Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:19:45

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
73.4 overbought
20d Trend
+6.7%
5d Trend
+8.2%
EMA20 Dist
+6.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

54
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
19.0/35
Total Return
14.7/25
Win Rate
9.7/15
Profit Factor
4.7/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 54.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.1

30-Day Momentum

42
+2.1%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
14
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.9 Conf: 0.98×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$15,156.12
Current Value
$15,772.54
Period P&L
$616.38
Max Drawdown
-10.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
25 / 15
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-1.02%
Avg Trade Return
+0.10%
Avg Hold Time
5.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,222,392.81
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$616.38
Net P&L (after fees)
$616.38
Gross Return
+4.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BMY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,156.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 11:40am ET $55.77 271 $15,113.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $55.78 271 $15,117.73 $15,160.21 +$4.06
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 10:15am ET $57.71 262 $15,120.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 11:10am ET $57.74 262 $15,129.19 $15,169.38 +$9.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:25am ET $56.43 268 $15,123.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:55am ET $56.74 268 $15,204.98 $15,251.12 +$81.74
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 12:10pm ET $57.26 266 $15,232.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 12:10pm ET $56.68 266 $15,076.88 $15,095.56 $-155.56
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.03 260 $15,086.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $58.08 260 $15,102.10 $15,111.16 +$15.60
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 3:30pm ET $57.69 261 $15,058.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 10:15am ET $57.75 261 $15,072.75 $15,125.52 +$14.36
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 11:45am ET $57.28 264 $15,120.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 12:40pm ET $57.34 264 $15,137.76 $15,142.68 +$17.16
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $58.31 259 $15,101.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:30am ET $58.10 259 $15,047.90 $15,089.58 $-53.10
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.36 258 $15,056.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $58.41 258 $15,069.78 $15,102.48 +$12.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:10pm ET $61.38 246 $15,100.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:20pm ET $60.79 246 $14,955.57 $14,957.34 $-145.14
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET $60.38 247 $14,913.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:45pm ET $60.33 247 $14,901.51 $14,944.99 $-12.35
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:55pm ET $60.92 245 $14,926.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 3:35pm ET $60.81 245 $14,899.67 $14,918.04 $-26.95
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 3:50pm ET $61.42 242 $14,862.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 9:30am ET $61.72 242 $14,936.24 $14,991.85 +$73.81
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $62.63 239 $14,969.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $62.73 239 $14,991.59 $15,013.68 +$21.82
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET $63.34 237 $15,011.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:35am ET $63.67 237 $15,089.79 $15,091.89 +$78.21
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 9:45am ET $64.03 235 $15,047.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 11:05am ET $64.12 235 $15,068.20 $15,112.17 +$20.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $64.84 233 $15,107.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 11:00am ET $64.67 233 $15,066.95 $15,071.40 $-40.77
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.68 236 $15,028.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $63.81 236 $15,059.16 $15,102.10 +$30.70
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $64.83 232 $15,041.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 9:30am ET $64.50 232 $14,965.16 $15,025.54 $-76.56
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $63.37 237 $15,017.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:55am ET $63.69 237 $15,093.35 $15,101.14 +$75.60
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $64.70 233 $15,075.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $64.69 233 $15,072.77 $15,098.81 $-2.33
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 9:30am ET $63.61 237 $15,075.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 10:05am ET $64.09 237 $15,189.33 $15,212.57 +$113.76
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $66.08 230 $15,198.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 9:30am ET $66.81 230 $15,365.15 $15,379.32 +$166.75
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET $66.86 230 $15,377.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 11:30am ET $66.69 230 $15,338.70 $15,340.22 $-39.10
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $67.17 228 $15,314.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $67.32 228 $15,347.82 $15,373.05 +$32.83
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:35pm ET $67.57 227 $15,337.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $67.79 227 $15,387.20 $15,422.99 +$49.94
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $66.60 231 $15,384.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:35am ET $67.43 231 $15,577.48 $15,615.97 +$192.98
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $65.96 236 $15,566.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $66.43 236 $15,678.66 $15,728.07 +$112.10
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:40am ET $66.86 235 $15,713.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $66.90 235 $15,721.50 $15,736.30 +$8.23
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $67.12 234 $15,706.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:45am ET $66.86 234 $15,645.24 $15,675.46 $-60.84
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:50am ET $67.24 233 $15,665.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:10am ET $67.01 233 $15,613.33 $15,623.04 $-52.42
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:30pm ET $64.89 240 $15,573.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $64.86 240 $15,566.40 $15,615.84 $-7.20
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $64.06 243 $15,566.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET $64.08 243 $15,571.37 $15,620.63 +$4.79
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $64.04 243 $15,560.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $64.01 243 $15,555.64 $15,615.77 $-4.86
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.65 245 $15,594.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $63.76 245 $15,619.98 $15,641.49 +$25.72
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $63.17 247 $15,604.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET $63.16 247 $15,600.52 $15,637.79 $-3.70
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $62.52 250 $15,630.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $62.76 250 $15,690.00 $15,697.79 +$60.00
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $62.38 251 $15,657.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $62.17 251 $15,604.67 $15,645.08 $-52.71
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $62.10 251 $15,587.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $62.32 251 $15,642.32 $15,700.30 +$55.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $60.69 258 $15,658.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:35pm ET $60.97 258 $15,730.26 $15,772.54 +$72.24
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,772.54
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,772.54
Total Return: +57.73%
Back to Professor Mean