AMD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+2.84%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,308.57
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$11,969.15
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
29
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
2.8/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
28.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 28.7
30-Day Momentum
42
+3.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 45.5
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,969.15
Current Value
$12,308.57
Period P&L
$339.44
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 /
18
Best Trade
+5.64%
Worst Trade
-7.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
6h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$953,932.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$339.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$339.44
Gross Return
+2.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.84%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,969.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:10pm ET | $513.73 | 23 | $11,815.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $512.41 | 23 | $11,785.43 | $11,938.74 |
$-30.39 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $522.73 | 22 | $11,500.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $526.64 | 22 | $11,585.97 | $12,024.65 |
+$85.91 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $508.80 | 23 | $11,702.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 10:55am ET | $514.52 | 23 | $11,833.85 | $12,156.10 |
+$131.45 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $554.11 | 21 | $11,636.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $550.00 | 21 | $11,550.00 | $12,069.79 |
$-86.31 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $527.99 | 22 | $11,615.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $544.99 | 22 | $11,989.78 | $12,443.68 |
+$373.89 (+3.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.08 | 24 | $12,385.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $511.42 | 24 | $12,274.20 | $12,332.08 |
$-111.60 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 12:35pm ET | $550.47 | 22 | $12,110.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:00pm ET | $548.19 | 22 | $12,060.18 | $12,281.92 |
$-50.16 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:30am ET | $535.52 | 22 | $11,781.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $531.11 | 22 | $11,684.42 | $12,185.01 |
$-96.91 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $553.47 | 22 | $12,176.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $557.07 | 22 | $12,255.54 | $12,264.21 |
+$79.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $516.07 | 23 | $11,869.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $512.67 | 23 | $11,791.36 | $12,185.96 |
$-78.25 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $463.01 | 26 | $12,038.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $489.14 | 26 | $12,717.64 | $12,865.35 |
+$679.39 (+5.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $507.42 | 25 | $12,685.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $526.61 | 25 | $13,165.25 | $13,345.10 |
+$479.75 (+3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $547.30 | 24 | $13,135.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $555.99 | 24 | $13,343.76 | $13,553.54 |
+$208.44 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $520.22 | 26 | $13,525.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET | $529.49 | 26 | $13,766.74 | $13,794.57 |
+$241.02 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $458.43 | 30 | $13,753.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET | $451.91 | 30 | $13,557.30 | $13,598.82 |
$-195.75 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 11:50am ET | $426.20 | 31 | $13,212.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 12:25pm ET | $429.71 | 31 | $13,321.01 | $13,707.62 |
+$108.81 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 2:55pm ET | $485.40 | 28 | $13,591.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 3:10pm ET | $489.60 | 28 | $13,708.80 | $13,825.08 |
+$117.46 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 3:40pm ET | $483.84 | 28 | $13,547.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $463.71 | 28 | $12,983.88 | $13,261.44 |
$-563.64 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:55pm ET | $524.11 | 25 | $13,102.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $484.67 | 25 | $12,116.75 | $12,275.44 |
$-986.00 (-7.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $471.14 | 26 | $12,249.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $486.89 | 26 | $12,659.14 | $12,684.81 |
+$409.37 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET | $480.48 | 26 | $12,492.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $482.85 | 26 | $12,554.10 | $12,746.43 |
+$61.62 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:40pm ET | $474.26 | 26 | $12,330.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.90 | 26 | $12,113.53 | $12,529.14 |
$-217.29 (-1.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $490.40 | 25 | $12,260.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.33 | 25 | $12,208.20 | $12,477.34 |
$-51.80 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $505.21 | 24 | $12,125.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $488.00 | 24 | $11,712.00 | $12,064.30 |
$-413.04 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:40am ET | $475.50 | 25 | $11,887.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:15am ET | $466.57 | 25 | $11,664.13 | $11,840.93 |
$-223.37 (-1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:35am ET | $460.88 | 25 | $11,521.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:25pm ET | $464.20 | 25 | $11,605.00 | $11,924.06 |
+$83.13 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $459.50 | 25 | $11,487.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $457.89 | 25 | $11,447.25 | $11,883.81 |
$-40.25 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $475.04 | 25 | $11,876.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $483.83 | 25 | $12,095.87 | $12,103.68 |
+$219.87 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $473.70 | 25 | $11,842.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET | $478.75 | 25 | $11,968.80 | $12,229.97 |
+$126.29 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:45am ET | $471.52 | 25 | $11,787.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 12:55pm ET | $471.60 | 25 | $11,789.88 | $12,231.97 |
+$2.00 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $457.10 | 26 | $11,884.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $455.12 | 26 | $11,833.12 | $12,180.62 |
$-51.35 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET | $453.34 | 26 | $11,786.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET | $459.52 | 26 | $11,947.52 | $12,341.20 |
+$160.58 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET | $456.34 | 27 | $12,321.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $461.28 | 27 | $12,454.56 | $12,474.58 |
+$133.38 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET | $521.06 | 23 | $11,984.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $508.70 | 23 | $11,700.10 | $12,190.30 |
$-284.28 (-2.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $485.79 | 25 | $12,144.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $483.48 | 25 | $12,087.12 | $12,132.80 |
$-57.50 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET | $501.11 | 24 | $12,026.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:30pm ET | $504.77 | 24 | $12,114.48 | $12,220.64 |
+$87.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $517.34 | 23 | $11,898.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET | $513.50 | 23 | $11,810.50 | $12,132.38 |
$-88.26 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 1:20pm ET | $606.86 | 19 | $11,530.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $609.67 | 19 | $11,583.73 | $12,185.77 |
+$53.39 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET | $608.61 | 20 | $12,172.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET | $614.75 | 20 | $12,295.00 | $12,308.57 |
+$122.80 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,308.57
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,308.57
Total Return:
+23.09%