Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,621
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
69 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,867.66
Current Value
$10,938.32
Period P&L
$70.69
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.02

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
22 / 16
Best Trade
+0.99%
Worst Trade
-2.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.01%
Avg Hold Time
3.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$802,888.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$70.69
Net P&L (after fees)
$70.69
Gross Return
+0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 69 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,867.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 13, 2025 2:35pm ET $337.48 32 $10,799.36
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 11:00am ET $335.25 32 $10,728.00 $10,831.18 $-71.36
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET $341.90 31 $10,598.90
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 3:45pm ET $341.82 31 $10,596.42 $10,828.70 $-2.48
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 9:30am ET $342.93 31 $10,630.83
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2025 9:55am ET $344.02 31 $10,664.62 $10,862.49 +$33.79
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
4 🟢 BUY Nov 20, 2025 12:15pm ET $338.77 32 $10,840.48
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 1:25pm ET $338.53 32 $10,832.80 $10,854.81 $-7.68
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 21, 2025 3:10pm ET $340.84 31 $10,566.04
🔴 SELL Nov 24, 2025 10:15am ET $338.08 31 $10,480.48 $10,769.25 $-85.56
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 26, 2025 3:25pm ET $343.63 31 $10,652.47
🔴 SELL Nov 26, 2025 3:55pm ET $344.60 31 $10,682.60 $10,799.38 +$30.13
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Dec 1, 2025 12:20pm ET $337.33 32 $10,794.56
🔴 SELL Dec 1, 2025 1:05pm ET $338.36 32 $10,827.52 $10,832.34 +$32.96
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Dec 2, 2025 1:10pm ET $337.94 32 $10,814.08
🔴 SELL Dec 2, 2025 2:00pm ET $338.85 32 $10,843.20 $10,861.46 +$29.12
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
9 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2025 9:35am ET $343.12 31 $10,636.72
🔴 SELL Dec 4, 2025 9:40am ET $342.56 31 $10,619.36 $10,844.10 $-17.36
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
10 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:55am ET $338.28 32 $10,824.80
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 1:05pm ET $331.23 32 $10,599.20 $10,618.50 $-225.60
(-2.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 1:05pm ET $322.66 32 $10,325.12
🔴 SELL Dec 9, 2025 11:20am ET $318.10 32 $10,179.04 $10,472.42 $-146.08
(-1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET $314.85 33 $10,389.89
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 9:35am ET $313.02 33 $10,329.64 $10,412.18 $-60.24
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
13 🟢 BUY Dec 12, 2025 10:55am ET $315.85 32 $10,107.20
🔴 SELL Dec 12, 2025 11:10am ET $317.82 32 $10,170.24 $10,475.22 +$63.04
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 16, 2025 9:35am ET $323.11 32 $10,339.52
🔴 SELL Dec 16, 2025 10:00am ET $324.54 32 $10,385.28 $10,520.98 +$45.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
15 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 12:50pm ET $327.37 32 $10,475.84
🔴 SELL Dec 17, 2025 2:20pm ET $326.95 32 $10,462.40 $10,507.54 $-13.44
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 1:20pm ET $328.00 32 $10,496.00
🔴 SELL Dec 19, 2025 1:30pm ET $328.96 32 $10,526.72 $10,538.26 +$30.72
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
17 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2025 12:00pm ET $332.14 31 $10,296.32
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 1:15pm ET $331.76 31 $10,284.56 $10,526.50 $-11.76
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Dec 26, 2025 11:45am ET $331.40 31 $10,273.25
🔴 SELL Dec 26, 2025 1:05pm ET $331.43 31 $10,274.33 $10,527.58 +$1.09
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 1:55pm ET $330.16 31 $10,234.81
🔴 SELL Dec 29, 2025 2:30pm ET $330.73 31 $10,252.48 $10,545.25 +$17.67
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
20 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $327.25 32 $10,472.00
🔴 SELL Dec 31, 2025 9:40am ET $328.85 32 $10,523.24 $10,596.49 +$51.24
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held
21 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 9:40am ET $325.39 32 $10,412.32
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 9:55am ET $328.60 32 $10,515.20 $10,699.37 +$102.88
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
22 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $321.33 33 $10,603.89
🔴 SELL Jan 5, 2026 11:50am ET $319.86 33 $10,555.38 $10,650.86 $-48.51
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
23 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET $340.16 31 $10,544.81
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $341.11 31 $10,574.41 $10,680.47 +$29.61
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
24 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $331.49 32 $10,607.74
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $330.26 32 $10,568.32 $10,641.05 $-39.42
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
25 🟢 BUY Jan 9, 2026 3:25pm ET $324.73 32 $10,391.36
🔴 SELL Jan 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $326.11 32 $10,435.52 $10,685.21 +$44.16
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
26 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $320.70 33 $10,582.94
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 9:35am ET $320.30 33 $10,569.90 $10,672.17 $-13.03
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
27 🟢 BUY Jan 15, 2026 9:35am ET $326.09 32 $10,434.72
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:50am ET $327.73 32 $10,487.36 $10,724.81 +$52.64
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held
28 🟢 BUY Jan 16, 2026 9:50am ET $327.29 32 $10,473.28
🔴 SELL Jan 16, 2026 11:15am ET $328.85 32 $10,523.20 $10,774.73 +$49.92
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $336.95 31 $10,445.45
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $338.14 31 $10,482.34 $10,811.62 +$36.89
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
30 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET $346.90 31 $10,753.90
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $345.73 31 $10,717.78 $10,775.50 $-36.12
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
31 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $346.90 31 $10,753.90
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 3:05pm ET $348.67 31 $10,808.62 $10,830.21 +$54.72
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
32 🟢 BUY Jan 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $347.74 31 $10,779.94
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 3:40pm ET $349.24 31 $10,826.44 $10,876.71 +$46.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held
33 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET $344.30 31 $10,673.41
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET $345.16 31 $10,699.81 $10,903.11 +$26.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held
34 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $343.55 31 $10,650.05
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $343.65 31 $10,653.15 $10,906.21 +$3.10
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
35 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $340.22 32 $10,887.04
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $338.72 32 $10,839.04 $10,858.21 $-48.00
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held
36 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:10am ET $366.59 29 $10,631.11
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET $368.65 29 $10,690.85 $10,917.95 +$59.74
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held
37 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET $377.23 28 $10,562.44
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:50am ET $377.18 28 $10,561.04 $10,916.55 $-1.40
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
38 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $367.92 29 $10,669.82
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $368.68 29 $10,691.59 $10,938.32 +$21.77
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,938.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$938.32
Total Return: +9.38%
Back to Professor Mean