Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:38:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

47
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
17.9/35
Total Return
12.5/25
Win Rate
7.3/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 47.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 46.9

30-Day Momentum

44
+3.7%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 50.1 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,976
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$12,052.18
Current Value
$13,145.91
Period P&L
$1,093.73
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
37
Winners / Losers
25 / 12
Best Trade
+2.27%
Worst Trade
-1.93%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
10.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$915,463.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,093.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,093.73
Gross Return
+9.07%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.07%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 37 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $12,052.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $110.52 109 $12,046.68
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:15am ET $111.69 109 $12,174.21 $12,179.70 +$127.53
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $113.81 107 $12,177.14
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:45am ET $114.68 107 $12,271.29 $12,273.86 +$94.16
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $109.24 112 $12,234.88
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $108.12 112 $12,109.44 $12,148.42 $-125.44
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $107.14 113 $12,106.82
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.11 113 $12,103.43 $12,145.03 $-3.39
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $115.31 105 $12,107.03
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $114.98 105 $12,072.90 $12,110.91 $-34.12
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET $116.32 104 $12,097.28
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $116.65 104 $12,131.60 $12,145.23 +$34.32
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 2:50pm ET $116.45 104 $12,110.80
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:20pm ET $117.14 104 $12,182.56 $12,216.99 +$71.76
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:45am ET $124.21 98 $12,172.58
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 10:25am ET $124.74 98 $12,224.52 $12,268.93 +$51.94
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:20pm ET $129.72 94 $12,193.78
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $131.36 94 $12,347.84 $12,422.99 +$154.06
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $131.19 94 $12,331.86
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $130.24 94 $12,242.56 $12,333.69 $-89.30
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:25pm ET $132.60 93 $12,331.80
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $132.48 93 $12,320.18 $12,322.07 $-11.63
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $132.69 92 $12,207.48
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:30pm ET $132.90 92 $12,227.26 $12,341.85 +$19.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:05pm ET $129.95 94 $12,215.30
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $129.81 94 $12,202.14 $12,328.69 $-13.16
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $127.61 96 $12,250.56
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:15am ET $128.18 96 $12,305.28 $12,383.41 +$54.72
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:05pm ET $128.12 96 $12,299.52
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $128.46 96 $12,332.16 $12,416.05 +$32.64
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held
16 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $126.86 97 $12,304.94
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:35am ET $126.12 97 $12,233.64 $12,344.75 $-71.30
(-0.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
17 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:15pm ET $127.71 96 $12,260.16
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $127.96 96 $12,283.68 $12,368.27 +$23.52
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
18 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $127.61 96 $12,250.08
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $128.36 96 $12,322.56 $12,440.75 +$72.48
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 12:45pm ET $128.30 96 $12,316.80
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $125.82 96 $12,078.72 $12,202.67 $-238.08
(-1.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9d held
20 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $123.88 98 $12,140.24
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 11:00am ET $124.78 98 $12,228.44 $12,290.87 +$88.20
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 11:45am ET $124.98 98 $12,248.04
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 12:25pm ET $125.26 98 $12,275.48 $12,318.31 +$27.44
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 12:35pm ET $124.49 98 $12,200.02
🔴 SELL May 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $124.51 98 $12,202.47 $12,320.76 +$2.45
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
23 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $122.11 100 $12,211.00
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $122.74 100 $12,274.00 $12,383.76 +$63.00
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
24 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:05pm ET $120.36 102 $12,276.72
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:40am ET $121.21 102 $12,363.42 $12,470.46 +$86.70
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.6h held
25 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:40am ET $124.12 100 $12,412.00
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:55am ET $125.27 100 $12,527.00 $12,585.46 +$115.00
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
26 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 12:10pm ET $125.12 100 $12,512.00
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $125.43 100 $12,543.00 $12,616.46 +$31.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
27 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:10pm ET $125.31 100 $12,530.50
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $125.64 100 $12,564.00 $12,649.96 +$33.50
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
28 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $124.47 101 $12,571.47
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:45am ET $125.20 101 $12,645.20 $12,723.69 +$73.73
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
29 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:55pm ET $125.74 101 $12,699.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:55am ET $126.21 101 $12,747.21 $12,771.15 +$47.46
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8d held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $130.22 98 $12,761.56
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:35am ET $129.14 98 $12,655.72 $12,665.31 $-105.84
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $134.32 94 $12,626.08
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $133.19 94 $12,519.86 $12,559.09 $-106.22
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $134.07 93 $12,468.05
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.31 93 $12,490.83 $12,581.87 +$22.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 10:45am ET $133.59 94 $12,557.46
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $133.26 94 $12,526.44 $12,550.85 $-31.02
(-0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:55pm ET $139.83 89 $12,444.87
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $143.01 89 $12,727.45 $12,833.43 +$282.58
(+2.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $142.54 90 $12,828.60
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $142.51 90 $12,826.35 $12,831.18 $-2.25
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $144.26 88 $12,694.77
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $147.15 88 $12,949.20 $13,085.61 +$254.43
(+2.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.1h held
37 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $144.29 90 $12,986.10
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 10:20am ET $144.96 90 $13,046.40 $13,145.91 +$60.30
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,145.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,145.91
Total Return: +31.46%
Back to Professor Mean