CRM Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 38 trades in period
+6.17%
Last 3 Months Return
$12,503.75
Current Value
63%
Win Rate
$11,777.10
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
36
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
9.6/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
7.1/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality
35.9/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 35.6
30-Day Momentum
27
+1.0%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
12
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5
Conf: 0.93×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$11,777.10
Current Value
$12,503.75
Period P&L
$726.66
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
24 /
14
Best Trade
+3.34%
Worst Trade
-4.08%
Avg Trade Return
+0.12%
Avg Hold Time
4.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$909,861.16
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$726.66
Net P&L (after fees)
$726.66
Gross Return
+6.17%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.17%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $11,777.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 24, 2026 3:55pm ET | $152.60 | 78 | $11,903.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $150.01 | 78 | $11,700.78 | $11,766.95 |
$-202.41 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 29, 2026 1:45pm ET | $158.03 | 74 | $11,694.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 29, 2026 2:30pm ET | $158.30 | 74 | $11,714.57 | $11,787.30 |
+$20.35 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 2:45pm ET | $164.11 | 71 | $11,651.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 2:50pm ET | $163.60 | 71 | $11,615.60 | $11,751.09 |
$-36.21 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $163.93 | 71 | $11,638.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 11:00am ET | $164.65 | 71 | $11,689.80 | $11,802.21 |
+$51.12 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $170.74 | 69 | $11,781.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $165.88 | 69 | $11,445.72 | $11,466.53 |
$-335.68 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $157.91 | 72 | $11,369.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 11:00am ET | $163.19 | 72 | $11,749.68 | $11,846.69 |
+$380.16 (+3.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 1:40pm ET | $171.28 | 69 | $11,818.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 3:50pm ET | $170.41 | 69 | $11,758.29 | $11,786.66 |
$-60.03 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 12:15pm ET | $168.18 | 70 | $11,772.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:10pm ET | $167.61 | 70 | $11,732.70 | $11,746.76 |
$-39.90 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $172.12 | 68 | $11,704.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $172.67 | 68 | $11,741.56 | $11,784.16 |
+$37.40 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $169.58 | 69 | $11,701.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 9:40am ET | $171.13 | 69 | $11,807.63 | $11,890.77 |
+$106.60 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $171.12 | 69 | $11,807.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 21, 2026 1:50pm ET | $169.37 | 69 | $11,686.19 | $11,769.66 |
$-121.10 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
4.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 1:55pm ET | $162.26 | 72 | $11,683.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 2:25pm ET | $163.36 | 72 | $11,761.92 | $11,848.50 |
+$78.84 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 3:10pm ET | $175.46 | 67 | $11,755.49 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.13 | 67 | $12,001.38 | $12,094.39 |
+$245.89 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 29, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.38 | 64 | $12,056.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $180.70 | 64 | $11,564.80 | $11,602.87 |
$-491.52 (-4.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $177.53 | 65 | $11,539.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 31, 2026 9:40am ET | $180.29 | 65 | $11,719.17 | $11,782.48 |
+$179.61 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 3, 2026 1:35pm ET | $188.08 | 62 | $11,660.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $187.25 | 62 | $11,609.50 | $11,731.02 |
$-51.46 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 11:10am ET | $191.29 | 61 | $11,668.99 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 5, 2026 12:15pm ET | $191.60 | 61 | $11,687.60 | $11,749.63 |
+$18.61 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 7, 2026 2:50pm ET | $190.97 | 61 | $11,649.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 7, 2026 3:05pm ET | $191.72 | 61 | $11,694.92 | $11,795.38 |
+$45.75 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $196.36 | 60 | $11,781.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $198.17 | 60 | $11,890.20 | $11,903.98 |
+$108.60 (+0.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 9:50am ET | $193.26 | 61 | $11,788.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 11:50am ET | $192.71 | 61 | $11,755.31 | $11,870.74 |
$-33.24 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $198.12 | 59 | $11,689.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:15am ET | $196.54 | 59 | $11,595.86 | $11,777.52 |
$-93.22 (-0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 1:25pm ET | $190.23 | 61 | $11,603.73 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 2:00pm ET | $190.87 | 61 | $11,643.07 | $11,816.86 |
+$39.34 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 18, 2026 3:45pm ET | $196.81 | 60 | $11,808.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $199.70 | 60 | $11,982.00 | $11,990.26 |
+$173.40 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.8h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $204.46 | 58 | $11,858.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 9:50am ET | $206.51 | 58 | $11,977.29 | $12,108.58 |
+$118.32 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 21, 2026 9:50am ET | $205.25 | 58 | $11,904.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 21, 2026 10:05am ET | $208.50 | 58 | $12,093.00 | $12,297.08 |
+$188.50 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET | $209.29 | 58 | $12,138.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET | $210.77 | 58 | $12,224.66 | $12,383.21 |
+$86.13 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 3:40pm ET | $204.87 | 60 | $12,292.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET | $205.74 | 60 | $12,344.10 | $12,435.11 |
+$51.90 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $245.70 | 50 | $12,285.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 12:25pm ET | $248.11 | 50 | $12,405.50 | $12,555.61 |
+$120.50 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 3:15pm ET | $259.78 | 48 | $12,469.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 10:05am ET | $258.96 | 48 | $12,430.08 | $12,516.25 |
$-39.36 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.8h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.05 | 48 | $12,482.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 4, 2026 11:45am ET | $260.22 | 48 | $12,490.56 | $12,524.17 |
+$7.92 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $247.35 | 50 | $12,367.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 3:15pm ET | $248.39 | 50 | $12,419.50 | $12,576.17 |
+$52.00 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 3:15pm ET | $244.56 | 51 | $12,472.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET | $246.24 | 51 | $12,557.99 | $12,661.60 |
+$85.43 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 1:45pm ET | $248.28 | 50 | $12,414.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 2:35pm ET | $248.57 | 50 | $12,428.25 | $12,675.84 |
+$14.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $257.13 | 49 | $12,599.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:40am ET | $259.79 | 49 | $12,729.71 | $12,806.43 |
+$130.59 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET | $253.19 | 50 | $12,659.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET | $250.52 | 50 | $12,526.25 | $12,673.18 |
$-133.25 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.4h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET | $243.76 | 51 | $12,431.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 18, 2026 10:50am ET | $240.82 | 51 | $12,281.82 | $12,523.24 |
$-149.94 (-1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
19.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $237.17 | 52 | $12,332.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 3:05pm ET | $237.63 | 52 | $12,356.51 | $12,546.91 |
+$23.67 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 23, 2026 2:50pm ET | $238.99 | 52 | $12,427.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 23, 2026 2:55pm ET | $238.16 | 52 | $12,384.32 | $12,503.75 |
$-43.16 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$12,503.75
Net Profit/Loss:
+$2,503.75
Total Return:
+25.04%