AVGO Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 39 trades in period
+2.03%
Last 3 Months Return
$13,701.87
Current Value
56%
Win Rate
$13,428.63
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
10.1/35
Total Return
13.1/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
38.6/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 38.5
30-Day Momentum
13
-3.0%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8
Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-26 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,428.63
Current Value
$13,701.87
Period P&L
$273.23
Max Drawdown
-12.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
22 /
17
Best Trade
+2.88%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
10.3h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,089,618.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$273.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$273.23
Gross Return
+2.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.03%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,428.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 1:20pm ET | $381.77 | 35 | $13,361.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 2:25pm ET | $381.95 | 35 | $13,368.08 | $13,434.95 |
+$6.30 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET | $378.34 | 35 | $13,241.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $379.33 | 35 | $13,276.55 | $13,469.60 |
+$34.65 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $363.94 | 37 | $13,465.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $373.95 | 37 | $13,836.15 | $13,839.97 |
+$370.37 (+2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.91 | 37 | $13,723.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $368.85 | 37 | $13,647.36 | $13,763.66 |
$-76.31 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $366.81 | 37 | $13,571.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $374.00 | 37 | $13,838.00 | $14,029.69 |
+$266.03 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET | $366.46 | 38 | $13,925.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:30am ET | $364.52 | 38 | $13,851.95 | $13,956.16 |
$-73.53 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $402.80 | 34 | $13,695.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 10:30am ET | $400.15 | 34 | $13,605.10 | $13,865.89 |
$-90.27 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET | $388.27 | 35 | $13,589.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:00pm ET | $386.29 | 35 | $13,519.98 | $13,796.42 |
$-69.47 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:00pm ET | $391.74 | 35 | $13,711.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $394.30 | 35 | $13,800.33 | $13,885.67 |
+$89.25 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $381.70 | 36 | $13,741.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $378.92 | 36 | $13,641.12 | $13,785.59 |
$-100.08 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $360.39 | 38 | $13,695.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:05am ET | $370.76 | 38 | $14,088.88 | $14,179.46 |
+$393.87 (+2.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:20pm ET | $380.83 | 37 | $14,090.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $386.45 | 37 | $14,298.53 | $14,387.27 |
+$207.82 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $383.24 | 37 | $14,179.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $385.94 | 37 | $14,279.78 | $14,487.18 |
+$99.90 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:40am ET | $391.47 | 37 | $14,484.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:10pm ET | $390.26 | 37 | $14,439.62 | $14,442.41 |
$-44.77 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:10pm ET | $382.52 | 37 | $14,153.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:40pm ET | $380.73 | 37 | $14,086.83 | $14,375.81 |
$-66.60 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $375.64 | 38 | $14,274.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $371.87 | 38 | $14,131.06 | $14,232.55 |
$-143.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET | $377.98 | 37 | $13,985.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 11:00am ET | $378.11 | 37 | $13,990.07 | $14,237.17 |
+$4.63 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $385.37 | 36 | $13,873.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET | $383.51 | 36 | $13,806.18 | $14,170.03 |
$-67.14 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 3:35pm ET | $419.47 | 33 | $13,842.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $422.44 | 33 | $13,940.52 | $14,268.04 |
+$98.01 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $414.42 | 34 | $14,090.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 10:10am ET | $423.93 | 34 | $14,413.79 | $14,591.55 |
+$323.51 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 12:25pm ET | $423.39 | 34 | $14,395.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:10pm ET | $424.96 | 34 | $14,448.64 | $14,644.76 |
+$53.21 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $422.24 | 34 | $14,356.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $426.53 | 34 | $14,502.09 | $14,790.69 |
+$145.93 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:25am ET | $418.95 | 35 | $14,663.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 12:50pm ET | $419.39 | 35 | $14,678.74 | $14,806.36 |
+$15.67 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 2:10pm ET | $419.51 | 35 | $14,682.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $420.97 | 35 | $14,733.95 | $14,857.46 |
+$51.10 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 3:55pm ET | $391.98 | 37 | $14,503.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $384.22 | 37 | $14,216.21 | $14,570.41 |
$-287.05 (-2.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $372.07 | 39 | $14,510.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:10am ET | $360.86 | 39 | $14,073.54 | $14,133.06 |
$-437.35 (-3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 12:45pm ET | $366.43 | 38 | $13,924.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 1:55pm ET | $366.44 | 38 | $13,924.72 | $14,133.25 |
+$0.19 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:35pm ET | $359.59 | 39 | $14,024.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $362.84 | 39 | $14,150.76 | $14,260.00 |
+$126.75 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET | $370.05 | 38 | $14,061.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 1:35pm ET | $367.01 | 38 | $13,946.38 | $14,144.48 |
$-115.52 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $363.37 | 38 | $13,808.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $366.23 | 38 | $13,916.74 | $14,253.16 |
+$108.68 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 1:05pm ET | $366.79 | 38 | $13,938.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:25pm ET | $369.19 | 38 | $14,029.22 | $14,344.36 |
+$91.20 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 1:35pm ET | $353.82 | 40 | $14,152.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 2:10pm ET | $355.37 | 40 | $14,214.80 | $14,406.36 |
+$62.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET | $367.89 | 39 | $14,347.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $364.48 | 39 | $14,214.72 | $14,273.57 |
$-132.79 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $360.20 | 39 | $14,047.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 10:10am ET | $362.98 | 39 | $14,156.41 | $14,381.99 |
+$108.42 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET | $364.31 | 39 | $14,208.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET | $349.22 | 39 | $13,619.58 | $13,793.48 |
$-588.51 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET | $339.56 | 40 | $13,582.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 1:55pm ET | $338.83 | 40 | $13,553.20 | $13,764.28 |
$-29.20 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET | $338.73 | 40 | $13,549.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $338.61 | 40 | $13,544.40 | $13,759.48 |
$-4.80 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET | $361.51 | 38 | $13,737.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET | $359.39 | 38 | $13,656.82 | $13,679.11 |
$-80.37 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 12:50pm ET | $354.80 | 38 | $13,482.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $355.40 | 38 | $13,505.20 | $13,701.87 |
+$22.76 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$13,701.87
Net Profit/Loss:
+$3,701.87
Total Return:
+37.02%