COIN Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 42 trades in period
+35.15%
Last 3 Months Return
$14,315.76
Current Value
64%
Win Rate
$10,592.78
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
31
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
3.5/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
7.4/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
31.2/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 31.1
30-Day Momentum
61
+7.5%
30d Return
73%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 61.0
Conf: 1.00×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,592.78
Current Value
$14,315.76
Period P&L
$3,723.01
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
42
Winners / Losers
27 /
15
Best Trade
+7.92%
Worst Trade
-4.22%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
3.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,061,919.06
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,723.01
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,723.01
Gross Return
+35.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+35.15%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 42 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,592.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET | $143.90 | 73 | $10,504.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 2:40pm ET | $142.95 | 73 | $10,434.99 | $10,523.04 |
$-69.71 (-0.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:45pm ET | $146.60 | 71 | $10,408.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:30pm ET | $148.00 | 71 | $10,508.00 | $10,622.79 |
+$99.75 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $145.78 | 72 | $10,496.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 9:35am ET | $144.92 | 72 | $10,434.24 | $10,560.78 |
$-62.01 (-0.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $161.64 | 65 | $10,506.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.60 | 65 | $11,088.68 | $11,142.86 |
+$582.08 (+5.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.28 | 69 | $11,128.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.04 | 69 | $11,387.76 | $11,402.30 |
+$259.44 (+2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $165.95 | 68 | $11,284.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $165.00 | 68 | $11,220.00 | $11,337.70 |
$-64.60 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $156.70 | 72 | $11,282.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 10:55am ET | $159.68 | 72 | $11,496.96 | $11,552.26 |
+$214.56 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 9:40am ET | $156.80 | 73 | $11,446.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 10:25am ET | $159.21 | 73 | $11,621.97 | $11,727.46 |
+$175.20 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $159.99 | 73 | $11,679.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $160.95 | 73 | $11,748.99 | $11,797.02 |
+$69.55 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.25 | 72 | $11,754.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET | $161.70 | 72 | $11,642.41 | $11,685.42 |
$-111.59 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $153.92 | 75 | $11,544.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 10:35am ET | $158.55 | 75 | $11,891.25 | $12,032.67 |
+$347.25 (+3.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $161.15 | 74 | $11,924.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.90 | 74 | $12,868.60 | $12,976.54 |
+$943.87 (+7.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $173.60 | 74 | $12,846.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $172.78 | 74 | $12,785.68 | $12,915.82 |
$-60.72 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $162.55 | 79 | $12,841.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 12:05pm ET | $160.65 | 79 | $12,691.74 | $12,765.73 |
$-150.10 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 3:05pm ET | $157.09 | 81 | $12,724.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET | $157.76 | 81 | $12,778.96 | $12,820.40 |
+$54.68 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $161.61 | 79 | $12,767.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $160.80 | 79 | $12,703.20 | $12,756.41 |
$-63.99 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $163.20 | 78 | $12,729.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:40pm ET | $164.79 | 78 | $12,853.62 | $12,880.82 |
+$124.41 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $153.28 | 84 | $12,875.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $146.82 | 84 | $12,332.46 | $12,337.76 |
$-543.06 (-4.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $141.38 | 87 | $12,300.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 10:20am ET | $146.87 | 87 | $12,777.26 | $12,814.96 |
+$477.20 (+3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $148.45 | 86 | $12,766.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 9:45am ET | $151.60 | 86 | $13,038.03 | $13,086.60 |
+$271.64 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $151.62 | 86 | $13,038.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 1:55pm ET | $152.19 | 86 | $13,088.34 | $13,136.05 |
+$49.45 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:15pm ET | $148.56 | 88 | $13,073.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $149.06 | 88 | $13,117.28 | $13,180.05 |
+$44.00 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:15am ET | $148.28 | 88 | $13,048.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 1:05pm ET | $148.21 | 88 | $13,042.48 | $13,173.94 |
$-6.11 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET | $149.88 | 87 | $13,039.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:30pm ET | $149.06 | 87 | $12,968.22 | $13,102.60 |
$-71.34 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $147.85 | 88 | $13,011.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 10:30am ET | $150.30 | 88 | $13,226.40 | $13,317.76 |
+$215.16 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 1:35pm ET | $160.36 | 83 | $13,309.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $160.16 | 83 | $13,293.69 | $13,301.57 |
$-16.19 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:10pm ET | $185.63 | 71 | $13,179.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:45pm ET | $185.93 | 71 | $13,201.03 | $13,322.87 |
+$21.30 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET | $179.15 | 74 | $13,257.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $180.79 | 74 | $13,378.46 | $13,444.23 |
+$121.36 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 9:35am ET | $183.14 | 73 | $13,369.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 1:25pm ET | $181.45 | 73 | $13,245.85 | $13,320.86 |
$-123.37 (-0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET | $190.57 | 69 | $13,149.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 3:00pm ET | $190.93 | 69 | $13,173.94 | $13,345.47 |
+$24.61 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.00 | 73 | $13,213.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET | $178.62 | 73 | $13,038.90 | $13,171.37 |
$-174.10 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $173.51 | 75 | $13,012.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET | $176.83 | 75 | $13,262.25 | $13,420.74 |
+$249.37 (+1.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET | $192.10 | 69 | $13,255.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $192.82 | 69 | $13,304.92 | $13,470.57 |
+$49.83 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.76 | 74 | $13,376.24 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:50am ET | $180.99 | 74 | $13,393.26 | $13,487.59 |
+$17.02 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $176.64 | 76 | $13,424.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:00pm ET | $178.95 | 76 | $13,600.20 | $13,663.15 |
+$175.56 (+1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET | $171.88 | 79 | $13,578.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 12:55pm ET | $173.17 | 79 | $13,680.04 | $13,764.67 |
+$101.52 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:35pm ET | $176.61 | 77 | $13,598.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET | $174.84 | 77 | $13,462.68 | $13,628.46 |
$-136.21 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $183.85 | 74 | $13,604.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 11:05am ET | $178.72 | 74 | $13,225.28 | $13,248.84 |
$-379.62 (-2.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET | $162.58 | 81 | $13,168.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 3:45pm ET | $163.68 | 81 | $13,258.48 | $13,338.34 |
+$89.50 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET | $192.73 | 69 | $13,298.37 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $205.73 | 69 | $14,195.37 | $14,235.34 |
+$897.00 (+6.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $199.77 | 71 | $14,183.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $199.88 | 71 | $14,191.13 | $14,242.62 |
+$7.28 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET | $198.52 | 71 | $14,094.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET | $199.55 | 71 | $14,168.05 | $14,315.76 |
+$73.14 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,315.76
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,315.76
Total Return:
+43.16%