CRWD Professor Mean's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2026-06-25 to present • 41 trades in period
+8.21%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,883.51
Current Value
66%
Win Rate
$15,602.34
Period Start
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.
Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
19.8 oversold
20d Trend
-20.5%
5d Trend
-15.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.5%
ATR%
4.6%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026
53
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
18.9/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
8.7/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality
52.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 52.6
30-Day Momentum
62
+8.6%
30d Return
64%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 63.2
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)
Market Closed (2 days)
2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$15,602.34
Current Value
$16,883.51
Period P&L
$1,281.27
Max Drawdown
-12.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
27 /
14
Best Trade
+10.20%
Worst Trade
-4.52%
Avg Trade Return
+0.22%
Avg Hold Time
4.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,327,044.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,281.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,281.27
Gross Return
+8.21%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.21%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 CRWD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $15,602.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 25, 2026 12:30pm ET | $671.24 | 23 | $15,438.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 25, 2026 1:20pm ET | $675.58 | 23 | $15,538.23 | $15,701.96 |
+$99.71 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jun 26, 2026 2:20pm ET | $171.95 | 91 | $15,647.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jun 26, 2026 3:10pm ET | $172.46 | 91 | $15,694.09 | $15,748.48 |
+$46.52 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $193.35 | 81 | $15,661.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 1, 2026 3:30pm ET | $192.88 | 81 | $15,623.28 | $15,710.41 |
$-38.07 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $189.38 | 82 | $15,529.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $199.41 | 82 | $16,352.03 | $16,533.12 |
+$822.71 (+5.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 7, 2026 9:35am ET | $195.70 | 84 | $16,438.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 7, 2026 10:30am ET | $198.01 | 84 | $16,632.84 | $16,727.16 |
+$194.04 (+1.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 9, 2026 9:30am ET | $188.30 | 88 | $16,570.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $193.36 | 88 | $17,015.25 | $17,172.01 |
+$444.85 (+2.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 10, 2026 10:00am ET | $195.60 | 87 | $17,017.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 10, 2026 1:50pm ET | $187.62 | 87 | $16,323.17 | $16,477.98 |
$-694.03 (-4.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
3.8h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 13, 2026 2:15pm ET | $187.48 | 87 | $16,310.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 13, 2026 2:40pm ET | $188.15 | 87 | $16,369.48 | $16,536.61 |
+$58.64 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 15, 2026 2:40pm ET | $206.25 | 80 | $16,499.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 15, 2026 2:50pm ET | $207.71 | 80 | $16,616.80 | $16,653.61 |
+$117.00 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
10m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 16, 2026 3:05pm ET | $202.60 | 82 | $16,613.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $203.77 | 82 | $16,709.14 | $16,749.55 |
+$95.94 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
50m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 20, 2026 2:40pm ET | $202.60 | 82 | $16,612.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 20, 2026 3:50pm ET | $198.13 | 82 | $16,246.66 | $16,383.42 |
$-366.13 (-2.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $190.03 | 86 | $16,342.62 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 22, 2026 9:35am ET | $186.83 | 86 | $16,067.38 | $16,108.18 |
$-275.24 (-1.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 23, 2026 9:35am ET | $185.33 | 86 | $15,938.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $183.32 | 86 | $15,765.52 | $15,935.22 |
$-172.96 (-1.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 24, 2026 12:50pm ET | $182.46 | 87 | $15,874.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 24, 2026 1:15pm ET | $183.20 | 87 | $15,938.40 | $15,999.60 |
+$64.38 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $181.54 | 88 | $15,975.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 27, 2026 2:55pm ET | $181.65 | 88 | $15,985.20 | $16,008.84 |
+$9.24 (+0.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 28, 2026 3:05pm ET | $183.12 | 87 | $15,931.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $186.13 | 87 | $16,193.30 | $16,270.70 |
+$261.86 (+1.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
18.4h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Jul 30, 2026 9:40am ET | $178.11 | 91 | $16,208.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jul 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $181.85 | 91 | $16,548.35 | $16,611.04 |
