Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:58:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.1 neutral
20d Trend
+7.6%
5d Trend
-0.6%
EMA20 Dist
+2.4%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
80%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
6.2/25
Win Rate
7.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 19.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.2

30-Day Momentum

17
-1.2%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 18.1 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
5,070
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
65 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,207.96
Current Value
$10,611.57
Period P&L
$403.65
Max Drawdown
-18.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
25 / 14
Best Trade
+3.83%
Worst Trade
-2.94%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
6.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$805,770.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$403.65
Net P&L (after fees)
$403.65
Gross Return
+3.95%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 65 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,207.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $105.31 96 $10,109.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 10:05am ET $106.81 96 $10,253.76 $10,351.91 +$144.00
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $106.01 97 $10,282.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $105.63 97 $10,245.63 $10,314.56 $-37.35
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 3:15pm ET $104.70 98 $10,260.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $104.83 98 $10,273.34 $10,327.31 +$12.74
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 10:00am ET $103.44 99 $10,240.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 11:05am ET $103.54 99 $10,250.46 $10,337.21 +$9.90
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $110.73 93 $10,297.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $109.75 93 $10,206.75 $10,246.07 $-91.14
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $108.00 94 $10,152.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $108.04 94 $10,155.76 $10,249.83 +$3.76
(+0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 9:30am ET $112.50 91 $10,237.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:40am ET $111.93 91 $10,186.08 $10,198.41 $-51.42
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 10:25am ET $110.60 92 $10,175.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 11:55am ET $110.25 92 $10,143.00 $10,166.22 $-32.20
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 1:05pm ET $113.51 89 $10,102.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $113.75 89 $10,123.75 $10,187.57 +$21.36
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 2:05pm ET $116.18 87 $10,107.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $116.29 87 $10,117.23 $10,197.14 +$9.57
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 11:15am ET $119.01 85 $10,115.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $118.88 85 $10,104.80 $10,186.09 $-11.05
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 1:00pm ET $120.93 84 $10,157.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $121.40 84 $10,197.60 $10,225.99 +$39.90
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $120.02 85 $10,201.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 27, 2026 9:30am ET $117.79 85 $10,012.57 $10,036.87 $-189.12
(-1.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 11:10am ET $115.49 86 $9,932.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 12:55pm ET $113.99 86 $9,802.71 $9,907.44 $-129.43
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
15 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 1:40pm ET $117.79 84 $9,893.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $118.24 84 $9,932.16 $9,945.66 +$38.22
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
16 🟢 BUY Jul 31, 2026 10:20am ET $118.01 84 $9,912.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2026 10:35am ET $118.89 84 $9,986.76 $10,019.58 +$73.92
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET $117.62 85 $9,997.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 4, 2026 10:40am ET $117.50 85 $9,987.50 $10,009.38 $-10.20
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.07 86 $9,896.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET $119.48 86 $10,275.28 $10,388.64 +$379.26
(+3.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 9:40am ET $115.17 90 $10,364.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 10:15am ET $116.71 90 $10,503.45 $10,527.24 +$138.60
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 12, 2026 9:30am ET $125.36 83 $10,404.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 12, 2026 9:45am ET $125.76 83 $10,438.08 $10,560.44 +$33.20
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:55am ET $125.42 84 $10,535.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 10:55am ET $125.74 84 $10,561.74 $10,586.90 +$26.46
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 1:50pm ET $126.69 83 $10,515.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $126.99 83 $10,540.17 $10,611.80 +$24.90
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 11:50am ET $131.30 80 $10,504.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 12:25pm ET $131.70 80 $10,536.00 $10,643.80 +$32.00
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 2:10pm ET $134.16 79 $10,598.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $134.66 79 $10,638.14 $10,683.30 +$39.50
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:50am ET $134.89 79 $10,656.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:15pm ET $133.64 79 $10,557.56 $10,584.55 $-98.75
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $132.39 79 $10,458.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:55pm ET $131.85 79 $10,416.15 $10,541.89 $-42.66
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $130.20 80 $10,416.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:55am ET $128.56 80 $10,284.80 $10,410.69 $-131.20
(-1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held
28 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $130.13 80 $10,410.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 3:45pm ET $130.29 80 $10,423.20 $10,423.89 +$13.20
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.31 77 $10,341.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $135.38 77 $10,424.64 $10,506.66 +$82.77
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:40am ET $136.72 76 $10,390.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:30am ET $137.00 76 $10,412.00 $10,527.94 +$21.28
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $134.50 78 $10,491.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $136.91 78 $10,678.98 $10,715.92 +$187.98
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 12:40pm ET $136.51 78 $10,648.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $136.79 78 $10,669.62 $10,737.37 +$21.45
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:35pm ET $137.18 78 $10,699.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $137.37 78 $10,714.86 $10,752.54 +$15.17
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:05am ET $137.90 77 $10,618.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:30am ET $138.89 77 $10,694.53 $10,828.39 +$75.85
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $138.73 78 $10,820.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:00pm ET $134.65 78 $10,502.70 $10,510.15 $-318.24
(-2.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $132.44 79 $10,462.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:45am ET $133.12 79 $10,516.09 $10,563.48 +$53.33
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:45am ET $129.17 81 $10,462.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:25am ET $128.02 81 $10,369.62 $10,470.33 $-93.15
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $125.65 83 $10,428.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $125.44 83 $10,411.52 $10,452.90 $-17.43
(-0.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $128.14 81 $10,379.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $130.10 81 $10,538.01 $10,611.57 +$158.67
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,611.57
Net Profit/Loss: +$611.57
Total Return: +6.12%
Back to Professor Mean