Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:38:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 14.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 14.9

30-Day Momentum

52
+4.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 56.2 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+37 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,018
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,375.71
Current Value
$9,567.04
Period P&L
$191.35
Max Drawdown
-26.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
22 / 18
Best Trade
+2.86%
Worst Trade
-1.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
9.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$737,090.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$191.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$191.35
Gross Return
+2.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $9,375.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $198.85 47 $9,345.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $199.83 47 $9,392.01 $9,421.97 +$46.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $203.67 46 $9,368.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 2:10pm ET $204.26 46 $9,395.73 $9,448.88 +$26.91
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 2:10pm ET $214.95 43 $9,242.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $214.41 43 $9,219.63 $9,425.66 $-23.22
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $216.98 43 $9,330.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 3:30pm ET $216.57 43 $9,312.30 $9,407.82 $-17.84
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 3:55pm ET $209.82 44 $9,232.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $212.67 44 $9,357.48 $9,533.22 +$125.40
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 9:40am ET $214.00 44 $9,416.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 10:40am ET $213.03 44 $9,373.32 $9,490.54 $-42.68
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 11:50am ET $209.16 45 $9,412.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET $207.04 45 $9,317.02 $9,395.14 $-95.40
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:25pm ET $202.23 46 $9,302.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:30am ET $200.01 46 $9,200.23 $9,293.02 $-102.12
(-1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:45pm ET $198.76 46 $9,142.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET $200.88 46 $9,240.48 $9,390.54 +$97.52
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $194.28 48 $9,325.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:55am ET $191.34 48 $9,184.08 $9,249.18 $-141.36
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $195.25 47 $9,176.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:40am ET $200.83 47 $9,439.01 $9,511.44 +$262.26
(+2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET $207.20 45 $9,323.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $205.10 45 $9,229.50 $9,417.17 $-94.28
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $201.72 46 $9,279.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:45am ET $201.74 46 $9,280.04 $9,418.09 +$0.92
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 10:25am ET $201.77 46 $9,281.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 11:40am ET $202.13 46 $9,297.98 $9,434.65 +$16.56
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 12:15pm ET $201.84 46 $9,284.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $201.45 46 $9,266.70 $9,416.71 $-17.94
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $201.82 46 $9,283.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $202.26 46 $9,304.19 $9,437.41 +$20.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 12:00pm ET $213.12 44 $9,377.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $209.76 44 $9,229.44 $9,289.57 $-147.84
(-1.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET $206.39 45 $9,287.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:10am ET $204.51 45 $9,203.17 $9,205.20 $-84.38
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 11:50am ET $202.12 45 $9,095.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $201.16 45 $9,052.42 $9,162.22 $-42.98
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 1:10pm ET $208.29 43 $8,956.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $206.88 43 $8,895.84 $9,101.59 $-60.63
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET $205.35 44 $9,035.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 9:45am ET $206.10 44 $9,068.18 $9,134.37 +$32.78
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $207.16 44 $9,115.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $207.20 44 $9,116.80 $9,136.13 +$1.76
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $204.69 44 $9,006.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $201.91 44 $8,884.04 $9,013.81 $-122.32
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 3:15pm ET $209.86 42 $8,814.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $210.43 42 $8,838.06 $9,037.75 +$23.94
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:40am ET $208.80 43 $8,978.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:25am ET $209.75 43 $9,019.25 $9,078.60 +$40.85
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $212.65 42 $8,931.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $215.33 42 $9,043.86 $9,191.16 +$112.56
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:40am ET $218.61 42 $9,181.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:10am ET $219.35 42 $9,212.70 $9,222.24 +$31.08
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 11:55am ET $217.95 42 $9,153.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:10pm ET $217.28 42 $9,125.76 $9,194.10 $-28.14
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.3h held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $221.32 41 $9,074.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $219.06 41 $8,981.46 $9,101.44 $-92.66
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.90 41 $8,933.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $220.16 41 $9,026.56 $9,194.30 +$92.86
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $215.73 42 $9,060.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:55am ET $218.04 42 $9,157.68 $9,291.32 +$97.02
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 10:30am ET $216.33 42 $9,085.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:35am ET $217.46 42 $9,133.53 $9,338.99 +$47.67
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET $223.95 41 $9,181.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:50pm ET $224.62 41 $9,209.42 $9,366.46 +$27.47
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $214.76 43 $9,234.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $213.93 43 $9,198.99 $9,330.77 $-35.69
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $211.37 44 $9,300.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $211.41 44 $9,302.04 $9,332.53 +$1.76
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $217.02 43 $9,331.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $221.38 43 $9,519.13 $9,519.79 +$187.26
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $215.49 44 $9,481.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $215.17 44 $9,467.48 $9,505.71 $-14.08
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:15pm ET $216.46 43 $9,307.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $217.13 43 $9,336.38 $9,534.30 +$28.59
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $217.07 43 $9,334.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $217.05 43 $9,333.15 $9,533.23 $-1.07
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:25pm ET $224.81 42 $9,442.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $225.62 42 $9,475.83 $9,567.04 +$33.81
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,567.04
Net Profit/Loss: $-432.96
Total Return: -4.33%
Back to Professor Mean