AMD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 40 trades in period
+21.80%
Last 3 Months Return
$11,969.13
Current Value
65%
Win Rate
$9,826.69
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.0/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality
26.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 26.6
30-Day Momentum
66
+9.0%
30d Return
69%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 69.8
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+40 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$9,826.69
Current Value
$11,969.13
Period P&L
$2,142.46
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
26 /
14
Best Trade
+4.84%
Worst Trade
-4.03%
Avg Trade Return
+0.52%
Avg Hold Time
6.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$819,213.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,142.46
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,142.46
Gross Return
+21.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+21.80%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,826.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $205.38 | 47 | $9,652.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $203.91 | 47 | $9,583.89 | $9,757.93 |
$-68.73 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 1:05pm ET | $201.13 | 48 | $9,654.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $202.37 | 48 | $9,713.52 | $9,817.08 |
+$59.15 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 3:45pm ET | $219.67 | 44 | $9,665.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $217.85 | 44 | $9,585.62 | $9,737.22 |
$-79.86 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $201.85 | 48 | $9,688.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 11:25am ET | $199.52 | 48 | $9,576.96 | $9,625.38 |
$-111.84 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $193.90 | 49 | $9,501.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET | $196.36 | 49 | $9,621.64 | $9,745.68 |
+$120.30 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:30pm ET | $212.49 | 45 | $9,562.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $210.59 | 45 | $9,476.33 | $9,659.73 |
$-85.95 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 1:00pm ET | $219.36 | 44 | $9,651.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:30pm ET | $219.90 | 44 | $9,675.40 | $9,683.29 |
+$23.56 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $217.54 | 44 | $9,571.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET | $219.09 | 44 | $9,639.96 | $9,751.71 |
+$68.42 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $244.32 | 39 | $9,528.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 10:55am ET | $244.18 | 39 | $9,523.02 | $9,746.25 |
$-5.46 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 15, 2026 12:35pm ET | $255.34 | 38 | $9,702.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 2:00pm ET | $254.15 | 38 | $9,657.70 | $9,701.22 |
$-45.03 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 2:10pm ET | $273.57 | 35 | $9,574.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $274.30 | 35 | $9,600.37 | $9,726.82 |
+$25.60 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 20, 2026 12:45pm ET | $273.34 | 35 | $9,567.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 1:55pm ET | $274.26 | 35 | $9,599.10 | $9,758.88 |
+$32.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $282.42 | 34 | $9,602.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $291.27 | 34 | $9,903.18 | $10,059.78 |
+$300.90 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET | $305.58 | 32 | $9,778.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 2:35pm ET | $305.40 | 32 | $9,772.96 | $10,054.18 |
$-5.60 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $338.27 | 29 | $9,809.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 11:10am ET | $335.64 | 29 | $9,733.70 | $9,978.06 |
$-76.13 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 3:55pm ET | $322.96 | 30 | $9,688.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $326.58 | 30 | $9,797.40 | $10,086.66 |
+$108.60 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $334.23 | 30 | $10,027.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $339.93 | 30 | $10,197.90 | $10,257.51 |
+$170.85 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $355.94 | 28 | $9,966.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:45pm ET | $341.61 | 28 | $9,565.02 | $9,856.21 |
$-401.30 (-4.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $353.24 | 27 | $9,537.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 3:40pm ET | $357.29 | 27 | $9,646.83 | $9,965.56 |
+$109.35 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 9:45am ET | $411.41 | 24 | $9,873.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 10:20am ET | $419.91 | 24 | $10,077.84 | $10,169.56 |
+$204.00 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 11, 2026 1:20pm ET | $462.36 | 21 | $9,709.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $465.32 | 21 | $9,771.72 | $10,231.72 |
+$62.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $447.17 | 22 | $9,837.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 13, 2026 3:40pm ET | $448.80 | 22 | $9,873.60 | $10,267.47 |
+$35.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $433.34 | 23 | $9,966.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 15, 2026 11:10am ET | $433.64 | 23 | $9,973.61 | $10,274.26 |
+$6.79 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 2:20pm ET | $411.80 | 24 | $9,883.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET | $416.69 | 24 | $10,000.56 | $10,391.62 |
+$117.36 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 3:55pm ET | $412.41 | 25 | $10,310.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $428.04 | 25 | $10,701.00 | $10,782.37 |
+$390.75 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $441.73 | 24 | $10,601.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $437.82 | 24 | $10,507.68 | $10,688.65 |
$-93.72 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | May 22, 2026 3:10pm ET | $467.58 | 22 | $10,286.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $482.23 | 22 | $10,609.06 | $11,010.95 |
+$322.30 (+3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $494.70 | 22 | $10,883.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $491.89 | 22 | $10,821.47 | $10,949.02 |
$-61.93 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $516.91 | 21 | $10,855.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 28, 2026 3:40pm ET | $519.85 | 21 | $10,916.85 | $11,010.76 |
+$61.74 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET | $495.99 | 22 | $10,911.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET | $500.35 | 22 | $11,007.70 | $11,106.68 |
+$95.92 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $514.13 | 21 | $10,796.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 4, 2026 10:50am ET | $518.67 | 21 | $10,891.98 | $11,201.93 |
+$95.25 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $478.60 | 23 | $11,007.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 1:35pm ET | $477.36 | 23 | $10,979.28 | $11,173.41 |
$-28.52 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $487.92 | 22 | $10,734.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $490.65 | 22 | $10,794.41 | $11,233.57 |
+$60.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET | $458.95 | 24 | $11,014.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 12:35pm ET | $458.04 | 24 | $10,992.96 | $11,211.85 |
$-21.72 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 11, 2026 12:50pm ET | $463.08 | 24 | $11,113.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET | $471.76 | 24 | $11,322.12 | $11,420.00 |
+$208.15 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET | $511.02 | 22 | $11,242.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $535.75 | 22 | $11,786.50 | $11,964.17 |
+$544.17 (+4.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $542.51 | 22 | $11,935.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 16, 2026 12:10pm ET | $524.19 | 22 | $11,532.18 | $11,561.24 |
$-402.93 (-3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET | $521.59 | 22 | $11,474.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 1:20pm ET | $524.14 | 22 | $11,531.08 | $11,617.34 |
+$56.10 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 18, 2026 2:15pm ET | $532.16 | 21 | $11,175.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 18, 2026 3:20pm ET | $533.80 | 21 | $11,209.90 | $11,651.89 |
+$34.55 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.58 | 22 | $11,188.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 23, 2026 11:05am ET | $523.00 | 22 | $11,506.00 | $11,969.13 |
+$317.24 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$11,969.13
Net Profit/Loss:
+$1,969.13
Total Return:
+19.69%