ARM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 40 trades in period
-1.12%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,891.23
Current Value
55%
Win Rate
$13,036.84
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,094
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,036.84
Current Value
$12,891.23
Period P&L
$-145.60
Max Drawdown
-16.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
22 /
18
Best Trade
+4.32%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.02%
Avg Hold Time
5.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$981,575.43
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-145.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-145.60
Gross Return
-1.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.12%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,036.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 12:45pm ET | $141.31 | 92 | $13,000.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 2:20pm ET | $141.10 | 92 | $12,981.20 | $13,017.53 |
$-19.32 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 2:35pm ET | $138.77 | 93 | $12,905.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 3:40pm ET | $139.11 | 93 | $12,937.23 | $13,049.62 |
+$32.09 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 11:15am ET | $136.14 | 95 | $12,932.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 12:25pm ET | $136.52 | 95 | $12,969.40 | $13,086.19 |
+$36.58 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 20, 2025 3:20pm ET | $133.04 | 98 | $13,037.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:20am ET | $128.92 | 98 | $12,634.16 | $12,682.43 |
$-403.76 (-3.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 3:50pm ET | $135.10 | 93 | $12,564.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 25, 2025 9:30am ET | $130.68 | 93 | $12,152.78 | $12,270.91 |
$-411.52 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 2:30pm ET | $132.58 | 92 | $12,197.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 3:05pm ET | $133.53 | 92 | $12,284.76 | $12,358.31 |
+$87.40 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 2:20pm ET | $135.79 | 91 | $12,356.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 9:30am ET | $137.49 | 91 | $12,511.82 | $12,513.36 |
+$155.05 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET | $136.35 | 91 | $12,407.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 3, 2025 9:45am ET | $136.86 | 91 | $12,454.26 | $12,560.23 |
+$46.87 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 2:15pm ET | $139.93 | 89 | $12,453.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 2:25pm ET | $140.44 | 89 | $12,499.16 | $12,605.62 |
+$45.39 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
12m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET | $140.64 | 89 | $12,517.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:45am ET | $139.94 | 89 | $12,454.66 | $12,543.07 |
$-62.55 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 2:05pm ET | $141.08 | 88 | $12,415.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 2:35pm ET | $141.48 | 88 | $12,450.11 | $12,578.14 |
+$35.07 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:30am ET | $136.21 | 92 | $12,531.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 12:10pm ET | $134.56 | 92 | $12,379.52 | $12,426.34 |
$-151.80 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 12, 2025 2:10pm ET | $131.59 | 94 | $12,369.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 12, 2025 2:55pm ET | $132.14 | 94 | $12,421.16 | $12,478.04 |
+$51.70 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 9:30am ET | $122.63 | 101 | $12,385.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 11:10am ET | $120.13 | 101 | $12,133.13 | $12,225.54 |
$-252.50 (-2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:55am ET | $115.12 | 106 | $12,202.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:05pm ET | $114.11 | 106 | $12,095.66 | $12,118.48 |
$-107.06 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 19, 2025 1:55pm ET | $114.14 | 106 | $12,098.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 19, 2025 3:00pm ET | $114.25 | 106 | $12,110.96 | $12,130.59 |
+$12.12 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 3:00pm ET | $113.33 | 107 | $12,126.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 3:45pm ET | $113.44 | 107 | $12,138.08 | $12,142.36 |
+$11.77 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
48m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 24, 2025 9:35am ET | $111.35 | 109 | $12,136.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 24, 2025 11:10am ET | $111.23 | 109 | $12,124.07 | $12,129.56 |
$-12.81 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 3:00pm ET | $110.68 | 109 | $12,063.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 3:35pm ET | $110.87 | 109 | $12,084.83 | $12,150.54 |
+$20.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 29, 2025 3:50pm ET | $110.32 | 110 | $12,135.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 9:30am ET | $110.80 | 110 | $12,188.00 | $12,203.34 |
+$52.80 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 9:45am ET | $110.62 | 110 | $12,168.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 10:00am ET | $111.01 | 110 | $12,210.55 | $12,245.69 |
+$42.35 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 3:40pm ET | $115.21 | 106 | $12,212.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 2, 2026 3:45pm ET | $114.85 | 106 | $12,174.10 | $12,207.53 |
$-38.16 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:50pm ET | $116.17 | 105 | $12,197.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $116.08 | 105 | $12,188.40 | $12,198.08 |
$-9.45 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 12:50pm ET | $115.21 | 105 | $12,097.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 2:30pm ET | $115.20 | 105 | $12,095.99 | $12,196.73 |
$-1.34 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $112.32 | 108 | $12,130.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $112.74 | 108 | $12,175.92 | $12,242.63 |
+$45.90 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
24m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $110.78 | 110 | $12,186.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $109.59 | 110 | $12,054.90 | $12,111.42 |
$-131.22 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $110.33 | 109 | $12,025.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET | $108.82 | 109 | $11,860.84 | $11,946.28 |
$-165.14 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
12m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 3:15pm ET | $103.91 | 114 | $11,845.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $104.20 | 114 | $11,878.80 | $11,979.34 |
+$33.06 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $105.73 | 113 | $11,947.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $107.40 | 113 | $12,136.20 | $12,168.05 |
+$188.71 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.7d held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:35am ET | $115.10 | 105 | $12,084.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $113.75 | 105 | $11,943.75 | $12,026.83 |
$-141.23 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 2:05pm ET | $120.64 | 99 | $11,943.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 2:10pm ET | $120.09 | 99 | $11,888.91 | $11,972.67 |
$-54.15 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 2:30pm ET | $115.84 | 103 | $11,931.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 3:50pm ET | $115.76 | 103 | $11,923.28 | $11,964.95 |
$-7.72 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 1:05pm ET | $115.62 | 103 | $11,908.86 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 2:50pm ET | $115.89 | 103 | $11,936.67 | $11,992.76 |
+$27.81 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 2:55pm ET | $109.22 | 109 | $11,904.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 3:35pm ET | $109.89 | 109 | $11,977.64 | $12,065.42 |
+$72.66 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
42m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 12:15pm ET | $105.91 | 113 | $11,967.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 1:10pm ET | $106.43 | 113 | $12,026.03 | $12,123.61 |
+$58.20 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 2:10pm ET | $107.38 | 112 | $12,026.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 2:55pm ET | $106.15 | 112 | $11,888.80 | $11,985.85 |
$-137.76 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
48m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $104.01 | 115 | $11,961.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 1:20pm ET | $104.67 | 115 | $12,037.05 | $12,061.75 |
+$75.90 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
54m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:35pm ET | $111.63 | 108 | $12,055.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $116.45 | 108 | $12,576.20 | $12,582.45 |
+$520.70 (+4.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $119.23 | 105 | $12,519.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $122.49 | 105 | $12,861.45 | $12,924.73 |
+$342.28 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
36m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 1:20pm ET | $129.08 | 100 | $12,908.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:25pm ET | $128.74 | 100 | $12,874.50 | $12,891.23 |
$-33.50 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,891.23
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,891.23
Total Return:
+28.91%