BLK Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-24 to present • 38 trades in period
-4.46%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,763.44
Current Value
47%
Win Rate
$13,359.51
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
49
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
19.3/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
9.5/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality
49.6/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 49.2
30-Day Momentum
10
-4.9%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
14
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0
Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,069
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$13,359.51
Current Value
$12,763.44
Period P&L
$-596.03
Max Drawdown
-4.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
18 /
20
Best Trade
+1.59%
Worst Trade
-1.55%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$959,809.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-596.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-596.03
Gross Return
-4.46%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.46%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,359.51 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $997.00 | 13 | $12,961.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $993.46 | 13 | $12,914.92 | $13,313.39 |
$-46.08 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $981.21 | 13 | $12,755.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:30pm ET | $976.91 | 13 | $12,699.83 | $13,257.49 |
$-55.90 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:35pm ET | $974.26 | 13 | $12,665.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $972.17 | 13 | $12,638.21 | $13,230.32 |
$-27.17 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 3:00pm ET | $957.97 | 13 | $12,453.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 3:15pm ET | $961.55 | 13 | $12,500.15 | $13,276.86 |
+$46.54 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 2, 2026 11:50am ET | $987.88 | 13 | $12,842.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 12:50pm ET | $989.12 | 13 | $12,858.56 | $13,293.04 |
+$16.18 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,006.72 | 13 | $13,087.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 3:35pm ET | $1,009.61 | 13 | $13,124.93 | $13,330.61 |
+$37.57 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,014.79 | 13 | $13,192.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,017.59 | 13 | $13,228.73 | $13,367.07 |
+$36.46 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,033.15 | 12 | $12,397.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,027.81 | 12 | $12,333.72 | $13,302.99 |
$-64.08 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 11:10am ET | $1,029.10 | 12 | $12,349.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 12:55pm ET | $1,026.57 | 12 | $12,318.84 | $13,272.63 |
$-30.36 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 11:40am ET | $1,095.48 | 12 | $13,145.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,084.90 | 12 | $13,018.80 | $13,145.67 |
$-126.96 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,067.63 | 12 | $12,811.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,064.84 | 12 | $12,778.08 | $13,112.19 |
$-33.48 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,053.39 | 12 | $12,640.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $1,055.65 | 12 | $12,667.80 | $13,139.31 |
+$27.12 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $1,042.30 | 12 | $12,507.54 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,042.49 | 12 | $12,509.88 | $13,141.65 |
+$2.34 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,091.55 | 12 | $13,098.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 10:00am ET | $1,100.03 | 12 | $13,200.36 | $13,243.41 |
+$101.76 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 3:45pm ET | $1,096.31 | 12 | $13,155.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,104.19 | 12 | $13,250.22 | $13,337.91 |
+$94.50 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:10pm ET | $1,131.77 | 11 | $12,449.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,134.98 | 11 | $12,484.81 | $13,373.30 |
+$35.39 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,121.00 | 11 | $12,331.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 12:20pm ET | $1,125.27 | 11 | $12,377.92 | $13,420.22 |
+$46.92 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,134.04 | 11 | $12,474.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,134.61 | 11 | $12,480.71 | $13,426.49 |
+$6.27 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 11:20am ET | $1,142.33 | 11 | $12,565.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 12:05pm ET | $1,147.27 | 11 | $12,619.97 | $13,480.83 |
+$54.34 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $1,173.76 | 11 | $12,911.31 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,176.96 | 11 | $12,946.56 | $13,516.08 |
+$35.25 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $1,156.82 | 11 | $12,725.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 3:15pm ET | $1,156.59 | 11 | $12,722.49 | $13,513.50 |
$-2.58 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,163.76 | 11 | $12,801.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $1,154.30 | 11 | $12,697.25 | $13,409.39 |
$-104.11 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 11:15am ET | $1,149.39 | 11 | $12,643.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 12:15pm ET | $1,152.05 | 11 | $12,672.50 | $13,438.60 |
+$29.21 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 12:30pm ET | $1,167.51 | 11 | $12,842.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $1,165.49 | 11 | $12,820.44 | $13,416.43 |
$-22.17 (-0.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,176.67 | 11 | $12,943.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,173.52 | 11 | $12,908.70 | $13,381.76 |
$-34.67 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 1:25pm ET | $1,178.86 | 11 | $12,967.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET | $1,172.62 | 11 | $12,898.82 | $13,313.12 |
$-68.64 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 3:50pm ET | $1,160.35 | 11 | $12,763.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,148.54 | 11 | $12,633.94 | $13,183.16 |
$-129.96 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,130.49 | 11 | $12,435.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:20am ET | $1,148.41 | 11 | $12,632.51 | $13,380.28 |
+$197.12 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,126.96 | 11 | $12,396.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 1:40pm ET | $1,114.94 | 11 | $12,264.34 | $13,248.00 |
$-132.28 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,117.34 | 11 | $12,290.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,114.48 | 11 | $12,259.33 | $13,216.54 |
$-31.46 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,111.52 | 11 | $12,226.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET | $1,109.48 | 11 | $12,204.24 | $13,194.06 |
$-22.48 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,078.54 | 12 | $12,942.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,061.81 | 12 | $12,741.72 | $12,993.30 |
$-200.76 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET | $1,085.37 | 11 | $11,939.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $1,075.02 | 11 | $11,825.22 | $12,879.45 |
$-113.85 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $1,055.11 | 12 | $12,661.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:35am ET | $1,056.00 | 12 | $12,672.00 | $12,890.13 |
+$10.68 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $1,044.47 | 12 | $12,533.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:50pm ET | $1,039.42 | 12 | $12,473.02 | $12,829.51 |
$-60.62 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:40pm ET | $1,056.27 | 12 | $12,675.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $1,045.92 | 12 | $12,550.98 | $12,705.25 |
$-124.26 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 1:45pm ET | $1,080.11 | 11 | $11,881.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $1,084.05 | 11 | $11,924.55 | $12,748.54 |
+$43.29 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 3:55pm ET | $1,067.00 | 11 | $11,737.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 10:05am ET | $1,068.35 | 11 | $11,751.90 | $12,763.44 |
+$14.90 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,763.44
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,763.44
Total Return:
+27.63%