Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:06:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
+0.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.2%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.2/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.0%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,145.91
Current Value
$12,527.49
Period P&L
$-618.43
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
40
Winners / Losers
19 / 21
Best Trade
+0.95%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,036,612.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-618.43
Net P&L (after fees)
$-618.43
Gross Return
-4.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 C Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 40 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $13,145.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $143.55 91 $13,063.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:45pm ET $143.68 91 $13,075.33 $13,158.19 +$12.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $143.16 91 $13,028.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $142.70 91 $12,985.70 $13,115.88 $-42.31
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:10pm ET $143.21 91 $13,032.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $140.48 91 $12,783.68 $12,867.44 $-248.43
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:30am ET $138.91 92 $12,780.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 10:10am ET $139.92 92 $12,872.64 $12,959.90 +$92.46
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 10:40am ET $139.66 92 $12,848.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 11:30am ET $140.32 92 $12,909.81 $13,020.99 +$61.09
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2026 10:40am ET $141.99 91 $12,920.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 12:45pm ET $141.86 91 $12,909.26 $13,009.62 $-11.38
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $137.84 94 $12,956.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET $138.42 94 $13,011.72 $13,064.38 +$54.76
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $140.65 92 $12,939.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $141.21 92 $12,990.86 $13,115.44 +$51.06
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 11:15am ET $141.17 92 $12,987.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 11:20am ET $140.22 92 $12,900.24 $13,028.04 $-87.40
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $132.90 98 $13,024.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 10:30am ET $133.67 98 $13,099.66 $13,103.01 +$74.97
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $130.08 100 $13,008.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 12:45pm ET $130.36 100 $13,036.00 $13,131.01 +$28.00
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 12:55pm ET $129.62 101 $13,091.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 2:15pm ET $129.59 101 $13,088.59 $13,127.98 $-3.03
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 3:30pm ET $132.59 99 $13,126.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.81 99 $13,148.19 $13,149.76 +$21.78
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $132.27 99 $13,094.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $131.87 99 $13,055.13 $13,110.16 $-39.60
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 10:40am ET $131.43 99 $13,012.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 10:55am ET $132.40 99 $13,107.60 $13,205.69 +$95.53
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $131.60 100 $13,160.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $131.73 100 $13,173.00 $13,218.19 +$12.50
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
17 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 9:40am ET $130.95 100 $13,095.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 9:45am ET $130.31 100 $13,031.00 $13,154.19 $-64.00
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $132.27 99 $13,094.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET $131.40 99 $13,008.11 $13,067.57 $-86.63
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $137.19 95 $13,033.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $137.04 95 $13,019.27 $13,053.79 $-13.78
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $137.95 94 $12,967.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $139.26 94 $13,090.44 $13,176.93 +$123.14
(+0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:30am ET $133.39 98 $13,072.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:20am ET $134.25 98 $13,156.50 $13,261.21 +$84.28
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $135.02 98 $13,232.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $135.55 98 $13,283.90 $13,313.10 +$51.89
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $135.67 98 $13,295.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 11, 2026 3:25pm ET $135.90 98 $13,318.20 $13,335.64 +$22.54
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 11:35am ET $139.00 95 $13,205.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 1:20pm ET $138.91 95 $13,196.45 $13,327.09 $-8.55
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $138.29 96 $13,275.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET $137.32 96 $13,182.72 $13,234.45 $-92.64
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET $136.88 96 $13,140.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.43 96 $12,905.76 $12,999.73 $-234.72
(-1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:35pm ET $131.04 99 $12,972.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 9:30am ET $130.87 99 $12,955.64 $12,982.90 $-16.83
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.9h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $131.69 98 $12,905.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:00pm ET $131.96 98 $12,932.08 $13,009.36 +$26.46
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
29 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:50am ET $132.55 98 $12,990.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:35am ET $133.16 98 $13,049.68 $13,068.65 +$59.29
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
30 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $132.99 98 $13,032.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $132.59 98 $12,993.82 $13,029.48 $-39.17
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.6h held
31 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $132.20 98 $12,955.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:35am ET $132.02 98 $12,938.45 $13,012.82 $-16.66
(-0.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $132.81 97 $12,882.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:30pm ET $132.42 97 $12,844.74 $12,974.99 $-37.83
(-0.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $137.29 94 $12,905.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:30am ET $136.02 94 $12,785.88 $12,855.61 $-119.38
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:55pm ET $137.19 93 $12,758.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $135.77 93 $12,627.07 $12,724.01 $-131.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.6h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $137.51 92 $12,650.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $137.72 92 $12,670.24 $12,743.33 +$19.32
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $136.54 93 $12,698.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:45am ET $135.15 93 $12,568.95 $12,613.67 $-129.66
(-1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $134.66 93 $12,523.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:40am ET $135.75 93 $12,624.75 $12,714.58 +$100.91
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $132.72 95 $12,608.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $133.23 95 $12,656.85 $12,763.03 +$48.45
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $135.01 94 $12,690.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $133.53 94 $12,551.82 $12,623.91 $-139.12
(-1.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.8h held
40 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $132.15 95 $12,553.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:05pm ET $131.13 95 $12,457.35 $12,527.49 $-96.42
(-0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,527.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,527.49
Total Return: +25.27%
Back to Professor Mean