AMC Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 39 trades in period
+22.40%
Last 3 Months Return
$23,028.27
Current Value
67%
Win Rate
$18,813.66
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.6 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-0.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.1%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
1.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
62
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
24.5/35
Total Return
17.6/25
Win Rate
9.6/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality
62.1/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 61.9
30-Day Momentum
36
+3.2%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 37.7
Conf: 0.95×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$18,813.66
Current Value
$23,028.27
Period P&L
$4,214.71
Max Drawdown
-18.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
26 /
13
Best Trade
+3.95%
Worst Trade
-5.51%
Avg Trade Return
+0.54%
Avg Hold Time
9.6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,699,385.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,214.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,214.71
Gross Return
+22.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+22.40%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $18,813.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $2.02 | 9,335 | $18,812.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:00pm ET | $2.04 | 9,335 | $18,996.73 | $18,997.46 |
+$183.90 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1.95 | 9,767 | $18,996.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $1.93 | 9,767 | $18,899.14 | $18,899.79 |
$-97.67 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.91 | 9,895 | $18,899.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $1.94 | 9,895 | $19,162.66 | $19,163.00 |
+$263.21 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1.74 | 11,013 | $19,162.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1.77 | 11,013 | $19,548.07 | $19,548.45 |
+$385.45 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $1.61 | 12,111 | $19,548.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 10:45am ET | $1.67 | 12,111 | $20,224.16 | $20,224.24 |
+$675.79 (+3.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 2:40pm ET | $1.90 | 10,644 | $20,223.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1.91 | 10,644 | $20,383.26 | $20,383.90 |
+$159.66 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1.88 | 10,842 | $20,382.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:45am ET | $1.91 | 10,842 | $20,683.28 | $20,684.22 |
+$300.32 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1.97 | 10,526 | $20,683.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $1.98 | 10,526 | $20,884.64 | $20,885.27 |
+$201.05 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.01 | 10,416 | $20,884.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 3:30pm ET | $2.03 | 10,416 | $21,144.48 | $21,145.67 |
+$260.40 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.02 | 10,494 | $21,145.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $1.99 | 10,494 | $20,830.59 | $20,830.85 |
$-314.82 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:05pm ET | $2.38 | 8,765 | $20,829.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.44 | 8,765 | $21,430.42 | $21,432.12 |
+$601.28 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.22 | 9,645 | $21,431.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.31 | 9,645 | $22,278.02 | $22,278.96 |
+$846.83 (+4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.19 | 10,173 | $22,277.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:20am ET | $2.17 | 10,173 | $22,075.41 | $22,076.52 |
$-202.44 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.31 | 9,577 | $22,074.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.36 | 9,577 | $22,585.44 | $22,586.97 |
+$510.45 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.64 | 8,555 | $22,585.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $2.71 | 8,555 | $23,200.30 | $23,202.07 |
+$615.10 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 2:15pm ET | $2.80 | 8,286 | $23,200.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $2.84 | 8,286 | $23,532.24 | $23,533.51 |
+$331.44 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 3:00pm ET | $2.67 | 8,814 | $23,533.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $2.68 | 8,814 | $23,665.59 | $23,665.72 |
+$132.21 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 9:50am ET | $2.55 | 9,273 | $23,664.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.47 | 9,273 | $22,950.67 | $22,951.70 |
$-714.02 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $2.49 | 9,217 | $22,950.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $2.42 | 9,217 | $22,304.22 | $22,305.59 |
$-646.11 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 1:10pm ET | $2.42 | 9,217 | $22,305.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.40 | 9,217 | $22,120.80 | $22,121.25 |
$-184.34 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.54 | 8,726 | $22,120.41 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $2.61 | 8,726 | $22,731.23 | $22,732.07 |
+$610.82 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 12:45pm ET | $2.53 | 8,985 | $22,732.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 2:05pm ET | $2.52 | 8,985 | $22,642.20 | $22,642.22 |
$-89.85 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.40 | 9,414 | $22,640.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:20am ET | $2.36 | 9,414 | $22,184.09 | $22,185.64 |
$-456.58 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $2.52 | 8,803 | $22,184.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:15pm ET | $2.54 | 8,803 | $22,315.61 | $22,316.80 |
+$131.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 3:55pm ET | $2.47 | 9,016 | $22,314.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.53 | 9,016 | $22,765.40 | $22,767.60 |
+$450.80 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET | $2.71 | 8,401 | $22,765.87 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $2.65 | 8,401 | $22,304.65 | $22,306.39 |
$-461.21 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $2.66 | 8,385 | $22,304.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $2.68 | 8,385 | $22,470.96 | $22,473.25 |
+$166.86 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 12:00pm ET | $2.71 | 8,285 | $22,473.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET | $2.70 | 8,285 | $22,368.67 | $22,368.86 |
$-104.39 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.62 | 8,554 | $22,368.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:45pm ET | $2.63 | 8,554 | $22,454.25 | $22,454.40 |
+$85.54 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $2.56 | 8,771 | $22,453.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.58 | 8,771 | $22,618.65 | $22,619.29 |
+$164.89 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.64 | 8,551 | $22,617.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.69 | 8,551 | $23,002.19 | $23,004.09 |
+$384.80 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $2.63 | 8,746 | $23,001.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.48 | 8,746 | $21,733.81 | $21,735.92 |
$-1,268.17 (-5.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET | $2.54 | 8,557 | $21,734.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET | $2.51 | 8,557 | $21,435.29 | $21,436.43 |
$-299.49 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $2.40 | 8,931 | $21,434.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $2.45 | 8,931 | $21,925.60 | $21,927.63 |
+$491.20 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 1:35pm ET | $2.50 | 8,771 | $21,927.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.49 | 8,771 | $21,839.79 | $21,839.92 |
$-87.71 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $2.64 | 8,257 | $21,839.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $2.65 | 8,257 | $21,922.33 | $21,922.49 |
+$82.57 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET | $2.66 | 8,226 | $21,922.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $2.70 | 8,226 | $22,210.20 | $22,210.40 |
+$287.91 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $2.86 | 7,779 | $22,209.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:30am ET | $2.95 | 7,779 | $22,948.05 | $22,949.41 |
+$739.01 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET | $2.91 | 7,886 | $22,948.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $2.92 | 7,886 | $23,027.12 | $23,028.27 |
+$78.86 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$23,028.27
Net Profit/Loss:
+$13,028.27
Total Return:
+130.28%