AMGN Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 37 trades in period
+2.35%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,141.99
Current Value
76%
Win Rate
$11,863.23
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
35
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
9.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
36.0/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 35.3
30-Day Momentum
46
+1.8%
30d Return
82%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 51.6
Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,863.23
Current Value
$12,141.99
Period P&L
$278.79
Max Drawdown
-10.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
28 /
9
Best Trade
+1.11%
Worst Trade
-2.26%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
2.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$863,261.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$278.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$278.79
Gross Return
+2.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.35%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,863.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:25pm ET | $354.43 | 33 | $11,696.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $357.64 | 33 | $11,802.12 | $11,969.13 |
+$105.93 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 12:45pm ET | $358.55 | 33 | $11,832.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 1:10pm ET | $359.40 | 33 | $11,860.20 | $11,997.18 |
+$28.05 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $360.58 | 33 | $11,899.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET | $361.30 | 33 | $11,923.06 | $12,021.11 |
+$23.93 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $369.39 | 32 | $11,820.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $364.62 | 32 | $11,667.84 | $11,868.31 |
$-152.80 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $368.23 | 32 | $11,783.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $367.22 | 32 | $11,751.04 | $11,835.83 |
$-32.48 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:05pm ET | $367.68 | 32 | $11,765.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $368.20 | 32 | $11,782.56 | $11,852.50 |
+$16.67 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $362.75 | 32 | $11,608.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 2:30pm ET | $362.28 | 32 | $11,592.92 | $11,837.42 |
$-15.08 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $355.98 | 33 | $11,747.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $357.13 | 33 | $11,785.29 | $11,875.37 |
+$37.95 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:20pm ET | $357.23 | 33 | $11,788.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $358.27 | 33 | $11,822.75 | $11,909.69 |
+$34.32 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $370.43 | 32 | $11,853.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $364.02 | 32 | $11,648.80 | $11,704.81 |
$-204.88 (-1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $363.85 | 32 | $11,643.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:45pm ET | $364.97 | 32 | $11,679.04 | $11,740.81 |
+$36.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 3:00pm ET | $366.98 | 31 | $11,376.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 3:05pm ET | $366.56 | 31 | $11,363.44 | $11,728.02 |
$-12.79 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 1:45pm ET | $375.92 | 31 | $11,653.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:50pm ET | $376.29 | 31 | $11,664.99 | $11,739.49 |
+$11.47 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $390.41 | 30 | $11,712.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:30pm ET | $391.26 | 30 | $11,737.80 | $11,764.99 |
+$25.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:55pm ET | $388.52 | 30 | $11,655.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $379.74 | 30 | $11,392.35 | $11,501.74 |
$-263.25 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $382.00 | 30 | $11,460.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 11:15am ET | $382.61 | 30 | $11,478.45 | $11,520.19 |
+$18.45 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 12:30pm ET | $377.11 | 30 | $11,313.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $378.39 | 30 | $11,351.85 | $11,558.59 |
+$38.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:25am ET | $406.20 | 28 | $11,373.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $410.71 | 28 | $11,500.02 | $11,685.01 |
+$126.42 (+1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 12:05pm ET | $413.14 | 28 | $11,567.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:55pm ET | $414.05 | 28 | $11,593.40 | $11,710.49 |
+$25.48 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 1:45pm ET | $417.80 | 28 | $11,698.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:50pm ET | $418.32 | 28 | $11,712.96 | $11,725.12 |
+$14.63 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $412.99 | 28 | $11,563.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $414.70 | 28 | $11,611.60 | $11,773.00 |
+$47.88 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 11:10am ET | $422.41 | 27 | $11,405.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 11:40am ET | $425.08 | 27 | $11,477.16 | $11,845.09 |
+$72.09 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $437.13 | 27 | $11,802.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $437.49 | 27 | $11,812.23 | $11,854.81 |
+$9.72 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET | $434.26 | 27 | $11,725.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $433.48 | 27 | $11,704.09 | $11,833.88 |
$-20.93 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:55pm ET | $439.90 | 26 | $11,437.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $441.58 | 26 | $11,480.95 | $11,877.30 |
+$43.42 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET | $443.24 | 26 | $11,524.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $441.56 | 26 | $11,480.56 | $11,833.62 |
$-43.68 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:00pm ET | $438.82 | 26 | $11,409.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $439.75 | 26 | $11,433.50 | $11,857.80 |
+$24.18 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 2:20pm ET | $431.18 | 27 | $11,641.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 3:20pm ET | $431.88 | 27 | $11,660.76 | $11,876.70 |
+$18.90 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET | $432.39 | 27 | $11,674.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET | $432.43 | 27 | $11,675.74 | $11,877.78 |
+$1.08 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET | $439.00 | 27 | $11,853.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $441.85 | 27 | $11,929.82 | $11,954.60 |
+$76.82 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $437.52 | 27 | $11,813.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET | $438.03 | 27 | $11,826.81 | $11,968.37 |
+$13.77 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 12:40pm ET | $392.78 | 30 | $11,783.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 1:10pm ET | $394.59 | 30 | $11,837.70 | $12,022.67 |
+$54.30 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $390.08 | 30 | $11,702.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET | $391.01 | 30 | $11,730.30 | $12,050.42 |
+$27.75 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:55am ET | $381.55 | 31 | $11,828.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 11:00am ET | $380.32 | 31 | $11,789.77 | $12,011.98 |
$-38.44 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $377.26 | 31 | $11,694.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET | $377.66 | 31 | $11,707.46 | $12,024.53 |
+$12.55 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $376.21 | 31 | $11,662.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $378.32 | 31 | $11,727.92 | $12,089.94 |
+$65.41 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $404.17 | 29 | $11,720.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET | $405.96 | 29 | $11,772.98 | $12,141.99 |
+$52.05 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,141.99
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,141.99
Total Return:
+21.42%