CRWD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-03-23 to present • 34 trades in period
+9.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$15,571.01
Current Value
71%
Win Rate
$14,218.50
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026
48
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.5/35
Total Return
14.6/25
Win Rate
8.6/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
48.8/100
× Confidence 0.98
= 48.0
30-Day Momentum
80
+11.8%
30d Return
92%
Win Rate
12
Trades
9.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.9
Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,977
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)
Market Closed (3 days)
2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$14,218.50
Current Value
$15,571.01
Period P&L
$1,352.60
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.22
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
34
Winners / Losers
24 /
10
Best Trade
+3.39%
Worst Trade
-3.82%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
2.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$940,272.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,352.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,352.60
Gross Return
+9.51%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.51%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 34 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $14,218.50 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 3:55pm ET | $413.40 | 34 | $14,055.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $406.58 | 34 | $13,823.72 | $13,986.52 |
$-231.88 (-1.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $391.00 | 35 | $13,685.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:35pm ET | $391.06 | 35 | $13,687.26 | $13,988.78 |
+$2.26 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $370.43 | 37 | $13,705.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $369.10 | 37 | $13,656.77 | $13,939.64 |
$-49.14 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 30, 2026 2:45pm ET | $379.26 | 36 | $13,653.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 3:50pm ET | $379.50 | 36 | $13,662.00 | $13,948.46 |
+$8.82 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $393.05 | 35 | $13,756.81 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 3:15pm ET | $392.67 | 35 | $13,743.45 | $13,935.10 |
$-13.36 (-0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:00pm ET | $400.65 | 34 | $13,622.10 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:35pm ET | $401.70 | 34 | $13,657.63 | $13,970.63 |
+$35.53 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $415.58 | 33 | $13,714.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $399.71 | 33 | $13,190.43 | $13,446.76 |
$-523.88 (-3.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 1:55pm ET | $401.29 | 33 | $13,242.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 2:55pm ET | $401.42 | 33 | $13,246.70 | $13,450.89 |
+$4.13 (+0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET | $417.34 | 32 | $13,354.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 3:40pm ET | $415.26 | 32 | $13,288.16 | $13,384.17 |
$-66.72 (-0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 1:15pm ET | $450.58 | 29 | $13,066.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 2:55pm ET | $449.42 | 29 | $13,033.32 | $13,350.68 |
$-33.49 (-0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.74 | 29 | $13,013.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 10:55am ET | $450.81 | 29 | $13,073.49 | $13,410.71 |
+$60.03 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $444.05 | 30 | $13,321.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 9:45am ET | $451.97 | 30 | $13,559.10 | $13,648.31 |
+$237.60 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $450.53 | 30 | $13,515.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 12:05pm ET | $452.17 | 30 | $13,565.10 | $13,697.51 |
+$49.20 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $448.28 | 30 | $13,448.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 10:55am ET | $442.57 | 30 | $13,276.95 | $13,526.06 |
$-171.45 (-1.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET | $476.22 | 28 | $13,334.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $465.85 | 28 | $13,043.80 | $13,235.70 |
$-290.36 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | May 7, 2026 12:15pm ET | $498.56 | 26 | $12,962.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 7, 2026 1:40pm ET | $499.08 | 26 | $12,976.08 | $13,249.22 |
+$13.52 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | May 12, 2026 9:35am ET | $535.65 | 24 | $12,855.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 12, 2026 9:45am ET | $541.86 | 24 | $13,004.64 | $13,398.26 |
+$149.04 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | May 14, 2026 9:40am ET | $557.80 | 24 | $13,387.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 14, 2026 10:05am ET | $564.50 | 24 | $13,548.00 | $13,559.06 |
+$160.80 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | May 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $589.34 | 23 | $13,554.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $599.36 | 23 | $13,785.28 | $13,789.63 |
+$230.57 (+1.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | May 19, 2026 11:40am ET | $619.21 | 22 | $13,622.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 19, 2026 12:55pm ET | $619.13 | 22 | $13,620.86 | $13,787.87 |
$-1.76 (-0.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.3h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | May 20, 2026 12:55pm ET | $639.75 | 21 | $13,434.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 20, 2026 1:15pm ET | $644.36 | 21 | $13,531.60 | $13,884.72 |
+$96.85 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | May 21, 2026 2:25pm ET | $644.75 | 21 | $13,539.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 21, 2026 3:20pm ET | $646.77 | 21 | $13,582.17 | $13,927.14 |
+$42.42 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | May 26, 2026 9:40am ET | $650.64 | 21 | $13,663.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 26, 2026 9:50am ET | $667.46 | 21 | $14,016.56 | $14,280.26 |
+$353.12 (+2.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | May 27, 2026 9:50am ET | $644.20 | 22 | $14,172.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET | $645.17 | 22 | $14,193.74 | $14,301.60 |
+$21.34 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET | $672.10 | 21 | $14,114.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $694.87 | 21 | $14,592.27 | $14,779.67 |
+$478.07 (+3.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.7h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $764.85 | 19 | $14,532.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET | $757.26 | 19 | $14,387.94 | $14,635.46 |
$-144.21 (-1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 3, 2026 11:45am ET | $748.91 | 19 | $14,229.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $750.60 | 19 | $14,261.35 | $14,667.52 |
+$32.06 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.9h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $685.44 | 21 | $14,394.14 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 5, 2026 11:00am ET | $694.90 | 21 | $14,592.90 | $14,866.28 |
+$198.76 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 8, 2026 3:10pm ET | $655.85 | 22 | $14,428.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 8, 2026 3:55pm ET | $657.60 | 22 | $14,467.31 | $14,904.89 |
+$38.61 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET | $638.20 | 23 | $14,678.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $647.03 | 23 | $14,881.58 | $15,107.87 |
+$202.98 (+1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $687.00 | 21 | $14,427.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $692.05 | 21 | $14,533.15 | $15,214.02 |
+$106.15 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 15, 2026 3:05pm ET | $690.47 | 22 | $15,190.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 15, 2026 3:35pm ET | $691.77 | 22 | $15,218.83 | $15,242.55 |
+$28.53 (+0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $676.04 | 22 | $14,872.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $686.15 | 22 | $15,095.30 | $15,464.97 |
+$222.42 (+1.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 22, 2026 1:10pm ET | $677.68 | 22 | $14,908.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET | $682.50 | 22 | $15,015.00 | $15,571.01 |
+$106.04 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$15,571.01
Net Profit/Loss:
+$5,571.01
Total Return:
+55.71%