.75 | $8,464.30 |
+$25.08 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $245.70 | 34 | $8,353.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $241.70 | 34 | $8,217.80 | $8,328.30 |
$-136.00 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.65 | 35 | $8,142.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET | $237.76 | 35 | $8,321.60 | $8,507.32 |
+$179.02 (+2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET | $219.24 | 38 | $8,331.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $202.40 | 38 | $7,691.20 | $7,867.40 |
$-639.92 (-7.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET | $207.74 | 37 | $7,686.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $207.05 | 37 | $7,660.85 | $7,842.06 |
$-25.34 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:40am ET | $201.10 | 38 | $7,641.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET | $205.97 | 38 | $7,826.86 | $8,027.31 |
+$185.25 (+2.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $193.16 | 41 | $7,919.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $195.77 | 41 | $8,026.77 | $8,134.32 |
+$107.01 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$8,134.32
Net Profit/Loss:
$-1,865.68
Total Return:
-18.66%