Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:27

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
59.7 neutral
20d Trend
+0.8%
5d Trend
+3.3%
EMA20 Dist
+2.2%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
64%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.2/35
Total Return
8.2/25
Win Rate
6.7/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 25.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 24.6

30-Day Momentum

47
+2.5%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,174.46
Current Value
$10,860.86
Period P&L
$686.45
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
27 / 8
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-1.33%
Avg Trade Return
+0.19%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$735,410.58
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$686.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$686.45
Gross Return
+6.75%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.75%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BAC Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,174.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $47.02 216 $10,156.32
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $47.73 216 $10,309.68 $10,327.77 +$153.36
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET $48.35 213 $10,297.49
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $48.58 213 $10,348.60 $10,378.89 +$51.12
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $48.15 215 $10,353.32
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $48.22 215 $10,368.37 $10,393.94 +$15.05
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET $47.24 220 $10,393.90
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:30am ET $47.56 220 $10,463.20 $10,463.24 +$69.30
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $49.17 212 $10,425.10
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $49.32 212 $10,455.84 $10,493.98 +$30.74
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $49.80 210 $10,458.00
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:25am ET $50.04 210 $10,509.45 $10,545.43 +$51.45
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 3:10pm ET $52.67 200 $10,535.00
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $52.73 200 $10,546.00 $10,556.43 +$11.00
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 3:40pm ET $52.62 200 $10,523.00
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $52.19 200 $10,438.00 $10,471.43 $-85.00
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:30pm ET $53.31 196 $10,448.76
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:40pm ET $53.42 196 $10,469.34 $10,492.01 +$20.58
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $54.04 194 $10,483.27
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:35am ET $54.30 194 $10,534.20 $10,542.94 +$50.93
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:35pm ET $54.22 194 $10,518.68
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $53.50 194 $10,379.00 $10,403.26 $-139.68
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $53.95 192 $10,358.40
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET $53.55 192 $10,281.60 $10,326.46 $-76.80
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:35am ET $52.88 195 $10,311.60
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $53.08 195 $10,349.63 $10,364.48 +$38.02
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $52.79 196 $10,346.84
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:25am ET $52.46 196 $10,282.16 $10,299.80 $-64.68
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
15 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $53.45 192 $10,262.40
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:45am ET $53.58 192 $10,287.36 $10,324.76 +$24.96
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:45am ET $52.69 195 $10,274.53
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 12:20pm ET $52.35 195 $10,207.28 $10,257.50 $-67.26
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.11 193 $10,250.23
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.20 193 $10,267.60 $10,274.87 +$17.37
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:25pm ET $53.62 191 $10,240.47
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 2:20pm ET $53.65 191 $10,247.15 $10,281.55 +$6.68
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
19 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $52.56 195 $10,250.17
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:30pm ET $52.72 195 $10,280.40 $10,311.78 +$30.23
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
20 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 9:30am ET $50.70 203 $10,292.10
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:55am ET $51.19 203 $10,390.56 $10,410.24 +$98.46
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $50.39 206 $10,380.34
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 10:35am ET $50.67 206 $10,439.05 $10,468.95 +$58.71
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:25pm ET $50.13 208 $10,427.04
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $49.99 208 $10,398.96 $10,440.87 $-28.08
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
23 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $50.39 207 $10,430.73
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:05am ET $50.88 207 $10,531.13 $10,541.27 +$100.40
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
24 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $50.93 206 $10,491.58
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:05am ET $51.21 206 $10,548.23 $10,597.92 +$56.65
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
25 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:05pm ET $51.81 204 $10,570.26
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $52.36 204 $10,681.46 $10,709.12 +$111.20
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
26 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $51.81 206 $10,672.86
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:25am ET $52.03 206 $10,718.18 $10,754.44 +$45.32
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
27 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $50.78 211 $10,713.99
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:00pm ET $50.90 211 $10,738.85 $10,779.30 +$24.86
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $51.51 209 $10,765.61
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:35am ET $51.91 209 $10,849.17 $10,862.86 +$83.56
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $51.75 209 $10,815.75
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $51.44 209 $10,752.00 $10,799.11 $-63.75
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $53.79 200 $10,759.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:35pm ET $53.93 200 $10,785.17 $10,825.28 +$26.17
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $53.81 201 $10,814.81
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $53.83 201 $10,820.83 $10,831.31 +$6.03
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $54.68 198 $10,826.64
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $54.81 198 $10,852.26 $10,856.93 +$25.62
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.8h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $56.04 193 $10,816.68
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $56.08 193 $10,823.44 $10,863.69 +$6.76
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $57.40 189 $10,847.66
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $57.40 189 $10,847.66 $10,863.69 $0.00
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 1:05pm ET $57.40 189 $10,849.54
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:25pm ET $57.39 189 $10,846.71 $10,860.86 $-2.83
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,860.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$860.86
Total Return: +8.61%
Back to Professor Mean