Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:15:11

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.6/35
Total Return
6.5/25
Win Rate
7.6/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 22.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.5

30-Day Momentum

13
+0.0%
30d Return
47%
Win Rate
15
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.9 Conf: 1.00×
Cooling (-10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed), 2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,162.91
Current Value
$10,497.31
Period P&L
$334.45
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
39
Winners / Losers
21 / 18
Best Trade
+1.48%
Worst Trade
-1.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.09%
Avg Hold Time
2.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$811,170.05
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$334.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$334.45
Gross Return
+3.29%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.29%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 39 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Professor Mean had $10,162.91 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:30am ET $115.16 88 $10,134.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 11:40am ET $115.29 88 $10,145.52 $10,174.30 +$11.44
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 30, 2026 9:30am ET $116.61 87 $10,145.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 30, 2026 9:50am ET $118.33 87 $10,294.71 $10,323.94 +$149.64
(+1.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 2, 2026 9:30am ET $115.73 89 $10,299.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 2, 2026 9:35am ET $114.92 89 $10,227.44 $10,251.40 $-72.54
(-0.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $114.46 89 $10,186.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 3:45pm ET $113.96 89 $10,142.00 $10,206.46 $-44.94
(-0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 10, 2026 9:30am ET $117.79 86 $10,129.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 9:55am ET $118.79 86 $10,215.94 $10,292.46 +$86.00
(+0.8%)
MEAN_REVERSION
25m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 12:30pm ET $119.33 86 $10,262.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 13, 2026 1:25pm ET $119.62 86 $10,287.32 $10,317.40 +$24.94
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 2:00pm ET $116.97 88 $10,293.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $116.87 88 $10,284.56 $10,308.60 $-8.80
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $110.45 93 $10,271.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:35am ET $108.99 93 $10,135.61 $10,172.36 $-136.24
(-1.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.14 90 $10,093.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 3:30pm ET $112.58 90 $10,132.20 $10,211.51 +$39.15
(+0.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 3:55pm ET $110.70 92 $10,184.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $112.17 92 $10,319.64 $10,346.75 +$135.24
(+1.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $112.71 91 $10,256.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 9:30am ET $112.66 91 $10,252.06 $10,342.20 $-4.55
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20.9h held
12 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $113.84 90 $10,245.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 24, 2026 3:15pm ET $113.83 90 $10,244.70 $10,341.30 $-0.90
(-0.0%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2026 9:30am ET $113.15 91 $10,296.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2026 10:00am ET $114.44 91 $10,414.04 $10,458.69 +$117.39
(+1.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
14 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2026 11:55am ET $115.18 90 $10,366.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2026 1:05pm ET $115.11 90 $10,359.90 $10,451.94 $-6.75
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Aug 3, 2026 9:30am ET $114.23 91 $10,394.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 3, 2026 10:35am ET $115.63 91 $10,521.88 $10,578.88 +$126.94
(+1.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
16 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2026 11:30am ET $121.06 87 $10,532.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2026 12:00pm ET $121.63 87 $10,581.81 $10,628.47 +$49.59
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
17 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $120.82 87 $10,511.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2026 2:40pm ET $121.16 87 $10,540.92 $10,658.05 +$29.58
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
18 🟢 BUY Aug 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $123.97 85 $10,537.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $124.14 85 $10,551.90 $10,672.50 +$14.45
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
19 🟢 BUY Aug 13, 2026 9:30am ET $113.35 94 $10,654.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 13, 2026 9:35am ET $111.74 94 $10,503.09 $10,520.69 $-151.81
(-1.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
20 🟢 BUY Aug 14, 2026 10:00am ET $111.49 94 $10,479.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2026 12:10pm ET $110.78 94 $10,412.85 $10,453.95 $-66.74
(-0.6%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2026 2:30pm ET $112.46 92 $10,346.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $112.67 92 $10,365.18 $10,472.35 +$18.40
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
22 🟢 BUY Aug 19, 2026 9:50am ET $111.12 94 $10,445.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2026 10:30am ET $111.36 94 $10,468.31 $10,495.38 +$23.03
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Aug 20, 2026 1:35pm ET $109.92 95 $10,441.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2026 3:10pm ET $109.63 95 $10,414.85 $10,468.30 $-27.08
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
24 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:20pm ET $111.29 94 $10,460.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 21, 2026 3:40pm ET $111.56 94 $10,486.17 $10,493.68 +$25.38
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
20m held
25 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $110.81 94 $10,416.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:15pm ET $110.93 94 $10,427.42 $10,504.96 +$11.28
(+0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
26 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:40am ET $111.87 93 $10,403.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:15am ET $112.25 93 $10,438.79 $10,539.84 +$34.88
(+0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.6h held
27 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $110.67 95 $10,513.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:00pm ET $110.35 95 $10,483.25 $10,509.44 $-30.40
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.8h held
28 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $110.34 95 $10,482.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $109.84 95 $10,434.80 $10,462.18 $-47.26
(-0.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
29 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:45am ET $109.11 95 $10,365.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $108.71 95 $10,327.92 $10,424.65 $-37.53
(-0.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
30 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:50am ET $108.17 96 $10,383.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $108.89 96 $10,453.44 $10,494.25 +$69.60
(+0.7%)
MEAN_REVERSION
30m held
31 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:35am ET $108.82 96 $10,446.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:20am ET $109.04 96 $10,467.84 $10,515.37 +$21.12
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
45m held
32 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $109.45 96 $10,507.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:45pm ET $109.36 96 $10,498.56 $10,506.73 $-8.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.5h held
33 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:55pm ET $107.68 97 $10,444.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $109.19 97 $10,591.43 $10,653.68 +$146.95
(+1.4%)
MEAN_REVERSION
17.6h held
34 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $110.33 96 $10,591.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:35am ET $110.93 96 $10,649.28 $10,711.47 +$57.79
(+0.5%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.1h held
35 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:35pm ET $110.14 97 $10,683.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $110.01 97 $10,671.45 $10,699.83 $-11.64
(-0.1%)
MEAN_REVERSION
1.7h held
36 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $110.21 97 $10,690.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $109.91 97 $10,661.27 $10,670.73 $-29.10
(-0.3%)
MEAN_REVERSION
19.2h held
37 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:05am ET $109.45 97 $10,616.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:55pm ET $108.44 97 $10,518.68 $10,572.76 $-97.97
(-0.9%)
MEAN_REVERSION
2.8h held
38 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $109.50 96 $10,511.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:40am ET $108.51 96 $10,416.96 $10,478.20 $-94.56
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
39 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $106.01 98 $10,389.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:20pm ET $106.21 98 $10,408.58 $10,497.31 +$19.11
(+0.2%)
MEAN_REVERSION
55m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,497.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$497.31
Total Return: +4.97%
Back to Professor Mean