+$340.34 (+2.1%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
15m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 4, 2026 12:50pm ET | $208.91 | 79 | $16,503.89 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $209.82 | 79 | $16,575.78 | $16,682.93 |
+$71.89 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 5, 2026 2:40pm ET | $212.60 | 78 | $16,582.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $203.00 | 78 | $15,834.00 | $15,934.13 |
$-748.80 (-4.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 10, 2026 2:00pm ET | $224.84 | 70 | $15,738.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 10, 2026 3:00pm ET | $225.46 | 70 | $15,782.20 | $15,977.88 |
+$43.75 (+0.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 12, 2026 11:40am ET | $221.08 | 72 | $15,917.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 12, 2026 1:45pm ET | $220.60 | 72 | $15,883.20 | $15,943.31 |
$-34.57 (-0.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.1h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 14, 2026 9:35am ET | $225.06 | 70 | $15,754.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 14, 2026 11:50am ET | $219.94 | 70 | $15,395.80 | $15,584.91 |
$-358.40 (-2.3%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $213.62 | 72 | $15,380.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 17, 2026 1:30pm ET | $214.79 | 72 | $15,464.88 | $15,669.15 |
+$84.24 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 19, 2026 9:35am ET | $208.76 | 75 | $15,656.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $200.58 | 75 | $15,043.13 | $15,055.66 |
$-613.49 (-3.9%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 20, 2026 11:20am ET | $192.00 | 78 | $14,976.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $193.56 | 78 | $15,097.68 | $15,177.34 |
+$121.68 (+0.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 24, 2026 10:10am ET | $188.69 | 80 | $15,095.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 24, 2026 10:30am ET | $192.07 | 80 | $15,365.60 | $15,447.75 |
+$270.41 (+1.8%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 25, 2026 12:10pm ET | $187.10 | 82 | $15,341.79 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET | $184.52 | 82 | $15,130.64 | $15,236.60 |
$-211.15 (-1.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET | $188.75 | 80 | $15,100.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.00 | 80 | $16,640.00 | $16,776.60 |
+$1,540.00 (+10.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET | $218.86 | 76 | $16,633.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 28, 2026 11:05am ET | $213.95 | 76 | $16,260.20 | $16,403.14 |
$-373.46 (-2.2%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET | $226.49 | 72 | $16,306.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Aug 31, 2026 2:00pm ET | $227.89 | 72 | $16,408.08 | $16,504.30 |
+$101.16 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
5m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 1, 2026 2:30pm ET | $212.84 | 77 | $16,388.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET | $214.28 | 77 | $16,499.56 | $16,615.18 |
+$110.88 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 3, 2026 1:40pm ET | $212.14 | 78 | $16,546.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET | $213.54 | 78 | $16,655.73 | $16,723.99 |
+$108.81 (+0.7%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $210.08 | 79 | $16,596.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $209.22 | 79 | $16,528.38 | $16,656.05 |
$-67.94 (-0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 9, 2026 12:20pm ET | $207.84 | 80 | $16,627.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 9, 2026 12:55pm ET | $208.96 | 80 | $16,716.80 | $16,745.65 |
+$89.60 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET | $208.01 | 80 | $16,640.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $210.13 | 80 | $16,810.40 | $16,915.65 |
+$170.00 (+1.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 14, 2026 3:55pm ET | $235.07 | 71 | $16,690.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.13 | 71 | $16,552.23 | $16,777.88 |
$-137.77 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.52 | 70 | $16,556.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET | $241.27 | 70 | $16,889.25 | $17,110.38 |
+$332.50 (+2.0%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 17, 2026 2:15pm ET | $246.22 | 69 | $16,989.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 17, 2026 2:50pm ET | $247.14 | 69 | $17,052.66 | $17,173.86 |
+$63.48 (+0.4%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
35m held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 18, 2026 3:50pm ET | $237.60 | 72 | $17,107.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $230.85 | 72 | $16,621.20 | $16,687.86 |
$-486.00 (-2.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7d held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $247.24 | 67 | $16,564.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET | $248.56 | 67 | $16,653.52 | $16,776.63 |
+$88.77 (+0.5%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Sep 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $259.00 | 64 | $16,576.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Sep 24, 2026 10:35am ET | $260.67 | 64 | $16,682.88 | $16,883.51 |
+$106.88 (+0.6%) |
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,883.51
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,883.51
Total Return:
+68.84%