Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 14:41:17

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.3/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
6.9/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 32.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 32.0

30-Day Momentum

70
+9.9%
30d Return
62%
Win Rate
13
Trades
2.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 73.5 Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+38 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,923.76
Current Value
$11,920.08
Period P&L
$996.33
Max Drawdown
-9.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
35
Winners / Losers
21 / 14
Best Trade
+4.81%
Worst Trade
-2.50%
Avg Trade Return
+0.26%
Avg Hold Time
11h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$774,501.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$996.33
Net P&L (after fees)
$996.33
Gross Return
+9.12%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 35 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,923.76 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $191.77 56 $10,739.12
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $188.99 56 $10,583.44 $10,768.07 $-155.68
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET $180.98 59 $10,677.53
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $181.54 59 $10,710.86 $10,801.40 +$33.33
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $183.74 58 $10,656.92
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 11:05am ET $181.03 58 $10,499.74 $10,644.22 $-157.18
(-1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $186.14 57 $10,609.98
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 9:35am ET $188.20 57 $10,727.40 $10,761.64 +$117.42
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $182.68 58 $10,595.44
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:35am ET $185.95 58 $10,785.10 $10,951.30 +$189.66
(+1.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 3:55pm ET $185.09 59 $10,920.02
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 11:30am ET $183.50 59 $10,826.50 $10,857.78 $-93.52
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 11:30am ET $182.03 59 $10,739.77
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 11:40am ET $182.74 59 $10,781.37 $10,899.38 +$41.60
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $168.40 64 $10,777.60
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $168.70 64 $10,796.48 $10,918.26 +$18.88
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:00pm ET $164.37 66 $10,848.42
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $164.51 66 $10,857.66 $10,927.50 +$9.24
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $172.65 63 $10,876.64
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $174.40 63 $10,987.20 $11,038.06 +$110.56
(+1.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 3:00pm ET $185.79 59 $10,961.61
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $187.08 59 $11,037.72 $11,114.17 +$76.11
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 1:30pm ET $189.86 58 $11,011.88
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:45pm ET $190.08 58 $11,024.64 $11,126.93 +$12.76
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $181.52 61 $11,072.71
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $181.51 61 $11,072.11 $11,126.33 $-0.60
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $179.63 61 $10,957.57
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:50am ET $179.82 61 $10,969.02 $11,137.78 +$11.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $185.14 60 $11,108.40
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:35am ET $184.16 60 $11,049.90 $11,079.28 $-58.50
(-0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 2:45pm ET $180.57 61 $11,014.77
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:40pm ET $180.75 61 $11,025.66 $11,090.17 +$10.89
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
17 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $179.68 61 $10,960.48
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 11:05am ET $178.45 61 $10,885.45 $11,015.14 $-75.03
(-0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
18 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $177.88 61 $10,850.98
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $177.34 61 $10,817.44 $10,981.59 $-33.55
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held
19 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $171.76 63 $10,820.88
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:30am ET $168.21 63 $10,597.23 $10,757.94 $-223.65
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held
20 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 9:30am ET $172.13 62 $10,672.06
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $176.19 62 $10,923.78 $11,009.66 +$251.72
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held
21 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 3:50pm ET $179.84 61 $10,970.24
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $176.04 61 $10,738.74 $10,778.17 $-231.49
(-2.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.7h held
22 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $175.14 61 $10,683.54
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 10:30am ET $176.19 61 $10,747.59 $10,842.22 +$64.05
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held
23 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 3:55pm ET $180.24 60 $10,814.10
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $178.38 60 $10,702.50 $10,730.62 $-111.60
(-1.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held
24 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $178.32 60 $10,699.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $180.84 60 $10,850.40 $10,881.82 +$151.20
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held
25 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $173.41 62 $10,751.27
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:55am ET $179.04 62 $11,100.79 $11,231.34 +$349.52
(+3.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
26 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $190.91 58 $11,073.07
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $200.10 58 $11,605.71 $11,763.98 +$532.64
(+4.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.7d held
27 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.54 58 $11,747.32
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:35am ET $197.48 58 $11,453.84 $11,470.50 $-293.48
(-2.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held
28 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $190.97 60 $11,458.20
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $190.94 60 $11,456.40 $11,468.70 $-1.80
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
29 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $189.09 60 $11,345.40
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $191.46 60 $11,487.90 $11,611.20 +$142.50
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.9h held
30 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $183.38 63 $11,552.63
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $183.73 63 $11,574.68 $11,633.25 +$22.05
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
31 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $170.62 68 $11,602.16
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $174.70 68 $11,879.60 $11,910.69 +$277.44
(+2.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
32 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $164.44 72 $11,839.68
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $164.38 72 $11,835.72 $11,906.73 $-3.96
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
33 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $166.60 71 $11,828.25
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:35pm ET $165.06 71 $11,719.26 $11,797.74 $-108.99
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
34 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $160.22 73 $11,696.06
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $161.18 73 $11,766.14 $11,867.82 +$70.08
(+0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
35 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $151.52 78 $11,818.56
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $152.19 78 $11,870.82 $11,920.08 +$52.26
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,920.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,920.08
Total Return: +19.20%
Back to Professor Mean