COST Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 41 trades in period
-2.85%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,146.88
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$10,444.99
Period Start
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
17
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
3.3/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
17.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 17.3
30-Day Momentum
14
-0.7%
30d Return
54%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.2
Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,444.99
Current Value
$10,146.88
Period P&L
$-298.12
Max Drawdown
-7.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
24 /
17
Best Trade
+0.95%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$819,350.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-298.12
Net P&L (after fees)
$-298.12
Gross Return
-2.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.85%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,444.99 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $949.50 | 11 | $10,444.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 11:25am ET | $949.81 | 11 | $10,447.91 | $10,448.40 |
+$3.41 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET | $954.93 | 10 | $9,549.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET | $954.76 | 10 | $9,547.55 | $10,446.65 |
$-1.75 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 30, 2026 11:00am ET | $937.70 | 11 | $10,314.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $935.32 | 11 | $10,288.47 | $10,420.47 |
$-26.18 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $922.55 | 11 | $10,148.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:40pm ET | $926.75 | 11 | $10,194.25 | $10,466.67 |
+$46.20 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 10:00am ET | $943.49 | 11 | $10,378.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:20am ET | $945.82 | 11 | $10,403.97 | $10,492.25 |
+$25.58 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $945.54 | 11 | $10,400.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $948.16 | 11 | $10,429.81 | $10,521.12 |
+$28.87 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 8, 2026 3:35pm ET | $952.80 | 11 | $10,480.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.29 | 11 | $10,244.19 | $10,284.51 |
$-236.61 (-2.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.9h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $908.00 | 11 | $9,988.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $913.46 | 11 | $10,048.06 | $10,344.57 |
+$60.06 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 3:45pm ET | $924.24 | 11 | $10,166.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $926.78 | 11 | $10,194.63 | $10,372.56 |
+$27.99 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 1:25pm ET | $921.70 | 11 | $10,138.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $930.44 | 11 | $10,234.84 | $10,468.70 |
+$96.14 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20.1h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 17, 2026 11:45am ET | $942.82 | 11 | $10,371.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 17, 2026 1:35pm ET | $937.23 | 11 | $10,309.53 | $10,407.22 |
$-61.49 (-0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 1:45pm ET | $935.24 | 11 | $10,287.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:15pm ET | $935.00 | 11 | $10,285.00 | $10,404.58 |
$-2.64 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 3:50pm ET | $928.90 | 11 | $10,217.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $925.43 | 11 | $10,179.73 | $10,366.41 |
$-38.17 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 10:15am ET | $918.19 | 11 | $10,100.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 10:50am ET | $923.33 | 11 | $10,156.63 | $10,422.95 |
+$56.54 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 2:00pm ET | $930.98 | 11 | $10,240.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 2:20pm ET | $932.85 | 11 | $10,261.35 | $10,443.52 |
+$20.57 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $978.77 | 10 | $9,787.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 2:10pm ET | $971.93 | 10 | $9,719.30 | $10,375.17 |
$-68.35 (-0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 2:10pm ET | $971.57 | 10 | $9,715.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 2:25pm ET | $974.38 | 10 | $9,743.75 | $10,403.22 |
+$28.05 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.42 | 11 | $10,344.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:35am ET | $939.05 | 11 | $10,329.55 | $10,388.15 |
$-15.07 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $940.50 | 11 | $10,345.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $939.36 | 11 | $10,332.96 | $10,375.61 |
$-12.54 (-0.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 9:35am ET | $944.06 | 10 | $9,440.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 10:40am ET | $945.74 | 10 | $9,457.45 | $10,392.46 |
+$16.85 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $943.98 | 11 | $10,383.83 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 1:35pm ET | $945.71 | 11 | $10,402.81 | $10,411.44 |
+$18.98 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:05pm ET | $945.84 | 11 | $10,404.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:15pm ET | $945.51 | 11 | $10,400.61 | $10,407.85 |
$-3.59 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $944.93 | 11 | $10,394.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:55pm ET | $950.78 | 11 | $10,458.53 | $10,472.09 |
+$64.24 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 13, 2026 11:30am ET | $949.65 | 11 | $10,446.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 13, 2026 11:55am ET | $953.29 | 11 | $10,486.24 | $10,512.23 |
+$40.14 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 3:45pm ET | $960.25 | 10 | $9,602.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $961.90 | 10 | $9,619.00 | $10,528.72 |
+$16.49 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 2:45pm ET | $964.56 | 10 | $9,645.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 18, 2026 3:00pm ET | $965.78 | 10 | $9,657.80 | $10,540.92 |
+$12.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 3:00pm ET | $964.10 | 10 | $9,641.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $931.15 | 10 | $9,311.50 | $10,211.42 |
$-329.50 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 2:05pm ET | $946.72 | 10 | $9,467.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 3:25pm ET | $947.44 | 10 | $9,474.40 | $10,218.62 |
+$7.20 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $965.14 | 10 | $9,651.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $963.87 | 10 | $9,638.70 | $10,205.92 |
$-12.70 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET | $957.46 | 10 | $9,574.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 26, 2026 3:00pm ET | $958.04 | 10 | $9,580.40 | $10,211.72 |
+$5.80 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 3:50pm ET | $934.22 | 10 | $9,342.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $939.84 | 10 | $9,398.40 | $10,267.92 |
+$56.20 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 12:25pm ET | $944.97 | 10 | $9,449.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET | $943.30 | 10 | $9,433.00 | $10,251.27 |
$-16.65 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $932.70 | 10 | $9,327.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 2, 2026 11:15am ET | $935.17 | 10 | $9,351.75 | $10,276.02 |
+$24.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET | $927.21 | 11 | $10,199.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 12:55pm ET | $915.92 | 11 | $10,075.17 | $10,151.94 |
$-124.08 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
22.3h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $907.97 | 11 | $9,987.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $902.99 | 11 | $9,932.89 | $10,097.21 |
$-54.73 (-0.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 10, 2026 1:30pm ET | $900.31 | 11 | $9,903.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 2:25pm ET | $901.21 | 11 | $9,913.31 | $10,107.14 |
+$9.93 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 2:25pm ET | $903.05 | 11 | $9,933.55 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 3:00pm ET | $904.07 | 11 | $9,944.77 | $10,118.36 |
+$11.22 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $911.86 | 11 | $10,030.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $911.59 | 11 | $10,027.49 | $10,115.39 |
$-2.97 (-0.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET | $898.76 | 11 | $9,886.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET | $900.26 | 11 | $9,902.86 | $10,131.89 |
+$16.50 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $891.07 | 11 | $9,801.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 10:20am ET | $893.50 | 11 | $9,828.50 | $10,158.62 |
+$26.73 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $899.19 | 11 | $9,891.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 2:40pm ET | $898.12 | 11 | $9,879.35 | $10,146.88 |
$-11.74 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,146.88
Net Profit/Loss:
+$146.88
Total Return:
+1.47%